Ispan wrote:Brief report today but with a couple analysis and videos
https://guerraenucrania.wordpress.com/2022/09/21/parte-de-guerra-21-09-2022/
Part of war 09/21/2022
21 September, 2022 Zhukov
Summary of Cassad
1. In the direction of Avdeyevka, without significant progress.
Fight in the area of Pervomaisk and Peski.
Comment: a Ukrainian counterattack in Peski ended with a bloody failure similar to the "suicide attacks" on the Kherson front (see below), with a hundred dead
Video
https://t.me/RtrDonetsk/9563
2. In the area of Marinka and Ugledar - unchanged.
Positional battles with slow attempts by the Forces of Ukraine to test the possibility of advancing in the Pavlovka and Nikolsky area.
3. In the Artemovsk area, fighting on the Artemovsk-Dzerzhinsk and Zaitsevo highway.
There are battles on the outskirts of Artemivsk.
In Soledar, without significant progress.
4. The fight continues for Spornoye and Belogorovka.
The enemy continues to try to advance in the direction of Kremennaya.
5. In the direction of Slavyansk, the enemy continues to try to attack Krasny Liman and Yampol.
There are battles for Drobyshevo and Yarovaya.
6. The front in Oskol has relatively stabilized.
Fighting is underway in the eastern part of Kupyansk.
The enemy continues to press on Rubtsi
On the border with Russia, the shelling of border villages continues. Russian forces attack Kharkiv and Chuguev.
7. In the Zaporozhe direction - no changes.
The enemy continues to explore the possibility of starting an advance in the direction of Vasilyevka, Tokmak and Pologi.
8. In the direction of Nikolayev, no changes.
After the disaster with the attack on Pravdino, the offensive ardor of the Armed Forces of Ukraine increased.
Positional battles continue at the Andreevsky bridgehead.
In the area of Arkhangelsk and Olgino - unchanged.
Comment:
Video
https://t.me/Oleg_Blokhin/57609
Ukrainian armored personnel carriers captured as a result of the unsuccessful offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on one of the sections of the Mykolaiv-Krivoy Rog direction.
AFU soldiers and foreign mercenaries are being led like sheep to the slaughterhouse. 120 deadin a matter of hours of combat, and this is not to mention the wounded and prisoners. Among the dead are Polish citizens. Several passports were found.
The video does not show all the captured material. I want to note that they are intact. The enemies simply abandoned them and fled.
A member of the resistance confirms casualties on the Kherson front, hospitals are overcrowded
https://ria.ru/20220921/bolnitsy-1818312383.html
Analysis of Yuri Podolyak
https://antimaydan.info/2022/09/urij_podolyaka_vsu_gotovyat_ataku_na_dvuh_napravleniyah.html
The next two weeks will be crucial.
Judging by the information that is being received, Kiev, realizing that time is playing against it, and after Russia's decision to conduct a partial mobilization, is very seriously playing against it, the Kiev regime decided to bet everything on one move.
Taking advantage of the current advantage in tropasa, prepare two attacks in the very near future (counting by days, if not by hours). The first in the Kharkov direction, the second in the Zaporozhe direction.
The goal of the first attack is to break the front line and push back the allied forces from the northern regions of the LNR and finish taking control of the Kharkov region, as well as the Krasny Liman-Kremennaya district.
The purpose of the second is to defeat the Russian units north of Melitopol and occupy the city, with additional access to the coast of the Sea of Azov.
Kiev has almost no chance of such a major success, but after the recent events in Russia, it can no longer wait. In a month, all the camps will become impassable by mud, and then the Russian troops will quickly eliminate the superiority of the enemy in personnel and only then attack (in a strategic sense).
Hence this decision. In general, we are waiting for the enemy's blows and remember that we only need to withstand his onslaught for a week, two at most. If there is no rapid breakthrough, it will mean the end of hopes for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, for a more or less successful outcome of the 2022 campaign and ... agony during the 2023 campaign.
Russian attacks on the Pechenezh reservoir in the Kharkov region
For the second day in a row, Ukrainian channels are reporting on the attacks of the Russian armed forces on the dam of the Pechenezh reservoir. Despite the lack of objective control images showing the facts of the attacks on the dam, the shelling of the dam in Seversky Donets is not illogical from a military point of view. But only in the short term.
Given the withdrawal of Russian forces from the Kharkov region and attempts by Ukrainians to build crossings and capture Krasny Lyman, as well as develop an offensive on Kremennaya and Lysychansk, raising the water level in the river could be a temporary solution to partially "freeze" the front line.
Yes, it would raze the established crossings, partially flood the coastal settlements and possibly force the Ukrainian units to relocate along the banks of the Seversky Donets River.
In the future, crossings, especially after rains in autumn, will be much more difficult for Ukrainian forces to pass. After the withdrawal of the water level, the problem of flooded seabeds and floodplains will remain. This problem will also have to be solved.
Finally, the Ukrainian formations have to build the crossings without gravel and not along the dry riverbed.
At the same time, however, the river level will fall upstream. In the Khotomli region, Stary Saltov, Rubizhnoye, Volchansk and on the Russian-Ukrainian border, it will be easier to cross the river there.
Therefore, if the Russian forces destroy the Pechenezh dam, it should be done as soon as possible, for example, to cut off and defeat the enemy grouping between Seversky Donets and skol. Because the effect of such blows will be canceled over time.
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