[Forwarded from Rybar]
Ukrainian air defense is still the most alive: why is this and what will happen next?
In the afternoon, Ukrainian resources published a video with a Russian Su-34 bomber running on one engine: the authors claimed that the APU managed to shoot down two Russian planes in a day.
Regardless of the veracity of the statements, the situation raises one extremely unpleasant question. Even during the APU offensive in Kharkiv, we were often asked in feedback: why are the VKS working on targets only on the front line from extremely low altitudes, and not bombing columns in depth?
The reason is the undressed Ukrainian air defense (https://t.me/rybar/34895 ). The command protects the planes and does not send them to bomb the enemy's rear, and the crews have to "snuggle" to the ground in order to avoid detection.
Do you know what the saddest thing is? Even at the beginning of its Armed Forces of the Russian Federation comprehensively engaged in the destruction of Ukrainian air defense, but for some unknown reason completely stopped this work.
The offensive on Kiev and the fight against enemy air defense
In February-March, the VKS faced the task of countering the powerful echeloned air defense around the Ukrainian capital. For these purposes, A-50U long-range radar surveillance aircraft, Il-22PP jammers and Su-35S fighters with X-31P anti-radar missiles were constantly in the air.
Some kind of interspecific interaction was established: artillery and even Iskander missile defense systems were used to destroy the identified SAMs, which successfully hit the S-300 APU complexes even in the Kiev building. (https://t.me/rybar/29466)
Yes, it was not without losses. That's just one bomber regiment on the Su-34 in March flew almost as far as Western Ukraine, bombing clusters of manpower, command posts and bridges deep in the rear in the Zhytomyr region. And for some reason, no "Stingers" or the British "Starstreaks" favored by TV "talking heads" did not particularly interfere with this.
With the withdrawal of troops from Kiev, the successful experience of purposeful suppression of air defense and its improvement was simply forgotten. Why? Alas, we have no logical answer.
What will further connivance in the suppression of Ukrainian air defense lead to?
Let us repeat once again: the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation has the technical and organizational capabilities to perform this task. There are AWACS planes, there are electronic warfare planes, there are modern aircraft, there are anti-radar missiles. To the surprise of many, there are even planning aerial bombs, which have already been repeatedly used by bomber crews.
Yes, all this is inferior to American or Israeli counterparts. But the "Kiev experience" clearly demonstrates that everything is fundamentally solvable. Everything rests solely on the unwillingness of the command to engage in targeted suppression of enemy air defenses.
And if this continues, the VKS will not only work half-heartedly from their real capabilities, but also lose expensive modern aircraft. The stock of which is extremely limited by production capabilities.
It's time to finally recall the spring experience, make decisions at the management level of the entire SVO and launch a separate operation to destroy the remaining Ukrainian air defense systems. With planning, interspecific interaction and allocation of forces and resources.
Moreover, very interesting products have recently arrived from Iran, which, with an adequate approach, greatly facilitate the task. This opportunity should not be missed!
#analysis #Russia #Ukraine
*Support us: 4377 7278 0407 7977