This is a 1917-1919 crisis situation
You can call the Ukraine situation and wider in the ex-USSR a civil war. But we don't have a civil war in the heartland - that's an advantage
- We face a larger and more united West by a considerable margin. Germany has no revolution of its own, no civil war in Finland
- Serbia like back then has become a creature of Versailles. If it can be reached, that will change
- Hungary back then was an ally under Bela Kun but it didn't last for too long, we couldn't reach them and might not be able to now either
- Greece and Bulgaria look to be souring towards NATO rapidly but their NATO regimes will attempt to hold on
- China is on our side and will keep Japan/America out and help our economy, this is a nice change
- Friendly regimes in Vietnam, Laos, Myanmar will keep the West checked in South-East Asia but this area is of little consequence to us for the moment
- Iran will keep Turkey out, but Turkey back then had its own war to be busy with, so no real change. When taking into account Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, Palestine, we have more friends in the Middle East than we did before. They can create difficulties for the interventionists
- Saudi and UAE oil colonies of Britain are defiant, but they may be brought in line. It depends on China's actions.
- India is independent this time, but it's not going to get involved except through trade. Which is something at least.
- South America like back then is peripheral, but it is potentially more ready to act; we will see with Venezuela and its partners
- We have a worse position in the Ukraine, a better one in Central Asia, about the same in the Caucasus, Moldova and Baltic states
- The situation with Africa and other parts of Asia are merely marginally better than when they were European colonies. They will trade with us at least initially, but that might change. We have some footholds in Africa at least, as does China. This helps a little with trade and gives problems for the interventionists in securing resources.
Back then we won through mass mobilization, idealogical zeal, and the interventionists being exhausted from WW1 and having their own issues at home at the same time
Idealogical zeal is weaker today, but it's there, as people understand the West is attempting to crush us and we don't want their system
Economic wartime mobilization is only at the begining stages, but needs to be ramped up
Military mobilization will need to be Initiated sooner or later to some extent. The West has a lot more to lose from Russia going rogue this time round than 100 years ago, they will intervene more decisively
Russia has been through worse crisis than this, and many times. Our heartland is secure. But we do need a mental shift.
Last edited by flamming_python on Thu Apr 14, 2022 8:49 pm; edited 1 time in total