Iran is poor. USA is rich. If you believe any european country would chose Iran over UsA then you are naive.
The US is rich for a reason and not because of its generosity to its trade partners.
The EU are followers... sheeple... the US loves them because they do as they are told... just like Japan and Australia and New Zealand.
Russia and China and Iran are different... they think independently and don't jump on command... they decide for themselves what is in their interests and then they act on those interests.
That's why I believe that Putin (and I am a HUGE supporter of his all these years),
run his historic purpose and should hand the leadership to a young lion that is less indirect and prosaic.
Time to step up a gear, be active, dictate the terms, give no shit about the European vassals and spit western culture in the face.
Western culture is in the process of eating itself... pretty soon there is going to be a backlash... a reset... with all this going on in the west there is no reason for Russia to rock the boat... there is no benefit for them in a conflict with the west... military or economic... the US and EU have been wielding a sanction stick for the better part of the last decade or so... they got serious in 2014 when their plan for a coup in the Ukraine both worked in removing the existing government but failed in every other way in making ukraine a strong western ally sharing a border with Russia and providing them with a nice new NATO base in Sevastopol...
Putins clever responses to actions from the west and the Ukraine have meant the economic effects have been felt just as much by the west as by Russia, and that despite some economic pain Russia has grown and developed because of this mess to be a stronger more stable country... now they grow a much larger portion of their own food and export food too, they now make their own drugs and essential medicines which will likely become a good export earner for them too.... the west was trying to cripple Russia and make her come crawling on hands and knees to beg for forgiveness and really it has made her stand up in a way she never could without western sanctions... WTO rules would have prevented tariffs to give local food growers a chance to compete with established mass production companies from the west, but sanctions have succeeded in making the difference.
Iran needs to try to do the same... look at what they hoped to get from the west and look to India and China and Russia to get that... and develop their own capacity too so that they can help others in their current position... like Venezuela and Yemen.
Iran should target corporate america. They are the ones who benefit the most from wars. Wipe out a few dozen big names of corporate america and us will get the message.
They really can't win a military tit for tat conflict, they need to be smarter...
Good idea. Identify corporate interests first in region. Non military sector. Put non military sector against military sector. If possible. And if enough targets. If not, hit what you can. War is blunt instrument.
US contractors are making a lot of money in the region... Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, UAE... putting pressure on them... increasing their costs so it is no longer worth it being there and risking their lives represents potential success for Iran and for the local people because they are definitely not there to help anyone but themselves.
Like Soviets were sticking their dicks out for any clown on this planet and routinely got fu*ked as a thank you? Good plan, totally worked the first time
They can provide support without risking anything at all...
It is in Russias interests for Iran to remain Iran as we know it now rather than the CIA puppet regime before 1979...
And this is same Iran that refused to allow Russia to station bombers in their country to fight terrorists that were threatening Iran
They have laws that prevent foreign powers from basing military forces on their territory... don't you wish Serbia had the same?
Payment in advance and in full.
US dollars or gold only, none of that oil, gas, loan or credit BS
I would not accept US Dollars for anything, but Oil or gas should be fine and is readily convertible into any currency you want.
US dollars are monopoly money... literally...
They should target many tings but they won't because they don't have the balls for it
Usually they would send some unmarked nutjobs to blow themselves up somewhere and pretend they don't know nuffin
But they can't do that now because they know that Orange Orangutan will light them up the moment something funny happens
So they will just huff and puff and bend over and take it until things quiet down
Maybe the target should be the orange orangutan and half of the US will suddenly realise Iran is not so bad after all..... Hahahahahaha...
The U.S doesn't want War with Iran but does not mind having War with Iran.
I think the problem is that the US doesn't have a realistic understanding of what a war with a more significant power than Grenada or Haiti is like so they really don't want to avoid a war with Iran because they think if there is a war with Iran they will win and get everything their way and it wont spill out and spread and get totally out of control for all the forces they have based in the region.
For Iran they don't want to fight a super power, but they really aren't being given too many choices here and one miscalculation on either side could end up setting off something neither side can finish or deal with in terms of consequences... was this assassination that miscalculation... has it happened already...
The U.S wants to create new rules so that they can upset the current status quo. The current status quo is not working in America's favor. Iranian militias are not weakening... Iraq is not under their control.. they lost the Syrian game and Afghanistan as well...Yemen blew up in the Saudi's face. Time is not on the U.S side. In essence they're losing the M.E. Thus, by killing Soleimani, the U.S wants to force Iran into a hard choice: War or taking it up the ass. "Taking it up the ass" means that the U.S will go after all of Iranian's proxy networks with impunity - no red lines. This will contain Iran to its own borders, and solidify the U.S position in the Middle East as the absolute King. It will keep Russia a chimp, and the Chinese in check (over 50% of the oil China consumes comes from the M.E).
I agree with your assessment and logic, but the obvious problem is the big elephant in the room... the US isn't in the position of superiority it thinks it has and US forces are strung out and vulnerable as hell... and a good muslim and anal sex gives but never receives if given the opportunity...
Iran was on clear path to getting out of the Nuclear Deal and then getting the bomb. The U.S had no intention of dropping the sanctions so the impasse was never going to be resolved diplomatically. Thus, once you accept that fact, you strike Iran now.
The only guarantee they had that Iran was not developing nuclear weapons was the deal the US tore up and pissed all over... striking now just before a US presidential election is going to tie their hands and lead to all sorts of shit that the US is simply not ready to deal with... this is going to seriously end in tears.... big orange crocodile tears...
Also the clock is ticking on the U.N moratorium that bans Iran from buying weapons from Russia/China. Thus Iran was on a path to strengthening its deterrence and capabilities. Once you accept that fact, it beckons to strike Iran now.
That moratorium is tied to the deal that the US has backed out of... If Iran backs out of it now it is null and void and Russia and China can sell what they choose to sell to Iran with no limits or ties...
A US attack would be direct justification for Russia and China to supply Iran with weapons to defend itself from American aggression.
Naturally, not every strategist in the U.S government sees the picture like this, or is willing to contemplate actual war, even if they agree on this diagnosis.... but many others do prefer war as the solution, and influential ones. It seems they're winning that vote.
It doesn't matter that the best choice for the US and the world was for the US to just abide by the agreement they signed, but actually trying to attack Iran is the dumbest move they could make so of course it is also the most likely move they will make...
Kinda a tragedy how many great chess players Russia has produced yet they're always second or third fiddle in superpower power rankings.
Their problem is not that they don't know how to play... they only have a limited number of pieces, while the US spends three quarters of a trillion dollars every year on new pieces... they have so many most of the time they don't even have a quarter of them on the board, and they also don't abide by the rules of the game... they winge and moan if other players don't play to their moral rules, but they don't feel themselves to be limited by the rules of chess or their own rules of morality.
Makes the game much harder, but as you say... they are skillful players in a much better position than other players playing against the entire western hemisphere...
Ohh well, add it to one of Russia's many blunders. But you know that's why they're third on the power rankings at the moment and not first or second. Can't fix stupid.
No you can't fix stupid but the western public keep voting them in to power... all Russia can do is bide its time and take its chances when they present... like saving Syria and the Crimea...
It was the Russia that agreed to the oil for goods because it benefited Russia(Russia gets to sell its goods while it gave the middle finger to Uncle Scumbag), why would Russia stop it now when it is working well for both countries?
Exactly... Oil and gas are valuable commodities that can be sold to anyone on the international market, while the US dollar is a promise to keep printing tokens that might suddenly become worthless... even big western companies are realising the value of the US dollar cannot remain as it is used as a weapon so countries stop using it to protect them selves from its misuse... and as their debt increases what are they going to do to pay it when newly printed US dollars are no longer accepted around the world... lets face it... they need a good war soon... China and Russia are too big and powerful... that means North Korea and Iran and North Korea has nukes...
If the Saudis do not agree than Iran should start arming all their proxies with the best weapons that Iran has but I think the Saudis want out of Yemen and they asked the Iraq prime Minister to help them and it was General Qassem Soleimani, that went to see the peace proposal.
If Iran can get good terms from the Saudis regarding Yemen then that is good news for the region, but while I don't like to see Yemen suffer I think it was good for the region all round for the Saudis to bleed so openly... they thought they could fix the problem easily with force... a bit like the US in Iran and the US in Iraq and the US in Afghanistan and the US in Syria and the US everywhere it sends troops...