What is known about the assault on the Avdeevka coke plant at the moment:
The position of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Avdiivka is influenced by a number of factors that can change the combat situation in the most unexpected way.
What is the difficulty of the assault on the Avdeevsky coke plant for the Russian Armed Forces?
The main difficulty is the large area. The Avdeevka Coke and Chemical Plant is an area of 325-340 hectares and more than 200 buildings in which the Ukrainian Armed Forces have been accumulating ammunition, equipment, equipment and military equipment for a long time. Some buildings are mined or fortified. The same factor will play a role if a decision is made to blockade rather than storm the plant’s territory.
In addition, a coke plant is a complex engineering and technical structure. The territory (including underground passages) allows you to move secretly, set up ambushes and set traps. Clearing this area will require significant effort and time.
What is the difficulty of defending the Avdeevsky coke plant for the Ukrainian Armed Forces?
Firstly, the uncertainty of the plans of the Ukrainian Armed Forces command regarding the garrison of the coke plant and the Avdeevsky site as a whole. At the moment, a conflict is developing between units of the 53rd and 110th mechanized brigades. The units accuse each other of cowardice and unwillingness to defend Avdiivka and the coke plant, however, the Ukrainian Armed Forces grouping within the city neighborhoods and industrial zone continues to become denser.
Secondly, the density of battle formations. Both in the city itself and on the territory of the plant, with an area of 325-340 hectares, there are units of at least three brigades - the 23rd, 110th and 47th Mechanized Infantry Brigades, two rifle battalions, as well as territorial defense brigades, UAV units and other formations.
On the one hand, the number of elements of disparate formations and units makes management and supply difficult. On the other hand, with a large number of units, their actual number is small. Plus they suffer losses every day.
Remote mining systems «Zemledeliye» (“Agriculture”) appeared near Avdeevka
Why did these complexes appear in the Avdeevka area?
One of the tasks that the Russian army is currently solving is disrupting the supply lines of the Armed Forces of Ukraine between Ocheretino in the north and the Orlovka-Severnoye area in the west of Avdeevka.
All settlements through which supply routes pass, including the highway, are within the reach of «Zemledeliye».
The use of these complexes will prevent or interrupt the supply of the defending group both along highways and dirt roads.
The transfer of heavy equipment and its evacuation will also be difficult, if not completely stopped.
The more or less massive transfer of material and human reserves from site to site, including with the help of civilian vehicles, will also be disrupted.
In conditions of intense battles, when the consumption of ammunition increases and the number of wounded grows, as well as the onset of cold weather, when fuel consumption increases significantly, disruption of regular supplies can become a determining factor in the stability of defense in a number of areas.
Russia has increased the production of missiles for the Iskander-M complex several times. There is enough ammunition. And the military is now hitting one target with several missiles at once. " A new tactic," said the authors of an article published in the Military Watch Magazine.
"These missiles are a challenge for defense. And not only because of their ability to carry special penetrating warheads, but also because of their ability to perform complex maneuvers that make them extremely difficult to intercept."