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    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #16

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    Dr.Snufflebug


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    Post  Dr.Snufflebug Fri May 20, 2022 8:10 pm

    ALAMO wrote:
    Hole wrote:
    A building in Kharkov had an unexpected visitior.

    It had, and what is even more interesting - it seems that Ch-22 was a visitor.
    That would push up the accuracy of the system MUCH above the "well known", and that would be not the first time.
    Seems that the systems ze Wezt considered as nuclear grade accuracy can do MUCH better in real ...

    Odd direction that the missile came from.

    It was a dead center hit on the "Palace of Culture" in Lozovaya, Kharkov region (48.879723, 36.298462). Building turned into a military gathering site.

    The missile came from the northwest judging by the footage. So if it flew in a straight line, it came from Belarus territory I guess, though that's a long way to fly from there.

    Unless it was fired from Russian territory and actually maneuvered a lot on its way there (including a near 90 degree turn), to make it less predictable.

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    Vann7


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    Post  Vann7 Fri May 20, 2022 8:19 pm

    Isos wrote:
    Scorpius wrote:
    The Aerospace Forces of Russia use Su-57 fighters during a military special operation in Ukraine. This was told to TASS by a source in the military-industrial complex. "The use of Su-57 aircraft in Ukraine began two or three weeks after the start of the special operation. The planes operate outside the zone of active destruction by enemy air defense means, using missile weapons," the agency interlocutor said.

    TASS has no official information on this matter.
    https://tass.ru/armiya-i-opk/14679393

    So maybe it's just rumors, but Ukraine is quite suitable as another testing ground for new aircraft. As Georgia has become a combat training ground for the Su-34, Ukraine can become a baptism of fire for the Su-57.

    This was captured in a video from march I think. It may be a su-57.

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #16  - Page 33 Fnbswl10


    su-57 have been tested for syria too in a few combat operations , so is not surprising ,
    that they want to test it on ukraine too , in a very hostile nato environment with lots of air defenses and electronic warfare and foreign planes spying on ukraine airspace. This will allow russian military
    to have a closer look to how the plane perform blocking radar signals , in real combat missions or recon mission.
    flamming_python
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    Post  flamming_python Fri May 20, 2022 8:31 pm

    Eugenio Argentina wrote:
    Hole wrote:Russian special military operation in Ukraine #16  - Page 33 Ftnymr10
    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #16  - Page 33 Ftnymr11
    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #16  - Page 33 Ftnymr12
    What to do with all those western donations? Maybe someone in Africa or Western Asia (Middle East) could need some of these weapons.

    Palestina.
    Hezbolá.

    Cool

    Ship all that stuff to Syria

    And give them the redistribution rights royalty free

    Somalia is not a bad idea on the face of it, but who does Russia know there that it can work with?
    Just dumping weapons there is unlikely to achieve much; they already have plenty

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    Hole
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    Post  Hole Fri May 20, 2022 8:38 pm

    JohninMK wrote:Claimed by the Ukrainians on the 18th. Any other confirmation or just another rather different PR stunt?

    In Melitopol, a Russian armored train consisting of 10 cars was blown up.

    The explosion was carried out remotely under a car with the occupants ' personnel. The incident occurred in the area of the meat processing plant.

    As a result of the explosion, two railway tracks were damaged, an armored train was stopped, and a locomotive with 10 fuel tanks following the armored train was also stopped.

    It is also known that in the area of the building of the former district state administration and the green Polyclinic, where the “commandant's Office” of the armed forces of the Russian Federation is located, an explosion was heard (two guarantors previously blew up) and a shootout took place. Automatic bursts were also heard in the area of Schmidt Street, and the road was blocked around the headquarters of the occupation forces. We will remind, on the eve of Melitopol unknown persons killed two invaders.


    https://sprotyv.mod.gov.ua/2022/05/18/u-melitopoli-pidirvaly-rosijskyj-bronepoyizd/


    So there great victory of today are two delayed trains. thumbsup
    Meanwhile in the real war 500+ Nazi Wehrmacht troops were killed, dozens surrendered and more settlements were liberated.

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    Post  Hole Fri May 20, 2022 8:41 pm

    dionis wrote:Not sure if it was posted here, but Reuters on Russia using laser weapons in the war...

    https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-touts-new-generation-blinding-laser-weapons-2022-05-18/


    LONDON, May 18 (Reuters) - Russia on Wednesday said it was using a new generation of powerful lasers in Ukraine to burn up drones, deploying some of Moscow's secret weapons to counter a flood of Western arms.

    Russian President Vladimir Putin in 2018 unveiled an intercontinental ballistic missile, underwater nuclear drones, a supersonic weapon and a laser weapon.

    Little is known about the specifics of the new laser. Putin mentioned one called Peresvet, named after a medieval Orthodox warrior monk Alexander Peresvet who perished in mortal combat.

    Yury Borisov, the deputy prime minister in charge of military development, told a conference in Moscow that Peresvet was already being widely deployed and it could blind satellites up to 1,500 km above Earth.

    He said there were already more powerful systems than Peresvet that could burn up drones and other equipment. Borisov cited a test on Tuesday which he said had burned up a drone 5 km away within five seconds.

    "If Peresvet blinds, then the new generation of laser weapons lead to the physical destruction of the target - thermal destruction, they burn up," he told Russian state television.

    Asked if such weapons were being used in Ukraine, Borisov said: "Yes. The first prototypes are already being used there." He said the weapon was called "Zadira".

    Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy mockingly compared news of the lasers to the so-called wonder weapons that Nazi Germany unveiled in a bid to prevent defeat in World War Two.

    "The clearer it became that they had no chance in the war, the more propaganda there was about an amazing weapon that would be so powerful as to ensure a turning point," he said in a late night video address.

    "And so we see that in the third month of a full-scale war, Russia is trying to find its 'wonder weapon' ... this all clearly shows the complete failure of the mission."

    Almost nothing is publicly known about Zadira but in 2017 Russian media said state nuclear corporation Rosatom helped develop it as part of a programme to create weapons-based new physical principles.

    The invasion of Ukraine has illustrated the limits of Russia's post-Soviet conventional armed forces, though Putin says the "special military operation" is going to plan.

    Borisov's remarks indicate Russia has made significant progress with laser weapons, a trend of considerable interest to other nuclear powers such as the United States and China.

    Using lasers to blind satellites was once a fantasy from the realm of science fiction, but the United States, China and Russia have been working on variants of such weapons for years.

    Besides the benefit of burning up drones, blinding reconnaissance systems has a strategic impact too as satellites are used to monitor intercontinental ballistic missiles carrying nuclear weapons.

    Borisov said he had just returned from Sarov, which is a centre of Russia's nuclear weapons research. He said a new generation of laser weapons using a wide electromagnetic band would ultimately replace conventional weapons.

    "This is not some sort of exotic idea; it is the reality," Borisov said.

    This clown is really stupid. Who talked about this weapon being a turning point? Russia needs no Wunderwaffen, she has Iskanders, Kinzhals and Kalibers.

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    Post  Kiko Fri May 20, 2022 8:46 pm

    Azovstal fully liberated – Russian military

    https://www.rt.com/russia/555848-azovstal-surrender-liberated-military/

    The Russian Defense Ministry announced the complete liberation of the territory of the Azovstal plant in Mariupol, 20.05.2022.

    The Russian armed forces completely liberated the territory of the Azovstal metallurgical plant in Mariupol from the Ukrainian military. This was stated in the Russian Ministry of Defense.

    “The territory of the Azovstal metallurgical plant in Mariupol, where a group of Ukrainian militants of the Azov Nazi formation has been blocked since April 21, has been completely liberated,” the report says.

    It is noted that the underground structures in which the militants were hiding came under the full control of the Russian Armed Forces.

    In total, 2,439 Ukrainian military and Azov militants laid down their arms and surrendered.

    On May 17, the Russian Ministry of Defense showed a video of the surrender of Ukrainian nationalists who were blocked at the Azovstal plant in Mariupol.

    https://russian.rt.com/ussr/news/1005810-osvobozhdenie-azovstal-mariupol-minoborony


    Last edited by Kiko on Fri May 20, 2022 9:01 pm; edited 1 time in total

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    Post  kvs Fri May 20, 2022 8:53 pm

    LMFS wrote:
    kvs wrote:Scott Ritter has lost the plot.   He actually believes that Ukraine is raising a whole new army outside of Ukraine in NATO training
    camps where its finest soldiers are getting the training to use super advanced NATO "game changer" weapon systems.

    If only it was that easy.  All that NATzO and its proxy Kiev regime will achieve is raising an UNA/UNSO Banderite goon squad.
    NATzO is going to have to send its own armies to fight for its regime.

    He is being maybe a bit naive about the intentions of US, or maybe he cannot believe the sheer criminality of his country, but he has not been fully understood I think. He has just said that Russia will be forced to make a bigger effort, change the rules of engagement and essentially take more time to destroy the country more than it would be "necessary".


    I am basically quoting what he said on one of his live streams with another Youtubber. He clearly thinks that some super duper training
    with "advanced" NATzO weapons systems will replace the army that Kiev is losing as we speak. The fixation appears to be on magical
    equipment and the magical training that will enable its use. This is utter BS. Ukria already had the howitzers, tanks and anti-missile
    systems. That did not change its fate. But according to Ritter using NATzO equipment will transform Ukria and this war into a whole
    higher plane of pain for Russia.

    But I should not be surprised. Everyone in the NATzO west is weaned from birth to believe that their countries have innate technological
    superiority and are basically invincible on all fronts.

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    Post  franco Fri May 20, 2022 9:12 pm

    franco wrote:414 soldiers surrendered in Azovstal so far today. Puts the total at 2323. https://t.me/s/levigodman


    Azovstal reported fully cleared. Total POWs 2,439. Will need official confirmation.

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    Post  Hinex1988 Fri May 20, 2022 9:33 pm

    ⚡The territory of the Azovstal plant in Mariupol, where a group of Ukrainian militants of the Azov Nazi group has been blocked since April 21, has been completely liberated.

    ▫The underground facilities of the enterprise, where the militants had been hiding, have come under full control of the Russian Armed Forces.

    ▫Since May 16, a total of 2,439 Azov Nazis and AFU servicemen blocked inside the plant have laid down their arms and surrendered during the operation.

    ▫Today, the last group of 531 militants surrendered.

    ▫The so-called "commander" of the Azov Nazis, due to the hatred of Mariupol residents and the desire of the townspeople to massacre him for his numerous atrocities, was removed from the territory of the plant in a special armoured vehicle.

    ▫Russian Defence Minister General of the Army Sergei Shopify reported to Russian President Vladimir Putin on the completion of the operation and the complete liberation of the plant and Mariupol city from the Ukrainian militants.

    #MoD #Russia #Ukraine
    @mod_russia_en

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    Ispan
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    Post  Ispan Fri May 20, 2022 9:45 pm

    very detailed reports today about the general situation and some detail on other sectors, and links on weapons and tactics

    https://guerraenucrania.wordpress.com/2022/05/20/noticias-20-05-2022/

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    Post  lancelot Fri May 20, 2022 9:56 pm

    flamming_python wrote:Somalia is not a bad idea on the face of it, but who does Russia know there that it can work with?
    Just dumping weapons there is unlikely to achieve much; they already have plenty
    I would keep a couple for analysis, send a couple to Iran so they can analyze it, and another couple to China. Maybe to North Korea even.
    The destination would depend on the weapon. Javelins to Somalia, NLAW to Northern Ireland, and Panzerfaust 3 would be sent to Palestine.

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    Post  11E Fri May 20, 2022 10:08 pm

    Although not less interesting the one on the picture is actually a Sudanese one (the ''triangle) in the flag). Syria had Red/White/Black with two green stars

    Sincerely,
    Lesley

    [quote="Vann7"]
    SeigSoloyvov wrote:d
    here is a picture of syrian mig-29.  

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #16  - Page 33 Sudan_Air_Force_MiG-29SE

    .

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    Post  Hole Fri May 20, 2022 10:12 pm

    kvs wrote:
    LMFS wrote:
    kvs wrote:Scott Ritter has lost the plot.   He actually believes that Ukraine is raising a whole new army outside of Ukraine in NATO training
    camps where its finest soldiers are getting the training to use super advanced NATO "game changer" weapon systems.

    If only it was that easy.  All that NATzO and its proxy Kiev regime will achieve is raising an UNA/UNSO Banderite goon squad.
    NATzO is going to have to send its own armies to fight for its regime.

    He is being maybe a bit naive about the intentions of US, or maybe he cannot believe the sheer criminality of his country, but he has not been fully understood I think. He has just said that Russia will be forced to make a bigger effort, change the rules of engagement and essentially take more time to destroy the country more than it would be "necessary".


    I am basically quoting what he said on one of his live streams with another Youtubber.    He clearly thinks that some super duper training
    with "advanced" NATzO weapons systems will replace the army that Kiev is losing as we speak.   The fixation appears to be on magical
    equipment and the magical training that will enable its use.   This is utter BS.   Ukria already had the howitzers, tanks and anti-missile
    systems.   That did not change its fate.   But according to Ritter using NATzO equipment will transform Ukria and this war into a whole
    higher plane of pain for Russia.  

    But I should not be surprised.   Everyone in the NATzO west is weaned from birth to believe that their countries have innate technological
    superiority and are basically invincible on all fronts.


    Anything the west has is always "sophisticated". Even 50 year old Stingers. Soon "Ukraine" will receive tens of thousands of sophisticated socks from NATO. They´re much better then Russian socks, according to unnamed american officials. Rolling Eyes

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    Post  ALAMO Fri May 20, 2022 10:15 pm

    Stingers are only 40 years old!
    Don't fool the audience!

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    Post  Hole Fri May 20, 2022 10:16 pm

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #16  - Page 33 Ftou0s10
    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #16  - Page 33 Ftnkyi10
    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #16  - Page 33 Ftovya10

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    Post  Hole Fri May 20, 2022 10:20 pm

    ALAMO wrote:Stingers are only 40 years old!
    Don't fool the audience!

    First test launch was in 1975. OK. Nearly 50 years old. Very Happy

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #16  - Page 33 Ftobcp10
    Azov moving again. lol1
    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #16  - Page 33 Ftoxws10

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    Post  11E Fri May 20, 2022 11:17 pm

    [quote="flamming_python"]
    sepheronx wrote:

    Yeah, 404 aircraft fly in from Romania, and are replenished by Su-27s, MiG-29s from whatever old Asian or African stocks. Deal with it.

    Sir,
    I'am afraid I disagree with you that Ukrainian fighter aircraft fly out from Romania (or another NATO country). It would be virtually impossible to hide this from the outside world.

    It would be seen with Russian radar (ground and air)
    It would be followed by Russian Electronic Warfare
    It would be verified after that by Russian satellite
    It would be verified by Russian people on the ground to be sure

    All of these would be a legal casus belli to take action against NATO, a risk even NATO would not take. Or it would be used as evidence in the information war.

    All NATO Combat Reporting Centers (radar stations) (at least in western Europe) are linked together. Also these stations are feed with AWACS imagery. The radar station in the Netherlands can see the air picture of a radar station in southern Germany and vice versa. An example, in the nineties it was possible to see the take-off of Russian Su-27s from Stargard-Kluczewo air base. It was easy to determine the so-called flying days of the Russian aircraft in East Germany and Poland. We used it to go there and take pictures...... So it must be possible to get an air picture whats flying around in Romania. All those radar operators have to keep their mouth about it. After some time someone will talk about it to colleagues and they tell it further.

    The Ukrainian Su-27 which defected to Romania was photographed the exact moment it arrived at that airfield. If, a very big if, Ukrainian combat planes were flying out of Romania (or other NATO country) there would be pictures of it. It would be the opportunity of a lifetime for aircraft spotters to take photographs of combat loaded aircraft or to photograph battle damaged aircraft returning from a mission. Remember, it is still possible to go unhindered to an airfield here and take pictures.

    Sincerely,
    Lesley

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    Post  limb Sat May 21, 2022 12:14 am

    11E wrote:
    flamming_python wrote:
    sepheronx wrote:

    Yeah, 404 aircraft fly in from Romania, and are replenished by Su-27s, MiG-29s from whatever old Asian or African stocks. Deal with it.

    Sir,
    I'am afraid I disagree with you that Ukrainian fighter aircraft fly out from Romania (or another NATO country). It would be virtually impossible to hide this from the outside world.

    It would be seen with Russian radar (ground and air)
    It would be followed by Russian Electronic Warfare
    It would be verified after that by Russian satellite
    It would be verified by Russian people on the ground to be sure

    All of these would be a legal casus belli to take action against NATO, a risk even NATO would not take. Or it would be used as evidence in the information war.

    All NATO Combat Reporting Centers (radar stations) (at least in western Europe) are linked together. Also these stations are feed with AWACS imagery. The radar station in the Netherlands can see the air picture of a radar station in southern Germany and vice versa. An example, in the nineties it was possible to see the take-off of Russian Su-27s from Stargard-Kluczewo air base. It was easy to determine the so-called flying days of the Russian aircraft in East Germany and Poland. We used it to go there and take pictures...... So it must be possible to get an air picture whats flying around in Romania. All those radar operators have to keep their mouth about it. After some time someone will talk about it to colleagues and they tell it further.

    The Ukrainian Su-27 which defected to Romania was photographed the exact moment it arrived at that airfield. If, a very big if, Ukrainian combat planes were flying out of Romania (or other NATO country) there would be pictures of it. It would be the opportunity of a lifetime for aircraft spotters to take photographs of combat loaded aircraft or to photograph battle damaged aircraft returning from a mission. Remember, it is still possible to go unhindered to an airfield here and take pictures.

    Sincerely,
    Lesley

    So what's more likely, Ukrainians are good at hiding aircraft, or Russians suck at bombing airports?


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    Post  ucmvulcan Sat May 21, 2022 12:51 am

    limb wrote:
    11E wrote:
    flamming_python wrote:
    sepheronx wrote:

    Yeah, 404 aircraft fly in from Romania, and are replenished by Su-27s, MiG-29s from whatever old Asian or African stocks. Deal with it.

    Sir,
    I'am afraid I disagree with you that Ukrainian fighter aircraft fly out from Romania (or another NATO country). It would be virtually impossible to hide this from the outside world.

    It would be seen with Russian radar (ground and air)
    It would be followed by Russian Electronic Warfare
    It would be verified after that by Russian satellite
    It would be verified by Russian people on the ground to be sure

    All of these would be a legal casus belli to take action against NATO, a risk even NATO would not take. Or it would be used as evidence in the information war.

    All NATO Combat Reporting Centers (radar stations) (at least in western Europe) are linked together. Also these stations are feed with AWACS imagery. The radar station in the Netherlands can see the air picture of a radar station in southern Germany and vice versa. An example, in the nineties it was possible to see the take-off of Russian Su-27s from Stargard-Kluczewo air base. It was easy to determine the so-called flying days of the Russian aircraft in East Germany and Poland. We used it to go there and take pictures...... So it must be possible to get an air picture whats flying around in Romania. All those radar operators have to keep their mouth about it. After some time someone will talk about it to colleagues and they tell it further.

    The Ukrainian Su-27 which defected to Romania was photographed the exact moment it arrived at that airfield. If, a very big if, Ukrainian combat planes were flying out of Romania (or other NATO country) there would be pictures of it. It would be the opportunity of a lifetime for aircraft spotters to take photographs of combat loaded aircraft or to photograph battle damaged aircraft returning from a mission. Remember, it is still possible to go unhindered to an airfield here and take pictures.

    Sincerely,
    Lesley

    So what's more likely, Ukrainians are good at hiding aircraft, or Russians suck at bombing airports?



    I don't know about Su-27 family fighters, but I was under the impression that most Soviet era fighters were designed to be tough enough take off from unprepared air fields or roads that their western counterparts could not. I remember a 1991 or so episode of NOVA on the American public television station PBS where an American officer was shocked that at a Russian Air Force base they didn't follow western procedures of picking up any speck of debris no matter how small. The officer asked his Russian counterpart about this and said during war an air strip would probably not be cleaned up. So my guess is the Ukes are using the ruggedness of the planes they inherited from the regime they hate that called for that ruggedness to hide them and bring them out to launch from roads and unprepared air strips.

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    Post  caveat emptor Sat May 21, 2022 2:42 am

    Exactly. They could fly planes from flat sections of highway and hide them in tunnels and such. Not to forgrt that Ukraine is huge. In 1999 Serbian pilots were flying missions for the whole time of NATO bombing.

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    Post  franco Sat May 21, 2022 3:03 am

    Republican authorities of the DPR reported on the losses

    The Commissioner for Human Rights of the DPR Daria Morozova spoke about the losses of the republican forces during the special military operation

    In the period from May 13 to 19, 108 law enforcement officers and military personnel and 10 civilians were killed.

    The number of wounded was 516 and 44 respectively.

    Since the beginning of the year, 1,821 law enforcement officers have died in the DPR, 7,586 have been injured. Also, 580 civilians were killed, 1740 were injured.

    https://t.me/s/ZradaXXII

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    Post  Vann7 Sat May 21, 2022 3:21 am

    11E wrote:Although not less interesting the one on the picture is actually a Sudanese one (the ''triangle) in the flag). Syria had Red/White/Black with two green stars

    Sincerely,
    Lesley

    Vann7 wrote:
    SeigSoloyvov wrote:d
    here is a picture of syrian mig-29.  

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #16  - Page 33 Sudan_Air_Force_MiG-29SE

    .

    i got the image from a syrian website , seems they mistakenly uploaded the wrong pic ,
    and i copy /paste without looking if it was the correct pic..

    here is the syrian mig-29 correct picture..  from another syrian report.

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #16  - Page 33 Article_5ed50418b6b0e1_27494720

    They had mig-29 for a long time before the war started that russia was going to modernize.
    and saw reports from pro syria government sites of losing some of them by jihadist manpads when used for close air support . Manpads are not "useless weapons" against modern combat jets , they can create a no fly zone for close air combat support missions and low flying planes , bombing targets. So they force airforce to fly higher altitudes to avoid risk of manpads. Sometimes however is not possible to do that in countries with a lot of tall mountains and they fired from there against passing planes .

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    Post  LMFS Sat May 21, 2022 3:26 am

    kvs wrote:I am basically quoting what he said on one of his live streams with another Youtubber.    He clearly thinks that some super duper training
    with "advanced" NATzO weapons systems will replace the army that Kiev is losing as we speak.   The fixation appears to be on magical
    equipment and the magical training that will enable its use.   This is utter BS.   Ukria already had the howitzers, tanks and anti-missile
    systems.   That did not change its fate.   But according to Ritter using NATzO equipment will transform Ukria and this war into a whole
    higher plane of pain for Russia.  

    But I should not be surprised.   Everyone in the NATzO west is weaned from birth to believe that their countries have innate technological
    superiority and are basically invincible on all fronts.

    It was him talking to judge Napolitano right? I saw him.

    He is a very smart and brave guy and an excellent observer, and I feel compelled to make his case, even when I understand what you mean and I don't really agree with him on his take

    His argument was quite nuanced and its core was that the West was adding a strategic depth to Ukraine, and beyond that, in an artificial setup in which Russia is prevented from actually hitting the logistics of their enemies where it would be the most effective, like at the ports and airports, warehouses and factories where the military aid is gathered. He also said that the budget of the aid was comparable to the Russian military budget, though I would clearly object that it would need to be at least 10 times that to rival de output of the Russian MIC, considering how much will be stolen on the source, the crap that will be delivered (both by design and by its age and conditions), and how much will be stolen by the ukie themselves. Not to talk about the amount destroyed by Russia once being stored and transported to Donbass... But ultimately he confirmed that Russia would win, only at the expense of completely destroying Ukraine, which is certainly the outcome to which the conflict seems bound to lead.

    The main idea he conveyed was that the West was trying to cheat their way out of this war by committing an unlimited supply of aid to Ukraine for as long as it was needed, so that it did not matter how many tanks the Russians would destroy, there would always be more waiting in the back, until they would deplete their resources. The same strategy is clearly intended for manpower, with jihadis being delivered from Idlib to Ukraine as we speak, ukie command preserving their better troops while they mobilize normal ukrainians to be slaughtered, nazis from all over the world being sent to the front and the worsening economic conditions in Europe and abroad being a new source of cannon fodder they will certainly put to good use. I think that this plan, as most by the West, is a pipe dream based on their ludicrous conviction of controlling everything and repeating what has worked before without analysing the new environment, and will ultimately fail for several reasons, but indeed the idea behind it is exactly what Ritter says, and it will undoubtedly have an effect on the war and force Russia to raise their war effort. Which, as said before, has probably been factored in already, was one of the reasons Russia readied itself for 8 years before baiting and was part of their own plan for the SMO from the very start, basically because the West is incredibly dull and predictable in all their ploys.

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    Post  flamming_python Sat May 21, 2022 3:36 am

    11E wrote:
    flamming_python wrote:
    sepheronx wrote:

    Yeah, 404 aircraft fly in from Romania, and are replenished by Su-27s, MiG-29s from whatever old Asian or African stocks. Deal with it.

    Sir,
    I'am afraid I disagree with you that Ukrainian fighter aircraft fly out from Romania (or another NATO country). It would be virtually impossible to hide this from the outside world.

    It would be seen with Russian radar (ground and air)
    It would be followed by Russian Electronic Warfare
    It would be verified after that by Russian satellite
    It would be verified by Russian people on the ground to be sure

    All of these would be a legal casus belli to take action against NATO, a risk even NATO would not take. Or it would be used as evidence in the information war.

    All NATO Combat Reporting Centers (radar stations) (at least in western Europe) are linked together. Also these stations are feed with AWACS imagery. The radar station in the Netherlands can see the air picture of a radar station in southern Germany and vice versa. An example, in the nineties it was possible to see the take-off of Russian Su-27s from Stargard-Kluczewo air base. It was easy to determine the so-called flying days of the Russian aircraft in East Germany and Poland. We used it to go there and take pictures...... So it must be possible to get an air picture whats flying around in Romania. All those radar operators have to keep their mouth about it. After some time someone will talk about it to colleagues and they tell it further.

    The Ukrainian Su-27 which defected to Romania was photographed the exact moment it arrived at that airfield. If, a very big if, Ukrainian combat planes were flying out of Romania (or other NATO country) there would be pictures of it. It would be the opportunity of a lifetime for aircraft spotters to take photographs of combat loaded aircraft or to photograph battle damaged aircraft returning from a mission. Remember, it is still possible to go unhindered to an airfield here and take pictures.

    Sincerely,
    Lesley

    There was already unverified info that this is why the Moskva was struck
    Or rather what gave the Ukrainians such an opportunity

    It moved into position to try and see where Ukrainian aircraft are flying out from with its radars. Turned out to be Romania.

    Now this is unverified, could even call it a rumor.
    But it makes a lot of sense. All Ukrainian airbases have long been bombed and taken out of commission. Maybe with the exception of Uzhgorod, but that's very far away from the fighting.
    It's very hazardous to store much less operate planes from Ukrainian airbases.
    Yet every few days we hear from the Russian MoD report that a Ukrainian Su-27, Mig-29, Su-25 or Su-24 has been shot down
    On Colonelcassad they just reported the death of a mercenary pilot. The Ukrainian Air force looks suicidal, but nevertheless still active.

    About the rest of the Intel means - it's a lot more conditional than radar. Aircraft can be hidden from satellite detection, with it being known when spy satellites pass over the location in any case. Airbase perimeters can be restricted access to, much as the Polish border for several KMs in was restricted access to for journalists and others during the migrant crisis with Belarus.

    As for the public pronouncements of NATO about not doing this, or that, or supplying this but not supplying that - it all means rather nothing. It is war and disinformation is the default.
    NATO has gone all in on the Ukraine and will do everything it calculates it can get away with.

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    Post  LMFS Sat May 21, 2022 3:59 am

    A cut in English of latest Vovan and Lexus prank... that old war criminal is destroyed by those two to the point it is almost embarrassing to watch Embarassed Embarassed Embarassed

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