Russian special military operation in Ukraine #15

franco wrote:

sepheronx wrote:

franco wrote:

sepheronx wrote:

franco wrote:Arkanghelsk wrote: The reason 70k troops is enough right now is that the artillery of 80 BTG is huge

Artillery assets attached to BTG are 3 to 1 in terms of ratio to manpower

NOTE: You keep talking about 70,000 men. Obviously you are taking 800 or 900 men per BTG and multiplying by 80 or 90 BTG's. In reality a BTG would range from 600 - 900 depending on type plus each BTG would require another 1,000 plus troops in support. So 90 BTG's would actually be closer to 180,000 plus.

Seeing as how you are telling us about Ukrainian victories, I am assuming Russia doesn't have that many troops in or they wouldn't be losing positions in Kharkov.

Your quote post is confusing, believe you are inquiring about this (Kharkov Counteroffensive by the Ukrainian Forces—Rybar SitRep, as of 19:00, May 6, 2022)

The article seems pretty self explanatory however is missing these two points:

1- action around Kharkov is a diversion like Kiev was.

2- the main importance to the action around Kharkov is the protection of the railway line crossing from Belgorod into Vovchans'k, which is the Russian main supply line into Izham and northern Luhansk. The Ukrainians are defending Kharkov with 2 regular army brigades, 2 national guard brigades and 2 territorial defense brigades plus don't have a lot of offensive capabilities.  

For those of us unaware of the structure of said brigades, how many men ukies have in Kharkov.

Hard really to say depending on support units and attrition to the forces. It was claimed early in the fighting to be around 30,000.  

Ever so more important to cauldron the area. Can't let them resupply.

Regular wrote:

It seems you are right, it wasn't just a single UAV flying there.

There is a video of TB-2 observing Tor launching missiles and it's filming from an impressive 108 km away. (Canadian Wescam MX-15D is really impressive, not a fan of the drone itself)

https://twitter.com/kamerknc/status/1522675384529076227

and looking at the LOS indicator of that 108 km and altitude. The UAV's GCS might be somewhere in Town of Izmail. There are other candidates too but Izmail is the nearest one to Snake Island and have airstrip nearby.

caveat emptor wrote:
True, i didn't mean to compare. Just made a distinction based on the size. Both models are suicide drones.
I wonder why we don't see any use of Russian suicide drones.

Well there is Zala suicide drones being used. The Zala KYB.

franco wrote:Levi
Forwarded from
Slavyangrad

BREAKING: Just half an hour ago, the Ukrainian forces' command had left the territory of Donbass and departed for Dnepropetrovsk. Their immediate subordinates were advised that they left for an urgent consultation. The subordinates are justifiably concerned and are considering their options.

The source (a reputable purveyor of hacked data from the Ukrainian side) believes that this may have something to do with a planed Ukrainian provocation involving the death of Ukrainian servicemen.

https://t.me/JokerDPR/75
Telegram
Джокер ДНР
У меня срочные новости от моих шпионов в украинском командовании. Эти новости будут особо интересны украинским солдатикам. Буквально полчаса назад всё основное украинское командование покинуло территорию Донбасса и убыло в Днепропетровск. Непосредственным…

Having thoughts here to a possible false flag opportunity being set up. Will bear watching.

Jos Quinten
@TaranQ

Austrian Colonel Markus Reisner: ''The West has made a serious miscalculation in Ukraine''

Austrian colonel and military expert Markus Reisner declared that Western countries are seriously mistaken in relying on large arms supplies for the Ukrainian army. According to Markus Reisner, ''the Russian army continues to make solid progress in its offensive against Ukrainian positions in the Donbass, and it will be victorious in the region. This is evidenced by the fact that most of the territories of the DPR and LPR, including large cities, are already under the control of the Russian army. Russia also controls important facilities in southern Ukraine, on the shores of the Sea of Azov.''

Austrian colonel also added that ''in the West they try not to talk about the obvious advance of the Russian armed forces and the Western media make a lot of efforts to hide the obvious successes of the Russians, which is a serious mistake''. Markus Reisner stressed that ''He is following the situation in Ukraine from various sources, and concluded that the West is deeply mistaken in relying on large military aid supplies for the Armed Forces of Ukraine''. According to the colonel, ''it takes a lot of time to send weapons, and these weapons are spent literally in one day. And more often than not, these Western weapons do not even have time to fall into the hands of the Ukrainian military on the front line''. ''According to the US defense department, the weapons that the West sends to Ukraine during the week - runs out within a day. This means that Western weapons are immediately used by the Ukrainians and most of these weapons are captured or destroyed by the Russians. The Russian army seizes a lot of weapons'', - said Markus Reisner.

The Austrian colonel also drew attention to the high professionalism of the Russian special forces, which opposes the Ukrainian troops. According to Markus Reisner, ''Russian special forces successfully track down groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and neutralize them. This means that the supply lines for the offensive of the Russian Armed Forces in the Donbass are not damaged''. He also noted the well-coordinated work of the infantry and artillery of the Russian armed forces. ''The Russian offensive in the Donbass is currently slow but steady and thorough, with significant artillery and infantry support. This is not a sign of weakness. Rather, it shows that the battalion tactical groups interact more closely with each other and are controlled centrally'', - said Austrian colonel and military expert Markus Reisner.

https://twitter.com/TaranQ/status/1522685576792657925?cxt=HHwWisCy1d2d1aEqAAAA

Levi

Forwarded from
Slavyangrad - Gleb Bazov
Admiral Makarov Frigate of the Russian Navy
Rybar Report, as of 14:00, May 6, 2022

(https://t.me/rybar/32257)

1—With respect to the claims of a strike on Admiral Makarov near the Zmeiny island: The ship is just fine. There may indeed have been a launch of the Neptune anti-ship missile by the Ukrainian defences. However, there has been no sinking of the ship, and the ship remains afloat.

2—Back on April 22, 2022, Rybar reported (https://t.me/rybar/31590) that the frigate Admiral Makarov has been designated by the Ukrainian forces as a primary target. Today, the Ukrainian side began to disseminate yet another virtual victory that has no real backing.

3—It would be foolish to deny that there is a problem at Zmeiny island. However, despite the fact that the island and the Russian positions regularly end up being targeted by Ukrainian Bayraktar TB2 UAV/drones, the media effect of these attacks is far greater than their real impact. To this day, the only attack of any note is the strike on the Russian Raptor patrol boat (https://t.me/rybar/32048) in the vicinity of the island.

4—The attacks on the Zmeiny island are dictated by the desire of the Turkish side to showcase effective deployment of Bayraktar TB2 UAV/drones in the theatre of the conflict, so as to facilitate further sale on the world market.

5—Since the beginning of the day, yet another Bayraktar TB2 was shot down near the Zmeiny island. It is following this incident that the Ukrainian sources made a claim about the strike on the Admiral Makarov frigate—so as to mitigate the reputation losses at least somehow.

Telegram
Рыбарь
По якобы подбитому фрегату «Адмирал Макаров» у острова Змеиный: с военным кораблем всё хорошо. Пуск «Нептуна», возможно, и был. Вот только никакого потопления корабля не было: фрегат на плаву.

Мы ещё 22 апреля писали, что фрегат «Адмирал Макаров» назначили…

https://t.me/s/levigodman

sepheronx wrote:

franco wrote:

sepheronx wrote:

franco wrote:

sepheronx wrote:

franco wrote:Arkanghelsk wrote: The reason 70k troops is enough right now is that the artillery of 80 BTG is huge

Artillery assets attached to BTG are 3 to 1 in terms of ratio to manpower

NOTE: You keep talking about 70,000 men. Obviously you are taking 800 or 900 men per BTG and multiplying by 80 or 90 BTG's. In reality a BTG would range from 600 - 900 depending on type plus each BTG would require another 1,000 plus troops in support. So 90 BTG's would actually be closer to 180,000 plus.

Seeing as how you are telling us about Ukrainian victories, I am assuming Russia doesn't have that many troops in or they wouldn't be losing positions in Kharkov.

Your quote post is confusing, believe you are inquiring about this (Kharkov Counteroffensive by the Ukrainian Forces—Rybar SitRep, as of 19:00, May 6, 2022)

The article seems pretty self explanatory however is missing these two points:

1- action around Kharkov is a diversion like Kiev was.

2- the main importance to the action around Kharkov is the protection of the railway line crossing from Belgorod into Vovchans'k, which is the Russian main supply line into Izham and northern Luhansk. The Ukrainians are defending Kharkov with 2 regular army brigades, 2 national guard brigades and 2 territorial defense brigades plus don't have a lot of offensive capabilities.  

For those of us unaware of the structure of said brigades, how many men ukies have in Kharkov.

Hard really to say depending on support units and attrition to the forces. It was claimed early in the fighting to be around 30,000.  

Ever so more important to cauldron the area. Can't let them resupply.

Have also read from other sources that the original Russian pull back was to get out of the range of the Ukrainian artillery which was firing from in the city behind civilian structures.