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    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #52

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    Karl Haushofer


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    Post  Karl Haushofer Mon Jan 29, 2024 4:09 pm

    owais.usmani wrote:
    Karl Haushofer wrote:Finnish social media is gloating about Vyborg explosion. Many hoping it was the Leningrad NPP that exploded.

    The explosion looked huge from the video.

    So what was that explosion in Vyborg?

    Never verified I think.
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    Karl Haushofer


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    Post  Karl Haushofer Mon Jan 29, 2024 4:49 pm

    Is Gerasimov dead or alive?
    JohninMK
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    Post  JohninMK Mon Jan 29, 2024 6:12 pm

    GEROMAN -- time will tell - 👀 --
    @GeromanAT

    well Ukro TG channels are full of messages about fired Zalushny...

    B R E A K I N G:

    ⚡ Valery Zaluzhny was removed from office, — Ukrainian media

    According to the former head of the information department of the Right Sector and Ukrainian ex-MP Borislav Bereza, Zelensky signed a decree on the removal of Valery Zaluzhny from the post of commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The reason for the resignation was not disclosed.

    The information has not been officially confirmed. Open hostility in Zelensky and Zaluzhny's relationship has been going on since the end of last year. So the resignation of the Commander–in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in this context is a logical finale.

    @ukraine_watch

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    JohninMK
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    Post  JohninMK Mon Jan 29, 2024 6:16 pm

    An evil bastard. Hope it was slow and painful.

    In the Lugansk People's Republic, the commander of Ukrainian detachment "White Demons" Vasily Yaremko was eliminated.

    He led a detachment inside the national battalion "Carpathian Sich" (part of the neo-Nazi grouping "Azov").

    @ukraine_watch

    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #52 - Page 40 GFBhkHEWsAQnofT?format=jpg&name=small

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    Post  JohninMK Mon Jan 29, 2024 6:24 pm

    AFU cannot use German Leopard 2: out of 100 tanks, 26 were knocked out, and the rest were left without maintenance, - Foreign Affairs

    ▪ “The effectiveness of a tank depends on coordination between infantry, artillery and engineering troops, but Ukraine was unable to provide all of this in 2023,” writes the FA.

    ▪"Out of about 100 Leopard-2s received by the Ukrainian Armed Forces, at least 26 were shot down, and the rest could not be used due to problems with repairs and maintenance."

    ▪As a result, the Leopards achieved practically nothing during the summer counteroffensive.
    - RVvoenkor


    Zlatti71
    @djuric_zlatko
    🇺🇦 Russia has destroyed Ukraine's production of precision-guided weapons, says former deputy secretary of Ukraine's National Security and Defence Council and former first deputy commander of Ukraine's Special Forces, retired AFU major general Kryvonos.

    On December 23 last year, the Russian Armed Forces launched a missile attack on the Luch design bureau in Kiev, which was developing the Olkha and Neptun missiles.

    clown Now Ukraine can only rely on supplies of precision weapons from Western countries, Kryvonos notes.


    Last edited by JohninMK on Mon Jan 29, 2024 7:01 pm; edited 1 time in total

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    Dr.Snufflebug


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    Post  Dr.Snufflebug Mon Jan 29, 2024 6:40 pm

    Karl Haushofer wrote:
    owais.usmani wrote:
    Karl Haushofer wrote:Finnish social media is gloating about Vyborg explosion. Many hoping it was the Leningrad NPP that exploded.

    The explosion looked huge from the video.

    So what was that explosion in Vyborg?

    Never verified I think.

    The "explosion in Vyborg" was a scheduled blasting operation at the Gavrilovo (Kämärä) granite quarry. It was known from the beginning but nobody bothered looking it up.

    The Leningrad NPP is on the other side of the Bay of Finland ffs, some 100km as the crow flies. Geography much? And what kind of idiot would hope for that, anyway? Nuclear disasters are seldom localized events...

    Though the recurring mental retardation when it comes to anything Russia tells me some folks would gladly eat caesium-infused food and die if it at least meant some Russians also suffered.

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    Kiko
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    Post  Kiko Mon Jan 29, 2024 6:46 pm

    Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Zaluzhny announced his resignation, a Rada deputy reported, 01.29.2024.

    Zaluzhny was announced about his resignation, said Rada deputy Goncharenko.

    MOSCOW, January 29 – RIA Novosti. Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valery Zaluzhny was announced about his resignation, said Verkhovna Rada deputy Alexey Goncharenko.

    According to the parliamentarian, there is no decree on this yet. Goncharenko added that Zaluzhny was offered the post of ambassador to one of the European countries, but he refused.

    Previously, a number of Ukrainian and Western media outlets wrote about serious disagreements between the President of Ukraine and the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. They started talking about the conflict after Zaluzhny’s frank interview with The Economist magazine, in which he admitted that the counteroffensive had reached a dead end. This caused sharp criticism from the head of the Kyiv regime, who actually called on the military man to “stay out of politics.”

    Ukrainian media later found out that Zelensky ordered the heads of regional administrations to stop any communication with the military leader. Journalists regarded this as an attempt to destroy a potential competitor.

    In addition, last year local publications wrote that Zelensky wants to remove Zaluzhny from his post and put him at the head of the Ministry of Defense, because he sees him as a rival in the presidential elections.

    The results of Ukrainian surveys confirm the validity of such fears. Thus, a study by the sociological group “Rating” showed that 82 percent of respondents trust the commander-in-chief, and 72 percent trust the president. It is clarified that the latter’s rating began to fall starting in July of this year.

    https://ria.ru/20240129/zaluzhnyy-1924229699.html

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    Arkanghelsk
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    Post  Arkanghelsk Mon Jan 29, 2024 7:35 pm

    Kiko wrote:Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Zaluzhny announced his resignation, a Rada deputy reported, 01.29.2024.

    Zaluzhny was announced about his resignation, said Rada deputy Goncharenko.

    MOSCOW, January 29 – RIA Novosti. Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valery Zaluzhny was announced about his resignation, said Verkhovna Rada deputy Alexey Goncharenko.

    According to the parliamentarian, there is no decree on this yet. Goncharenko added that Zaluzhny was offered the post of ambassador to one of the European countries, but he refused.

    Previously, a number of Ukrainian and Western media outlets wrote about serious disagreements between the President of Ukraine and the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. They started talking about the conflict after Zaluzhny’s frank interview with The Economist magazine, in which he admitted that the counteroffensive had reached a dead end. This caused sharp criticism from the head of the Kyiv regime, who actually called on the military man to “stay out of politics.”

    Ukrainian media later found out that Zelensky ordered the heads of regional administrations to stop any communication with the military leader. Journalists regarded this as an attempt to destroy a potential competitor.

    In addition, last year local publications wrote that Zelensky wants to remove Zaluzhny from his post and put him at the head of the Ministry of Defense, because he sees him as a rival in the presidential elections.

    The results of Ukrainian surveys confirm the validity of such fears. Thus, a study by the sociological group “Rating” showed that 82 percent of respondents trust the commander-in-chief, and 72 percent trust the president. It is clarified that the latter’s rating began to fall starting in July of this year.

    https://ria.ru/20240129/zaluzhnyy-1924229699.html

    404 is denying it, but like IL76 shootdown the Ukrainians are just lying about what is probably a breakdown of the Ukrainian military

    Even if Budanov will lead a guerilla terror army, it means the lines in Donbass are breaking , and they are - Tabaevka proves that

    The Russian army is advancing quite easily in all directions

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    mnztr


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    Post  mnztr Mon Jan 29, 2024 7:53 pm

    So Mark Sleboda says the war will take another 2-3 years. Its possible IMHO as long as russia does not take decisive action. The battle of Aredeeveka even at 10:1 favorable ratio is still a costly battle IMHO. When Russia kills 1200 AFU each day that still means at least 100 Russian boys are dying. Appalling and sad. He also predicts NATO troops will enter west Urkaine with invitation from Kiev as peace keepers and that Russia will not attack them. I think that is possible. One reason Russia is going so slow IMHO is fear of NATO intervention. I think its costly. I am still very puzzled by fact they are not even trying to shut down the Western logistics supply chain and allowing refinaries in Ukraine to operate when they have the means to strike them at any time with PGMs. Shut of the supply of diesel and its over. Its really that simple. No diesel = no logitsics = no ability to move tanks, arty, himars nothing. I think attrition is close to its maximum effect. Ukraine can keep throwing men away at this rate for YEARS. At 450K a year that is 3-4 years of attrition. And with drone warfare ramping up there are real risks for Russia as the battlefield becomes a testing ground for drone tech. 5 more years at this rate even at 10:1 could be over 200K Russian boys and many disabled and injured. I think decisive effort on Urkaines fuel supplies should be conducted. Fuel tankers are more important then tanks. take out refinaries, fuel depots, fuel pipelines. dist points.

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    Arkanghelsk
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    Post  Arkanghelsk Mon Jan 29, 2024 8:16 pm

    mnztr wrote:So Mark Sleboda says the war will take another 2-3 years. Its possible IMHO as long as russia does not take decisive action. The battle of Aredeeveka even at 10:1 favorable ratio is still a costly battle IMHO. When Russia kills 1200 AFU each day that still means at least 100 Russian boys are dying. Appalling and sad. He also predicts NATO troops will enter west Urkaine with invitation from Kiev as peace keepers and that Russia will not attack them. I think that is possible. One reason Russia is going so slow IMHO is fear of NATO intervention. I think its costly. I am still very puzzled by fact they are not even trying to shut down the Western logistics supply chain and allowing refinaries in Ukraine to operate when they have the means to strike them at any time with PGMs. Shut of the supply of diesel and its over. Its really that simple. No diesel = no logitsics = no ability to move tanks, arty, himars nothing. I think attrition is close to its maximum effect. Ukraine can keep throwing men away at this rate for YEARS. At 450K a year that is 3-4 years of attrition. And with drone warfare ramping up there are real risks for Russia as the battlefield becomes a testing ground for drone tech. 5 more years at this rate even at 10:1 could be over 200K Russian boys and many disabled and injured. I think decisive effort on Urkaines fuel supplies should be conducted. Fuel tankers are more important then tanks. take out refinaries, fuel depots, fuel pipelines. dist  points.

    Very rarely do Russian casualties exceed 25 a day

    The most recent was December 25

    But for January it's been 1-6 per day

    That is quite successful if you think about what it means, that's 30-100 guys a month in the conditions of a long range missile and artillery war

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    mnztr


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    Post  mnztr Mon Jan 29, 2024 8:52 pm

    Arkanghelsk wrote:
    mnztr wrote:So Mark Sleboda says the war will take another 2-3 years. Its possible IMHO as long as russia does not take decisive action. The battle of Aredeeveka even at 10:1 favorable ratio is still a costly battle IMHO. When Russia kills 1200 AFU each day that still means at least 100 Russian boys are dying. Appalling and sad. He also predicts NATO troops will enter west Urkaine with invitation from Kiev as peace keepers and that Russia will not attack them. I think that is possible. One reason Russia is going so slow IMHO is fear of NATO intervention. I think its costly. I am still very puzzled by fact they are not even trying to shut down the Western logistics supply chain and allowing refinaries in Ukraine to operate when they have the means to strike them at any time with PGMs. Shut of the supply of diesel and its over. Its really that simple. No diesel = no logitsics = no ability to move tanks, arty, himars nothing. I think attrition is close to its maximum effect. Ukraine can keep throwing men away at this rate for YEARS. At 450K a year that is 3-4 years of attrition. And with drone warfare ramping up there are real risks for Russia as the battlefield becomes a testing ground for drone tech. 5 more years at this rate even at 10:1 could be over 200K Russian boys and many disabled and injured. I think decisive effort on Urkaines fuel supplies should be conducted. Fuel tankers are more important then tanks. take out refinaries, fuel depots, fuel pipelines. dist  points.

    Very rarely do Russian casualties exceed 25 a day

    The most recent was December 25

    But for January it's been 1-6 per day

    That is quite successful if you think about what it means, that's 30-100 guys a month in the conditions of a long range missile and artillery war


    I hope that is the case, but there are also real risks of evolutions in the drone war that may no favor Russia. Imagine if the West provides Ukraine with small drones that operate like CBUs but guided and delivered by HIMARs. These terrifying weapons are coming and there is no stopping it. Sure Russia will have them too, but in the back and forth tech swings the carnage could be horrendous.
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    Post  mnztr Mon Jan 29, 2024 9:07 pm

    How the attack on the US based happened (impressive!!!):

    "A defence official told the BBC's US partner CBS News that the enemy drone came in "very low and very slow" at the same time that an American drone was returning to the base from a mission.


    The auto-response features of the base's air defence system were turned off so as not to shoot down the US drone, the official said.

    As a result, there was little to no warning for troops stationed at Tower 22, who were reportedly still in their sleeping quarters when the drone arrived.

    There are about 350 US forces stationed at the base, conducting key functions including supporting the coalition to defeat Islamic State, according to US Central Command (CentCom).

    Among those injured, eight service members were medically evacuated from Jordan to receive higher-level care, but they are in stable condition, CentCom said."

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    Dr.Snufflebug


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    Post  Dr.Snufflebug Mon Jan 29, 2024 9:11 pm

    Remember how those tiny, tiny Norwegian drones that were given to Ukraine were lauded as some kind of gamechanger? Remember the U.S-produced "Switchblade" drones? Nobody even talks about them anymore, much like everything else...

    Well, thing is, they usually (not always though) work as advertised but they only do so in very specific, ideal conditions, and they cost an effing shit ton of money at that. The entire western MIC is absolutely not geared up to handle an actual war against a peer opponent like Russia or China. Not economically, not logistically, not industrially. The western MIC is designed to provide hideously overpriced defense "solutions" to its members (chiefly NATO) that could potentially work in some minor show of force kind of conflict against a tiny, underdeveloped opponent, but first of all it is designed to feed the aforementioned MIC. Hence the heavy lobbying and what not. It's called corruption in any other country. An inflated variant.

    IF, and I say "if" (because none has really impressed anyone so far) any western weapon introduced to the conflict actually would bother the Russians, they soon figure out how to counteract it and within the same timeframe also produce an analogy to strike back with. This for a mere fraction of the price.

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    Post  Airbornewolf Mon Jan 29, 2024 9:11 pm

    some RBU-6000  Cool

    RF unit uses Naval anti submarine weapon as artillery

    https://odysee.com/@airbornewolf:8/RF-unit-uses-Naval-anti-submarine-weapon-as-artillery:2

    Uragan (MLRS) in the Kupyansk region

    https://odysee.com/@airbornewolf:8/Uragan-(MLRS)-in-the-Kupyansk-region:c

    RF forces repel ukrainian attack at Tsarskaya Okhota, near Avdeevka

    https://odysee.com/@airbornewolf:8/RF-forces-repel-ukrainian-attack-at-Tsarskaya-Okhota,-near-Avdeevka:2

    RF artillery direct impact on Ukrainian trench in the Kupyansk region

    https://odysee.com/@airbornewolf:8/RF-artillery-direct-impact-on-Ukrainian-trench-in-the-Kupyansk-region:c

    18+ various RF sniper footage
    NSFW for the obvious killing of troops

    https://odysee.com/@airbornewolf:8/18+-various-RF-sniper-footage:6

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    Isos
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    Post  Isos Mon Jan 29, 2024 9:43 pm

    Ukrainian drones were and are still nasty. They first started using them to throw grenades on any targets they saw including tanks.

    Russia's cruise missiles actually counter them by smashing production lines.

    I wouldn't underestimate such nato drones. They can easily make hundreds per month. It's just they didn't turn into wartime mode economy so their production is low and price are too high for what they are.
    Hole
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    Post  Hole Mon Jan 29, 2024 10:10 pm

    The effectiveness of a tank depends on coordination between infantry, artillery and engineering troops, but Ukraine was unable to provide all of this in 2023
    The operation was planned by NATO and conducted by fighters trained by NATO.
    So who is to blame? Rolling Eyes

    Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Zaluzhny announced his resignation
    No cry
    How could they get rid of that military genius? clown
    But Budanov is a great replacement. He is a very special dude.
    Russian special military operation in Ukraine #52 - Page 40 Oip24

    It's just they didn't turn into wartime mode economy
    Because they can´t.
    Blame 40+ years of management consultants demanding cost savings and profit maximization for that.


    Thread continued https://www.russiadefence.net/t9059-russian-special-military-operation-in-ukraine-53

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