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Ispan wrote:I resume the daily briefings, this is a recap of quick postings on the Spanish forum in the last few days, lots of links in Russian and a brief operational summary as I understand it
https://guerraenucrania.wordpress.com/2022/04/05/noticias-de-la-guerra-05-04-2022-retirada-desgaste-estrategia-y-propaganda/
I will try to keep the war journal with daily entries, it seems major battles will happen soon after this pause
Thanks again. Anyone reading this translation will enjoy the maps in the original.
War news 04/05/2022 - Retreat, attrition, strategy, and propaganda
5 April, 2022 Zhukov
Today's entry covers many aspects, first the operations and results are described, then a couple of links about tactics, then there is a part of strategic analysis and at the end there are comments about the propaganda war and alleged atrocities, so that the reader jumps to the section that interests him.
Brief summary of operations in the first days of April:
The general situation is that of an operational pause while the Russians withdraw forces from the north and lift the siege in order to reduce the front and concentrate forces. The struggle of positions in the Donbass salient, the siege of Kharkov and the defense of Nikolayev follows, and of course the slow and methodical elimination of the Mariupol pocket.
The helicopters protagonists of two anecdotes. In a daring low-level attack, two Ukrainian Mi-24 helicopters set fire to civilian oil depots in Belgorod. A hint of attention to the Russian anti-aircraft defense, but irrelevant. Another pair of transport helicopters tried to evacuate Nazi officers of the Azov regiment and a couple of agents of French intelligence from Mariupol. This is all the more relevant because it demonstrates Macron's duplicity and France's involvement in the preparations for the Ukrainian offensive thwarted by the Russian "special operation" apart from complicity with war criminals. France is very upset with Russia over the loss of influence in its former colonies in Africa and is now hell-bent on Russia not achieving victory in Ukraine.
Today there was a new unsuccessful attempt to evacuate Mariupol, the fourth, two other Mi-8 helicopters shot down. It is speculated, given the insistence that Macron asked Putin for some kind of evacuation in the city, that they are trying to evacuate the sinister character Bernard Henry Levy, who was seen in Odessa at the beginning of the "special operation" and who may be trapped in Mariupol, or some high command of the French secret service. Macron dismissed his intelligence chief for failing to foresee the Russian invasion. In reality, the failure of the French and all the NATO intelligence services, starting with the Americans, who incited Zelensky to attack believing that Russia would not intervene.
According to a German journalist, there are several officers from NATO countries trapped in the Mariupol bag and are asking the Russians for a "corridor" for their evacuation, as was done in Debaltsevo. I personally don't think the Russians will let them escape this time.
The advance to the south of the Donbass salient continues, a new village is taken every day, a few kilometers are advanced, a few dozen deaths are inflicted, and some armored vehicles and tanks are destroyed. In general, the progression is satisfactory, although slow, because there are very few means committed.
As for Marinka, the stronghold of the line, the Ukrainians are reluctant to lose the position and the ruins, trenches and fortifications change hands, the enemy has managed to recover part of the western end and the Novorussians retain the rubble hill.
To the north of Donetsk follows the disputed advance, the Russians are trying to outflank Avdeyevka from the rear. On the same Avdeyevka, it is a meat grinder, attempts to advance end in bloody failures from the crossfire of machine guns and heavy weapons of the Ukrainians who can still replicate with mortars and artillery.
In turn, Ukrainian bunkers and observation posts are hammered every day by artillery and occasionally by air strikes. Although concrete fortifications are largely invulnerable to bombardment, in this type of war the defender also suffers great losses when trying to bring relays, supplies and evacuate wounded.
The obstinacy of the Ukrainians to hold on to these two fortified points and some others like Popasnaya and the city of Severodonetsk in Luhansk is getting expensive for them. They have thousands of troops absorbed in keeping the fortified Donetsk-Lugansk front and the flanks in the air. To the south-west of Donetsk only saves them that the Russian and Novorussian attackers of Donetsk are few. To the north, in Izyum, that the forested belt and the Izyum bottleneck limits the Russian deployment.
To the north of the Donbass salient, the gradual advance continues, approaching the Slavyansk agglomeration, both from the side of the Luhansk Republic and from Izyum.
Signal that the Russians are coming to open ground is that south of Izyum there was a skirmish in which six Ukros tanks were destroyed for the loss of one Russian. Today the general staff of Ukraine recognizes the withdrawal to Barvenkovo. That means that the Russians can already pass the forests through the Izyum bottleneck and deploy for the northern pincer of the Donbass salient.
https://topwar.ru/194450-genshtab-vsu-priznal-poterju-rubezha-oborony-v-neskolkih-kilometrah-ot-barvenkovo-harkovskoj-oblasti.html
Material and moral wear of the enemy
Meanwhile, the attrition of the Ukrainian forces is inexorable, both materially and morally
According to data published by the Russian Defense Ministry, at the current rate of destruction in the absence of supplies from the West, Ukraine will run out of armored vehicles in three weeks, artillery and mortars - in 1,5 - 2 months, multiple rocket launchers - in 2,5-3 months:
According to this April 3 count
https://chervonec-001.livejournal.com/4064849.html#cutid1
Article about prisoners, explains the different kinds of motivation, or lack thereof, of Ukrainian troops
https://topwar.ru/193888-drugaja-storona-vojny-chto-delat-s-plennymi.html
Today it was reported the surrender of 300 Marines in Mariupol (267 in the main group plus another 30 later) sign of the general breakdown of morale, it is the largest mass surrender to date
https://chervonec-001.livejournal.com/4068761.html
https://topwar.ru/194491-svodka-iz-mariupolja-v-plen-sdalis-esche-bolee-30-ukrainskih-voennosluzhaschih-v-juzhnoj-chasti-goroda.html
Apart from the maria infantrymen who have surrendered in Mariupol, it seems that it is widespread, today
"Every day there are more and more Ukrainian prisoners of war in the DPR. If a few weeks ago they surrendered by the dozens, today, after a month and a half of exhausting battles, they surrender in hundreds," said military commander Andrey Rudenko.
https ://t.me/boris_rozhin/39929
TACTIC
Defense and transport tactics of the Ukrainians
Another tactical analysis of an English-language military forum of Russian topics, explains such things as the fixation of the Ukros for using schools and kindergartens as positions and the resistance of cities to shelling:
"The Russians are attacking personnel anywhere and in any way they can.
Let it be to demolish all the barracks, schools turned into them, kindergartens turned into strong points, they don't give a damn. Hit them hard.
The reason there are no "columns" is that there can't be any – the Russians would decimate all of them. This is what they are doing, there are hundreds of tests for that, and arguing that is silly and useless.
The Ukro "column" consists of a few vehicles because that's all they can get and do. And they tear them to pieces just the same.
That's why the enemy changed tactics a long time ago.
They use all means of civilian transport. And by "everything" I mean everything. Yesterday al Jazeera aired a material and accidentally showed an ambulance full of soldiers coming down to the hospital. Not the wounded.
They are widely using civilian cars, TIR trailer trucks, trucks, etc.
It is impossible to identify them, apart from prohibiting civilian transportation at all.
That would matter to NATO and blow up all civilian cars.
Let me explain one more thing to people who are not from the former member States of the Varvosiva Pact
In all countries of the Soviet bloc, schools, kindergartens, etc., were considered part of the civil protection structures. All of them are built to the highest standards and specified materials. All of them include shelters, some of them, the most moderna, have water purification systems, warehouses, some have alternative water and energy supply.
The same applies to all the industrial buildings out there. A "basement" does not mean the same as in the West. it is also a shelter, with reinforced walls and ceilings. Most of them have gas-tight steel doors, evacuation shafts/doors leading to backyards, etc.
If you hear a "school", it's not what you think. In most cases, it is a solid concrete structure, with reinforced doors, long corridors, a secure basement with reinforced walls and a 50 cm thick steel/concrete roof. There are strengths that are not much better than that.»
Tactics of assault on fortified positions
Good article about tactics and the problem faced by the Novorussians in storming the fortified Donbass front line.
Как будут штурмовать серьезные донбасские укрепления ВСУ
STRATEGY: THE RUSSIAN RETREAT IN THE NORTH
On the tactical withdrawal of Kiev and Chernigov I give the floor to Strelkov, analysis which I share
Reflections on the situation in the Kiev-Chernigov region- Igor Strelkov
I should immediately note that I DO NOT HAVE reliable operational information from there (unlike Donbas) (although, of course, I do have information from direct participants, but it arrives with a delay of several days and is not always of value from the point of view of "presenting the big picture").
At the same time, I "drew" some general considerations with a fairly high degree of confidence.
mnztr
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