Self driving cars in an environment where 99% of the rest of the vehicles have meat drivers is moronic. If you are too lazy
to drive, don't get behind the wheel.
I think it has enormous potential, but with Musks history I don't see him having anything to do with it.
There are plenty of car companies working on self driving cars, and I think it is a good idea as long as it is done right.
You essentially have your own cab to get home... plus clever shit like take your own car to work and let it drive home again if it is not too far. Then get it to come and pick you up at work. Extra fuel consumption but you save on all day parking...
If you have a few drinks then let the car drive you home.
No AI is going to overcome human pathology in the coming decades. AI is a glorified regression model no matter how fancy it is made to
sound. Humans have millions of years of evolution with real intelligence, machine learning is a primitive first step being oversold. Google
and Yandex are not going to supplant evolution with a few years of cheesy programming. Musk is an idiot but removing him will not make
the self-driving utopia happen.
The only regime under which autonomous driving is viable is nobody drives their vehicle and leaves it to the AI and there is road infrastructure
to help it. In the video it is noted that Tesla's routine excuses invoke the lack of supporting infrastructure for self-driving.
I fully support mass automation of driving since it will remove congestion and driving stress. But I do not see that happening any time soon
and not through Tesla sales in dribs and drabs.
Driving is not subject to millions of years of human evolution. We've spent 100 years evolving in such an environment, not millions.
That we're able to drive at all is because the mechanics and rules of it were built to accommodate the physiology and psychology that we already have
But there's nothing to say that we're optimal for the task even so, that the road regulations, roads, machinery and everything else involved in driving are ideally suited to human behavior and capabilities. Most likely not, and we'll continue to see adjustments and corrections to all these things as time goes on.
As for AI driving - it's totally feasible within the coming decades. Because again, all that driving is is really just a set of logical rules that are constantly being evaluated by the driver depending on their speed/position/heading, and a set of constraints modifying things - the technical parameters of the car, quality of the roads, environmental conditions and so on. Basically just like chess, except with a few more environmental factors.
A machine will be capable of being more precise and with a better response-time when it comes to fine control - it's not limited by motor-neural muscle adjustments nor reaction delays; it has an immediate interface to the tires, engines, breaks, etc... that it speaks the same language with and is capable of adjusting by the exact amount needed
It also has better sensors; it doesn't have to rely on human visual estimation or intuition - it can calculate the exact distance to other cars and obstacles, it's exact position on the road, and will be capable of observing more and processing it all simultaneously.
The only thing left is its processing of the rules that each human starts to build up as they learn driving and gain experience in it. When to turn, when to give way, when to overtake, when to slow down, when to speed up, and so on. All of these rules have weights associated with them that depend on many different factors and are in fact much more complicated than they might appear on the surface. This is a matter for training of neural networks and other AI techniques, and is the hardest to get right.
But they will get it right and reliable now that serious research is being put into the topic - driving is certainly a difficult process to automate compared to the stuff that we've been automating so far, but it's at the end of the day just another rule-based task that it's possible to define and optimize. We've had computer games with highly capable AI drivers for over 2 decades now, we'll have real ones before long too.