"..... ANKARA, October 21. /TASS/. Turkish Vice President Fuat Oktay confirmed on Wednesday that Ankara was ready to deploy its troops to Azerbaijan to back Baku in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict..."
It looks like the Erdogang, want to prolong and exacerbate the war. Continue attacking Artsakh. Of course, without war, they loose reason for being there. The Azeris will soon discover the price of " victory ", by subservience to Turkey expansionist sectarian war in region. The primary goal should be to stop the fighting. Freeze the front line, along Artsakh and Armenia border. And get rid of these NATO stooges in region.
Please do not try to instill sense in the debate.
The guys at ANNA posted a small notice which basically boils down to what I've been saying a month ago.
Turkey can drive the conflict with almost no cost. They can sell and settle in places they couldn't have before (Ukraine, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Central Asia) and overplay their hand. The Situation in Ossetia can turn pretty much on if the Georgians believe they can double down with Turkish drones.
All that was needed was a simple effort into flying Russian migs and shooting down one cluster of Bayraktars. The cost of (non-)intervention in Azerbaijan is going to implode. And the best part is that Turkey can make "formers" do its bidding for free. No Turkish soldier would be hurt, instead Ukraininas are going to kill Russians and vice versa. Azeris are killing Armenians and vice-versa.
All this would have been avoided with decisive action.
The only positive side of this war is military intelligence.
TB-2's have a very small payload.
Typical payload can be rapidly spent on decoys or hardened targets without much effect (only a small part of the tanks targeted were totally lost).
NOD/Night fighting capabilities especially on AA are absolutely a must.
Human air superiority, will be a deciding factor when larger drones like the TB-2/Anka/Aksungur will be fielded. The best way to keep the skies clear would be the good old fighter.
Deep strike capabilities are going to be a must (Armenia cannot spend 8 Iskanders on airfields it has no certitude on). Russia however can spend 150 CM's on infrastruture that will cripple transit and transfer. Including a blanket strike.
Overall the cost of warfare, due to drones almost triples. If both sides deploy drones, the attrition in the foirst week is going to be off the roof. If the parameters are the same, then the logistics will play a role, then the topography and finally the size of the economy.
When it comes to a Russian vs Turkish proxies (except Ukraine) then there is not much that Russia has to fear. However when you put all the situations on fire at the same time (Ukraine, Georgia, AZ, Syria, TJK) you get a very different situation.
Before Russia could pick and choose the strategic set up. Now it is about to have to go ALL OUT on everyone on the area.
Also party begins in the woods.