Gasparyan told how Navalny will avoid returning to the Russian Federation due to the search
On Wednesday, January 13, blogger Alexei Navalny announced his arrival in Russia from Germany at the end of the week. In the evening of the same day, it became known that the opposition leader was put on the federal wanted list. His lawyer Vadim Kobzev confirmed the information, noting that he learned about this on January 13 from the case file filed by the Federal Penitentiary Service in the Simonovsky court as part of a petition to replace the suspended sentence with a real one.
FAN asked the publicist Armen Gasparyan to predict what Navalny's further actions will be, taking into account the announcement of the founder of the FBK foreign agent on the federal wanted list. Gasparyan did not rule out that Navalny's return could be canceled.
“I am still not convinced that on January 17 there will be a 'Gulfikführer's appearance to the people'. The wife can wash the jeans, the ticket will be lost. Navalny may slip, break his arm. This will cause irreparable damage to health, and he will say: "I must heal." And so on, ”Gasparyan noted.
The expert recalled that an announcement on the federal wanted list may be followed by filing on the international one. They will not be looking for Navalny on political charges, which is preferable for him, but on suspicion of participation in fraudulent schemes.
Currently, the FSIN is requesting to replace Navalny's suspended sentence in the Yves Rocher case with a real one. At the end of 2020, a criminal case was initiated on fraud on an especially large scale (part 4 of article 159 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation). According to Gasparyan and a number of other experts, it is also possible to initiate a case of treason (Article 275 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation).
“Navalny understands perfectly well that he will be extradited. It is better for him, of course, to come himself - to show that he is an "unyielding fighter", that he is not afraid of anyone, ”Gasparyan explained. "Another question is that he, perhaps, overestimates his own" immortality "from this point of view."
According to the publicist, Navalny's visit may end up in complete oblivion for him.
“I fully admit that if he appears, he will be taken right from the plane and taken to where he should be, and that will all be over. In six months, no one will remember the “beauty blogger” because there is not a sufficient lobbying tool for this, ”Gasparyan predicted.
The publicist cited as an example the ex-head of YUKOS Mikhail Khodorkovsky , whom no one remembered during his imprisonment, except for the Yabloko party. A similar danger threatens Navalny, Gasparyan said.
Earlier Gasparyan expressed the assumption that the arrival of Navalny explained by the desire of Western curators get rid of it. According to the expert, outside Russia, Navalny is of no value.
Author: Sergei Vorobushkin