SAA and Russian airforce are still holding and causing major casualties on their factions.. there
are other events happening , that could allow Russia to defeat Turkey without firing a shot on their soldiers..
Ottoman Dreams UP in SmokOFFLINE#310787
Turkish Stocks, Lira Sink as Showdown With Russia in Syria Escalates
Turkish stocks and bonds plunged as tensions between Ankara and Moscow soared while authorities stepped up their interventions to slow the lira’s slide and banned short-selling in equities.
The Borsa Istanbul 100 Index slumped 10% at the open, its biggest intraday drop in almost seven years.
State run banks continued to prop up the lira by selling about $2 billion on Friday.
The lira weakened 0.4% to 6.2345 per dollar, its fifth day off losses.
So Russia is not yet starting sanctions and already turkey economy is being hammered by their own
war on syria.. The drones incident could be attacks that happened in 2019 most of them or earlier..
we don't know yet.. the claims that turkey drones not shot down are not true..either case it could
be a mistake of putin of temporarily allowing them.. but just today 2 turkey drones
were taken down.. and yesterday apparently 2 more.. unless were the same ones..
What is very important to understand is what will be the definition of a victory..???? .
Because people could believe that once SAA reach the turkey border ,the war is over.. and Turkey will give up
and then Russia and syria with turkey shake hands.. but this is far from the truth.. the war will not end
folks.. will not end ,when all idlib captured..by any side.. turkey can continue bombing cross border forever.. if they are pushed back.. and Russia and SAA can continue bombing turkey army forever if they are the ones
pushed back from idlib.. So the war will not end with any territory capture...
The war will end when Turkey experience massive economic damage ,that they can't sustain any more..
and massive public outcry ,demanding and end to erdogan war , also international public opinion pressure..
will have also a major impact too.. and this in combination of turkey army losses.. become too much for them..
only when Erdogan realize .. that idlib war is not worth of it.. for the economic damages , soldiers casualties and risk of war with russia.. and isolation of turkey in the world.. where no nation wants to trade with them.. or very few.. then only then he will back down..
Russia do have the power to crush turkey army very easily ,just detonating a couple of nukes in idlib.. but this will not help Russia to ever restore relations with turkey again.. they will continue at war.. and so russia will have to send a full scale army ,to invade turkey and remove erdogan by force.. the cost of such operation ,should be seen as a defeat.. for Russia ,even if they plant a flag in turkey capital..because the cost of such occupation will be incredibly expensive and not mentioning the cost on russian soldiers to hold ankara and capture istanbul with half a million russian soldiers.. such operation will not be seen as a victory at all.. capturing land is not always a victory ,if the war doesn't end.. that say , Erdogan needs to retreat and or its military to sack him.. in a coup..
this will be a much better option , one where russia can have peace and no longer in war. So a victory for Russia in idlib should be defined ,when turquey retreat ,after they get tired of their occupation ,or erdogan remove , this could happen ,if SAA hold territory and Turkey army struggle to continue the fight for longer.. after economy damages and soldiers casualties. Russia will always have the best weapons ,so the casualties for turkey army will be enormous for the longer time they stay..
Last edited by Vann7 on Sun Mar 01, 2020 4:38 am; edited 1 time in total