US populated and economically productive territory at startegic distance - point of origin of the attack and the most advanced ABM defense systems on foreign sub-startegic distance : THIS is potentially an heavy unbalancing factor.
Mindstorm How can Russia counteract this?I believe that only the expansion of ABM systems in Russia against the IRBM remains? Some of the IRBM missiles are already capable of intercepting the S-400 and S-300V4, and the S-500 in the future.
There is not a possible and credible simmetrical geo-political response to this situation (there is only a geographical advantage tha can be capitalised that i will describe after); the response can be only technological and is just this consideration that has oriented domestic research and development efforts in the latest 15 years (and not only in the military field).
In particular of capital importance are:
- The further increase of the range of domestic hypersonic weapons now near to be accepted in service, particularly ground and air based ones, this will enormously increase the burden of western planners taking in consideration that OTAN lack almost completely an organic and multilayered IAD both in Europe and CONUS for itsd key military installations
- Complete the R&D programs for the new strategic air-space defense systems based on previously not capitalised physical phenomenons (by several specialist assessments this will enormously depreciate, if not render almost irrelevant by the second half of this century, today arsenal of nuclear weapons with classical ballistic vectors).
- Continue the researchs for space-based sensor for global submarine detection (from our CCCP scientifical heritage) with the integration of latest AI technologies and conduct re-entry experiments of maneuvrable hypersonic vehicles at sea ; this will open the possibility of a disarming thermonuclear strike on the triad branch on which OTAN has put almost all its "eggs" and force therefore them to a complete shift toward delivery systems that western military science has almost completely neglected in the latest 40 years.
- Take trace of US investments and R&D efforts in space-based offensive systems (this is the expected "pardigm-shift" move by part of american planners to theirs disadvantage in several key technologies in strategic offensive and defensive systems) and ,only if necessary, develop on the basis of pasted programs, space based systems for theirs neutralization.
In the near time will be possible to capitalise the geographical advantage of Far Eastern enclaves in comparison with the highly populated and economical and military installation saturated US West Coast to place there incoming IRBMs and ground and sea based Калибр-M (conventional and nuclear armed) and greatly increase the presence in the area of new generations of anti-ship missiles.
In this way it will be possible to put US planners in a similar enemy unilateral strategical advantage brain-teaser.
Last we must remember that contrarely to our measures, entirely based within our national borders, what US will attempt to obtain require the lasting support of foreign nations that moreover should also, in the process, accept a deadly sword of Damocles continously put on theirs heads only to save a supposed former "protector" that they will begin to perceive as more and more weak (and this will quickly worsen when dollar will progressively lose within a pair of decades completely its reserve currency status).
In educated analysis those nearsighted measures, typical of american arrogant and self-referential mindset, will produce an early detachement of western European nations toward a real independent economic and military block.