Russian special military operation in Ukraine #52

The future?

Note that today is Zelinsky birthday and the mobilisation bill was to be passed and the return of 140 prisoners to take place today. All good PR or events that someone didn't want.

Garry B wrote :

Whether they ended up in the same positions is not the point... the difference is that rather less Ukrainian soldiers would be dead and rather more Russians would be dead...

For the same expenditure of force ( the total integrated force over time )  we would expect the same advance or retreat ( the total integrated area of operations over time ) and the same rate of attrition ( the total integrated losses over time ) . The only difference being perhaps the changing rate , one of  increasing or decreasing amplitude or undamped system , where energy supplied equals energy lost ( more like what I am suggesting ) . Interesting problem !

Arthur Morgan
@ArthurM40330824

#Ukraine easily loses 500 soldiers on a given day. 65 #POWs R nothing for #Zelensky if they could be sacrificed in a way that hurts reputation of #Zaluzjniy or anyone else he needs to remove so be it. #Ukranians loyal to regime will be unmoved too. Hate for #Russia is too strong

And now Ukraine attacked and destroyed a Rosneft oil refinery near Krasnodar. It was the biggest oil refinery in Russia.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces shot down an Il-76 from the Patriot complex, French media reported, 01.25.2024.

Franceinfo: The Ukrainian Armed Forces could shoot down an Il-76 in the Belgorod region from the Patriot air defense system.

PARIS, January 25 – RIA Novosti. The Ukrainian Armed Forces could shoot down a Russian Il-76 military transport plane with Ukrainian prisoners of war from the American Patriot air defense system, Franceinfo radio station reports , citing a French military source.

“The Il-76 aircraft was hit by an American-made Patriot air defense system at the disposal of the Ukrainian army,” the report says.

France Info is one of the largest radio networks in France. It is part of the national public television France Télévisions.

https://ria.ru/20240125/il-76-1923421141.html

A pretty reliable source

JohninMK wrote:The future?

https://twitter.com/i/status/1750277614319624325

This is because in every single sector of the front, Russia is dismantling the VSU

The advances are undeniable

Krakhmalnoye, Avdeevka, Pervomaisk, Georgievka, Novomikhailovka, Rabotino, Ivanovske, and countless of other areas show the Russian army advancing

I don't think Tavrida has any possibility to reverse this and that's why Ukros are feeling this panic and the need to conduct some terror or some provocation

But notice Russia is ice cold, and just increases the pressure at the front

The main generals have tried it all, they already used:

- general syrsky
-general naev
-general ternavsky
-general Moskalev
-general zaluzhny

All of these generals have burned through their manpower and reserves, weapons, ammunition and they have no moves to make

As the Avdeevka battle comes to an end, the final battles for Chasov Yar, Kramatorsk, Slavyansk, and Konstantinovka await

That will be the beginning of the endgame

That is the last line of defense and once it is broken, the massive Russian army will diffuse across the Frontline because there won't be any resistance or organize defensive line until the Dnieper river

Ukros are digging trenches now behind donbass, but those trenches are not bunkers or cities

They aren't stopping anyone , especially aviation

Kiko wrote:The Ukrainian Armed Forces shot down an Il-76 from the Patriot complex, French media reported, 01.25.2024.

Franceinfo: The Ukrainian Armed Forces could shoot down an Il-76 in the Belgorod region from the Patriot air defense system.

PARIS, January 25 – RIA Novosti. The Ukrainian Armed Forces could shoot down a Russian Il-76 military transport plane with Ukrainian prisoners of war from the American Patriot air defense system, Franceinfo radio station reports , citing a French military source.

“The Il-76 aircraft was hit by an American-made Patriot air defense system at the disposal of the Ukrainian army,” the report says.

France Info is one of the largest radio networks in France. It is part of the national public television France Télévisions.

https://ria.ru/20240125/il-76-1923421141.html

They were quick to blame the Patriot for this ugly crime, before US blames SAMP/T. The blame will finally go the Germans I guess

MIM-104 requires a fully deployed system to operate. It takes around an hour to do it, and one more to reverse the process. Maybe slightly shorter it there will be only one system operating, but not much shorter.
It is almost impossible to do it so close to the border, which is being constantly monitored with counter-battery systems ready to kill enemy artillery.
Both IRIS and Buk are the first to blame, but Iris lacks the range.
Buk can be used without any supportive systems, with own on board radar station. It will lack IFF, but it is irrelevant to this matter. And it has a desired range with 9M38M1 missile that is being operated by Ukrs. Hardly, but does.

JohninMK wrote:Note that today is Zelinsky birthday and the mobilisation bill was to be passed and the return of 140 prisoners to take place today. All good PR or events that someone didn't want.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1750344528437923842

He does not offer a theory if this was intentional or a mistake or what the motive might be. So he is just a blathering idiot.

Big_Gazza wrote:

Backman wrote:

PapaDragon wrote:
Russians served that airplane to Ukrainians on a silver platter when they announced it's route, Ukrainians would be retarded not to take the shot

Handful of POWs are far less useful than scratching off enemy Il-76

Buy a new plane and don't be stupid in the future

Lots of these prisoner exchange flights have happened already. They didn't even do it to take out the plane. The US's invisible hand is in all of these kinds of attacks.They did it just to sow more despair and anymous between both sides. And to stop these cooperative exchanges between both sides. 

Does anyone believe that Patriot or Iris-T batteries in Ukropistan are manned and operated  by Ukro apes? No, they are operated by sheep-dipped NATO personnel, and act under the orders of NATO intel and their neocon controllers.

One would think if the NATO apes did this against orders of the govt, then the govt may send their locations to the Russians via backchannel for a hypersssonic howdy. After all they would represent a coup risk to Zelensky.

Yet more shit in the streets.

mnztr wrote:
He does not offer a theory if this was intentional or a mistake or what the motive might be. So he is just a blathering idiot.

Almost certainly better for his personal safety that way.

Washington, we have a problem

Seems some sources are saying a PATRIOT did it

GUR wants to continue with prisoner exchanges

So someone wanted to sabotage any form of a peacemaking process similar to the negotiations in Istanbul

As I have said many times, the elections will bring war, and a more aggressive Russia

Notice that western media was advertising about war between NATO and Russia - ofc they are instigating it

IMO Putin will untie the hands of the SVR, and take advantage of what is occurring in Texas

And he will also untie the hands of the VKS, and start downing NATO ISR planes

Has Russia provided any concrete proof that the plane was carrying ukrainian pows?

thegopnik wrote:-Tornado we dont hear much about being used but that the production is being done on 3 work shifts.

-Sniper riflemen are being treated with love, got different sniper rifle companies making new rifles for them to use in the operation, sosna-n used in operation to blind optics trying to spot them and clothing that is invisible to heat detection. Simo Hayha is treated as the best sniper rifleman, but no one talks about the next top 10 being Russian snipers with 300+ to 400+ kills in WW2. Assuming they are all skilled in their craft the only current fear they have to worry about is enemy FPV drones during daylight hours.

-Koalition howitzers being put in the special operation, so definitely good chance of production for new ammunition that has max ranges similar to HIMARs.

-quad pantsir missiles close to being done for testing to fight off drone swarms. Assuming photonic modules start getting produced some time this year, millimeter wave radars with extreme precision might be made lowering the cost of electronics for homing heads for each pantsir missile ammunition.

-Hermes is regarded as stilling being worked on.

Top Snipers of the Second World War.


http://www.wio.ru/galgrnd/sniper/sniper.htm

JohninMK wrote:

mnztr wrote:
He does not offer a theory if this was intentional or a mistake or what the motive might be. So he is just a blathering idiot.

Almost certainly better for his personal safety that way.

By not offering it up the SBU will probably arrest him and torture him to find out what he knows anyway, so he may as well spit it out.

Odin of Ossetia wrote:

thegopnik wrote:-Tornado we dont hear much about being used but that the production is being done on 3 work shifts.

-Sniper riflemen are being treated with love, got different sniper rifle companies making new rifles for them to use in the operation, sosna-n used in operation to blind optics trying to spot them and clothing that is invisible to heat detection. Simo Hayha is treated as the best sniper rifleman, but no one talks about the next top 10 being Russian snipers with 300+ to 400+ kills in WW2. Assuming they are all skilled in their craft the only current fear they have to worry about is enemy FPV drones during daylight hours.

-Koalition howitzers being put in the special operation, so definitely good chance of production for new ammunition that has max ranges similar to HIMARs.

-quad pantsir missiles close to being done for testing to fight off drone swarms. Assuming photonic modules start getting produced some time this year, millimeter wave radars with extreme precision might be made lowering the cost of electronics for homing heads for each pantsir missile ammunition.

-Hermes is regarded as stilling being worked on.

Top Snipers of the Second World War.


http://www.wio.ru/galgrnd/sniper/sniper.htm

Quite amazing that the most famous Vasilly Zaytsev is so low down the list. I guess he was early and then withdrawn and used for propagada purposes.

Karl Haushofer wrote:Has Russia provided any concrete proof that the plane was carrying ukrainian pows?

I warn you. This is not for sensitive persons...
https://t.me/denatofication/7741