Azi Thu Nov 10, 2022 1:59 pm
Why would Russia want to take a deal in the first place. Don't get it, really don't. There was momentum, winter is coming and should hugely favor Russia, Ukraine is running out of trained lemmings already mobilizing women, Nato stockpiles are depleted, western armor cannot handle the stress and is failing, western air defense supplies cannot be supplied and are in backorder.
There is nothing in terms of Western leverage anymore either. The NS1 and NS2 infra is toast, economic sanctions didn't have the desired effect, BRICS partnership is stronger than ever and growing. If there was a perfect moment in time to push through, make progress and gain a stronghold on forward positions, it was like ... now.
Maybe because of this?
Azi wrote:I don't believe in a very bad state of the Russian army, nor that even a single NATO country is officially sending soldiers...it's much more likely that it's going to be cold in Russia now and the Russian elite in Moscow and St. Petersburg want to spend their time in theirs Villas in Spain, Cyprus and Italy wants. Some luxury yachts have also been cashed in and the rich want them back...that's why the new Russian territories are just bargaining chips and the citizens in the new territories are just second-class people and dirt from the perspective of rich Muscovites.
Does anyone seriously believe that Russia would have evacuated Kursk or Belgorod if the Ukrainian army had advanced? One would fight to the last breath here or use tactical nuclear weapons. As a Russian in the new territories, I would feel very very fooled! You lose everything...house, yard, livelihood, neighbors, friends just so a few rich people will get their toys back.
Russians are europeans...they act, think, love the same way like people in Germany, UK, France or elsewhere in the "western" world. "Western world" means nothing than european culture...even USA is 100 % european...the history, the people, the mindset! You can't just brush aside millennia! Yes, it's true that Russia also has asian roots, not to mention the geography...but the european influence is too big.
Russia has always sought recognition, influence and admiration in the European family and this will not go away overnight. The Russian elites are too western, they will certainly have difficulty accepting a loss of quality of life. You could see it in the traitors who fled before the mobilization. There are only a few, but unfortunately these few have good jobs and a relatively large amount of influence.
Putin's ideas and thoughts are good and he is a great man, but the population is not ready for a war in Ukraine. They can only be mobilized en masse if Russia is attacked on a broad front, this indirect and subliminal attack via Ukronazis goes unnoticed by most Russians. It's a hybrid war by NATO against Russia and most people are too dumb to get it. Most Russians will be happy again to buy IPhones, visit Starbucks and vacation in the EU...the rich will be cruising around in their luxury yachts and so on...Unfortunately, that is the sad truth!