What did I say about Iran dragging their feet? And about Russia wanting a coastline and not giving a shit about wastelands in the East? And about USA wanting a foothold for moving into Iran? And about Kurds being complete morons?
Well if that deal is true.. i consider that good news..
Russia is very realistic and practical about the entire situation..
The region of idlib was never pro ASSAD.. so it was a zone of destabilization for all Syria..
So Assad needs to see reality.. if he wants to capture ALL syria.. it will have to fight for territory of people
that never integrated in Syrian society. and could be used to destabilize again Syria.. Kurds will be loyal to Americans
always... and how is Assad going to secure its cities if allow Kurds to continue being part of Syria. Americans wanted new elections with all Syria territory ,but by exporting millions of Syrians and kurds in the zones NATO controls.. so
to artificially win the elections with Syrians and Kurds that no longer live in Syria ,even before the war began. People need to remember the Egypt vs ISrael war.. that soviets helped Egypt.. They managed to force Israel for negotiations,
but in the end the Egyptian leader was killed and a pro American puppet government took control of egypt.. So Americans defeated the soviet without firing a bullet.. similar to how they did in Ukraine. And this is the reality
Syria face... That it will be impossible for Syrian Government to get along with the Kurds ,they will be seen by society
as traitors and major resentments and tensions between Syrians and Kurds will never end.. they will be remembered as the ones who stole their land.. So there will be no peace in Syria ever.. if Kurds and Syria remains united in one land...if Americans controls the kurds... in Afrin , to capture it.. syria will need to fight the Turkey army and it will not be able to do it alone without Russia.. and Russia have its own interest too.. in having working relations with Turkey..
So the way i see it..
Russia helped Syria to kick ISIS and Alqaeda from Syria.. and keep NATO away from a full invasion..and
retrained the Syrian army and helped Syria to defend from Israel.. lost many soldiers and hundreds of $$ billions
defending Syria.. and in change Syria helps Russia to streghten its own nation security too..by helping Russia to keep Turkey away of the american orbit as much as possible.. So as long Syria can restore the control of all western Syria
and the coast.. while at same time keep enough territory in the east too for self defense .. and a connection to IRAQ
then Syria will be in a position to restore its economy and truly end the war... and all its enemies or at least most of them retreat from the fight.. only remaining problem will be Israel.. but they will retreat if US coalitions and Turkey retreat.
and analogy of this will be , if one part of your body is ill.. have cancer.. you need to remove it.. to continue to live..
other wise the cancer will spread in all the body.. same is with Syria.. the Kurds ,and the terrorist US ,Turkey and Israel support is like a cancer for Syria..and uniting all territories of Syria by force..even if people living there
truly hate the Syrian government for not being radical enough.. will only serve to Destabilize Syria again..
and syria will face Euromaidans like Ukraine again.. with millions of "peaceful protest" and terrorist paid by Saudi Arabia ,US and ISRAEL again taking control of Syrian cities.. So the final solution of the conflict , indeed can't be
done through military force.. a major peace deal will need to be done at some point.. Russia Empire History ,is full
of treaties like this... when Russia was weak and could not continue fighting..and desperately needed a break to restore its economy.. made peace deals many times with its Europeans neighbors.. So each side get something..
But this were temporary losses.. eventually all the territories lost were recovered.. later when Russia was strong..
You have today the perfect example of Crimea.. a territory Russia lost ,with the collapse of soviet union.. and now got back.. in the end. is all about this -->> $$$$ all about money.. a nation without an economy ,is a nation that is doomed to fail.. no money ,no nation.. you need a working economy for a nation to exist.. thats the first rule..and a nation in war ,for a decade or two..is a nation that have no chance to survive or continue to exist.
So Syria Government needs to choose a major Risk of take all.. risking losing 50,000 or more soldiers..
and another 10 years of war.. or take a rest now.. let the enemies enjoy a temporary for a few years 5 or 10.
and later observe how Syria recover all Turkey Stole territories without a fight.. A coup against Erdogan will end
everything. And the collapse of american economy ,will force US to retreat from middle east.. leaving Kurds again
alone without sponsor and depending on Syria to exist. since Kurds territories are landlocked.. and landlocked nations
have no chance to exist without external aid and support.. So Kurds eventually will need Syria support..and will see by themselves that an Independence in reality not many nations can achieve it.. Only major powers can.. everyone else
needs always a nation to hold their economy or supply them with all their needs. Only US ,Russia ,China ,India ,Germany ,UK ,France .. the top 5 economies.. only can realistically get a real independence , since have the geography , the water ports , the energy ,and the scientific talent and banking to create a nation fully independent and autonomous. Ukraine voted for its independence in 90s.. and what happened? It never happened.. it always depended on Russia help to raise its economy.. and after they failed , now they moving again in the other direction and seeking
to become a US colony..or state. Becoming a sovereign Independent nation .. this is wishful thinking for Kurds..
they will always need Americans to hold their economy and their trade.. or else will need Syria and Russia. Once US economy collapse , their foreign aid will be cut and Kurds will be left alone on their own. and will be asking help
Syria and offer their lands again after they realize that they can't be realistically speaking Independent..and always a major power will need to sponsor them.. Either US or Russia. because Turkey will not help Kurds in any way.