What has brought about this sudden sea change?
That finally the EU ,lead by Germany and France have given an Ultimatum to Poroshenko
that is needs to Implement Minsk-2.. at Any Cost and that he have no other choice..
What proof i have that his is the case?
Because i don't think Neither Germany or France will summon Poroshenko but not Putin for nothing. And that i don't think they will have waiting for so many months ,with so many
civilians killed ,for nothing.. and because they know that if.. Ukraine is allowed to continue
provoking Russia into a war ,sooner or later with the help of Americans will get it.. and it could
lead into a major war in Europe.. that will drag Poland , Lithuane ,Romania and americans, the most Rusophobic nations.. and or possibly Turkey. Germany and France knows Ukraine will disband if they do nothing and a major crisis of MILLIONS of refugees far more worse will start.. with Ukrainians fleeing the country.. and if that was not bad enough ,the Transit of Gas from Ukraine will be interrupted. Something that will affect many European nations and Russia economies.
SO .. i see no reason why Germany and France will NOT pressure Poroshenko with Sanctions or break of Economic relations if they dont implement Minsk 2. Even IF americans oppose the cease of fire that benefit Russia. There is too much to loose for Europe ,if they allow kiev and americans to do what they want.. and allow them to pull Europe in the conflict against Russia. Which is exactly what Ukraine and Americans are trying to do.
So as long France and Germany with most of Developed Countries in Europe stand firm..
with Minsk-2.. there will be no way in hell for Ukraine or Americans to sabotage it.. Whether
Poroshenko is overthrow or not doesn't matter.. Even if the Right Sector comes to power ,they will need to implement Minsk-2.. there is no choice.. This is true IF France and Germany stand firm and demand it at any cost Even if that means breaking relations with Americans.. and this is because is much better that.. than to allow Americans create the conditions for a world war 3,that could escalate with nuclear weapons. All that is needed for that is Americans to start supplying Cruise Missiles Tomahawks to Kiev and the nazis lead by the CIA start firing them against moscow city.. Naturally such major cowardice attack will not go Unpunished and not only Russia will retaliate Ukraine but Americans too. including tactical nuclear weapons.. if Germany and France allow Ukraine and americans to get their way.. it will be easy for them to provoke Russia into a world war 3.
So i choose to believe that France and germany and most of Europe are not idiots and they clearly see the very dangerous games Americans are playing in Ukraine against Russia. and that it could end Really bad.. So this makes me conclude France and Germany will not allow Ukraine or anyone in kiev to avoid Minsk-2.
. it will be not an option.. and that they will use Any Tool ,any tactic ,any power capabilities they have to FORCE anyone in kiev with Power to end the war against ethnic Russians and start real reforms in kiev ,to give autonomy eastern ukraine..
France and Germany with most of Europe, have near unlimited options to pressure Ukraine to implement Minsk-2.. but Kiev have zero options to resist that.. and americans have zero excuses to not support Minsk-2. Which majority of europe support. and is backed by United nations resolution.. so is an international law ,that can be legally enforced by military means by Europe with Russia help.
It will be impossible for Ukraine to retreat from minsk-2..no matter which Rusophobic faction is in power and Poroshenko kicked. unless of course they provoke Russia first into a open war with Ukraine.. by attacking Crimea or Russian cities. But something like that will cross a red line
with Europe.. and could get Europe more closer to Russia. and for example push for a military peaceforce under UN ,to use force to force Ukraine implement Minsk-2..
Interestingly Russia also have ways to pressure Ukraine to implement minsk-2.. it can start arming pro Russians in other cities too and create more revolutions.. with the popularity of Porosehnko and Right Sector in kiev.. of 2% ,it will not be hard for Russia to start a new front
in Kharkiv ,another in Mariupol and in more cities.. But that will be the last option for Russia..
because if americans see they will lose total control of Ukraine ,they will start destroying it..so Russia later needs to spend a fortune helping rebuilding it.. and feeding 40 millions of people..
What is even more interesting in all this.. if that Americans are taking a big Risk of not only losing the control of Ukraine but of Europe too.. if they continue pushing a war there. For not taking into account European interest and pushing them into a war with Russia. The Whole leadership of Americans in the world is at risk..and the very existence of NATO , if they push too much in Ukraine into start a major war and annoy too much Europe with the violence they provoking there. This of course is good news for Russia..
So this sea of change, all looks like is a major new pressure of Europe on Kiev to implement
minsk-2 and US congress financed nuland nazis and Euromaidans activaded to protest against it. People need to pay attention to US navy in Odessa.. or any potential naval confrontation from Ukraine against Russia. the last time the Mh-17 was shut down American had aegis warships near that place monitoring Ukraine airspace according to Veterans Today website.
A full scale revolution in all Ukraine in all cities , not necessarily could be good thing..
if for example ukraine ends totally destroyed ,all business looted ,including its nuclear reactors destroyed and Russia later left alone having to feed 40 millions of Ukraine and help evacuate them and provide refuge... Americans could still say.. if Ukraine will not be ours..will be of no one..and simply destroy it.. just to at least damage more Russia economy. But this is not conspiracy.. is already happening in Donetsk and Lugansk.. Pro American forces in Ukraine are bombing anything of value for life to exist in Donetsk and Luganks. Bombing Power stations ,water stations ,Business ,Churches ,Sport facilities ,hospitals and schools.
Ideally Poroshenko will just get rid of the CIAnazis in power in ukraine and reverse the coup restoring democracy and peace with Russia. or if he can't do that.. at very least he should flee Ukraine to Russia and tell the world How USA is pushing them into a war with Russia..or how they want the war to continue , things like that will truly damage US image in the world and put them into corner and retreat from the ukraine conflict. it will end western narrative of Russia
being an aggressor and reveal the truth in the world of who is creating problems there.