Ivan the Colorado wrote:[ I asked you earlier but I think it got buried in all the replies in the old thread.
Since you are the closest to all the excitement going on right now and your predictions have been pretty accurate, how do you think the current situation regarding the infighting among the Ukrops and their increased bombing of Donetsk will play out over the next several days?
Oh, and has there been anything different or unusual back on Krim regarding the tense situation in Banderastan?
I think the infighting between the ukes is more window dressing than anything else, good theater for EUUS and not much more. As for the fuss in Zakarpatya in my opinion it was nothing more than an attempt to replace one gang with another gang. The RS boys who started it will probably never be found until long after the fuss is forgotten. The air attack yesterday was in all probability an attack against an unrelated gang of smugglers in the forests, again probably nothing more than good PR for the masses.
As for the east, Nuland was just in Kiev visiting her serfs and gave them their orders. The bombardments will continue to increase until and if the ukes attack. The purpose of the bombardments, as we all know, is to goad NAF to attack. This the NAF will not do, they are going to sit there and take it for the entire summer if needs be.
There is a small possibility that NAF will attack, it partly depends on what, if anything, Kiev signs next week in regards to the additional withdrawal of weapons, IOW smaller caliber weapons, and taking in to consideration what NAF Command said a few days ago. The ukes will not honor anything they may or may not sign next, actually now this, week. From what I can see both sides are ready to attack and defend, NAF in particular is now very well trained and organized. NAF will do what Moscow says to do in general but at this time, and for the foreseeable future, NAF is outnumbered by a considerable amount. Individual NAF units are generally better organized and trained than the uke units but there are some uke units that have shown they can fight well. NAF did send a very clear message to UAF and Kiev the other day in regards to the bombardments and NAF is not in the habit of making idle threats. We will see what comes in the next few days.
Our situation here has not changed. All is calm and quiet both in our little village and up north on the borders. There is zero increased military activity on the uke side of the border and almost no patrols on their part anywhere near the borders. EUUS/Kiev can fuss and bluster about this peninsula but all understand that any attack on Krim or Sevastopol would be regarded as the same as an attack on St. Pete or Moskau and the response would be devastating. In the event of a NAF attack or successful defense against a uke attack we will instantly have as many more sanctions as can be piled on to us and Moskau. Not much we an do about that.