FP this indicates that Russia has not achieved air dominance over all of Ukraine after a year of war.
No it does not, and they do have air dominance... what they don't have is air supremacy.
VKS is only used near the front line. Targets deep inside Ukraine are being attacked by cruise missiles. Russia does not want to risk large VKS losses as the work can be done by cruise missiles.
First of all the Russians have a wide range of standoff missiles... many of which are not cruise missiles in the conventional sense, so targets deeper behind the front line are being struck by air power... the fact that they are not flying their aircraft over the targets they are attacking is simply a result of using standoff weapons.
How many aircraft do you think they should be happy losing to bomb insignificant areas of western Ukraine... the point of the conflict is to destroy the forces on the front line currently occupying Russian territory... they hit airfields and ammo dumps and facilities that repair and produce military equipment... would you like schools and churches to be bombed too?
This also shows how dangerous a relatively modern anti-aircraft defense is for standard aviation. It is a huge challenge for modern aviation.
Shows how effective even obsolete Soviet air defence stuff still is, even when its command is damaged... something the west is glossing over and largely ignoring...
The Russian Air Force is not being used to win this war because no Air Force can win this war... it needs to be won on the ground.
Yes. Thats why I think about the "neck". The current active frontline is pretty vast. I've heard estimates of well over 1000km with the "zigzagging". Thats the lines of engagement from Nikolaev to South of Kharkov. Plus having to defend ALL of the Russia-former Pukraine border and even bits of Belarus (far bigger than the active line).
Attacking the Western Pukraine is about warning the Banderastanis that THEIR homes can be hit too. A way of concentrating their scummy minds.
So you are saying the line of conflict is too long and so your solution is to add another 300km to fight and defend...??
They are setting everyone up including Russia to under estimate it. So that when something happens, they will get a bigger propaganda effect from it.
But how will that work when spies inside HATO tell the Russians what is actually happening, or for that matter when only 20 Leopard tanks are sent to Kiev officially and 100 burning Leopard tanks turn up in videos from Lancets to Attack helicopters and other sources...
Yeah Im not going to browse through 50 pages of discussion from september. If you didnt say such a thing I apologize for my mistake. What was your take then?
It is the doomsayers that are whiny little faggots complaining at this or that and demanding Russia does this or that to please them... any predictions made by any members are merely speculation... holding them accountable for being wrong, well when you are right about anything at all... even then you have no case.
I remember that the "flaming python", among others, was especially vocal about the retreat being some sort of a super brilliant plan of the Russian military, and him openly claiming that "the Russian officers are professionals who know what they are doing." He got plenty of support from others.
The thing is that the Russian Officers are professionals and do know what they are doing and as Belisarus posted, they are killing enemy soldiers priority one and not so fixated with holding territory... which they can always retake.
If you though FP meant that Russian officers dictate the conflict and can control everything and have everything planned in advance and are just going down a list of things to do then you were mistaken.
Kiev controls this war in the sense that at any time they can surrender. They are instead choosing to do other things which no one can plan for or anticipate until they actually do what they are going to do and it is up to the Russian forces to respond... now with weak attacks that can mean simply remaining in place and fighting them off, but in some attacks that means withdrawing in a fighting withdrawal doing as much damage as you go... knowing that in a short while in the future when you get more men and more ammo and you kill rather more of their men that you will eventually gradually creep forward and not just take back that territory but also the territory beyond that.
Some locations dominate others and once they are secured then fighting in other places becomes practical and much safer because of a lack of having to watch your flanks.
Anyone stating what they think will happen obviously need to be executed if they are wrong because obviously Limb and the Doom squad have been a 100% record in terms of being
for Kiev. (for non english speakers the letter C and the letter K are very similar some times and in this case makes that rhyme even if not spelled the same...)
They are not conducting any hunts for the draft dodgers in the western Ukraine and in Kiev and its surrounding environs. Looks like they intentionally want to use the ethnic non-Ukrainians as cannon fodder, at the same time, sparing the ethnic Ukrainians.
There is a war on... if they don't want to fight for either side then ending up dead is probably the best outcome for Russia and what becomes Russia.
Former president/pm of Ukraine says that regime change by force in Kiev will happen.
Hope they delay it as long as possible... the longer they take the less they will end up with... but I am sure the west will be happy to write off their debt...
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