Isos wrote:JohninMK wrote:miketheterrible wrote:
Once Armenia hits Azerbaijan with an Iskander, I think both Turkey and Azerbaijan will cool down.
Out of curiosity, if anyone here were i/c of targeting for that Iskander where would you send it and why there?
An s-300 or the fighter jets. Turkey still maintains some f-16 in Azerbaijan since their exercices there. Azeri have ~12 mig-29. No air power abd they loose.
MoD is a valuable target but must be empty. No tactical gain by destroying it.
Azerbaijan has also an oil industry that would greatly affect their economy.
Mike and Maximmmm went for the F-16 base as well. Turkey can only get NATO involved if they are attacked and if NATO countries want to help.
I think it will depend on the objective, military or economic destruction or just sending a message, perhaps just to be seen by a limited audience. The target should not create an international storm or pull Turkey's lead too hard and definitely not kill civilians. Plus it needs to help stop the fighting not increase it. A fist in a velvet glove so to speak.
As a military target the airfield would meet some objectives but without knowing how hardened it is its difficult to know where, apart from the center of the runway, a presumably hardened aircraft shelter or munitions or fuel dumps. An empty MoD building in the middle of the night might be good as well.
Perhaps the most effective target in encouraging peace would be an economic target like a pipeline pumping station in the middle of nowhere, especially if on a feeder pipeline (perhaps even not in use as this is all about sending a message) not the main export pipeline. At this time of year, heading into winter, this would send a particulary strong message and would quickly attract the attention of all the customers downstream to apply pressure for a settlement. In particular Turkey who would immediately see that they were vulnerable both in terms of their own gas supplies and transit revenue.
It would probably also be pretty clear to Turkey's MoD that there was no way they could stop the next Iskander(s) going straight into the main export pipeline. That pipeline is Azerbaijan's financial lifeline or jugular, its weakest link now and in the future. Armenia has no equivalent target. Wars are best won off the battlefield.