Isos wrote:Isn't it against the peace deal ?
It is. Though no one will care until the GNA attacks and will act surprised as usual.
Isos wrote:Su-24 can then just destroy the runways, periodically, everytime they see a Turkish cargo in the air.
I am not sure if you are being serious or not, but that is impossible in the current atmosphere.
Russian MoD/government would never allow the LNA or w/e mercenaries/group are flying these planes to do this, because it would be against the ceasefire deal that they have implemented.
And what exactly prevents Turkey from doing the same to airports officially used by the Russians for re-supply missions? They have a lot more in the area; including AEW&C aircraft. The LNA has a few Su-24's and a few Mig-29's - both combined you might
have a total of 10-12 airframes.
This might disappoint some, but it is very likely
that whatever the Turks have envisioned for the next offensive will actually materialize on the ground, if only because they are actually supplying the GNA and will directly take part in the fighting using their own drones/aircraft.
A few hundred Russian mercenaries and some UAE supplied Pantsir-S1 systems will change nothing in the end. The Pantsir's can easily be destroyed via a concentrated attack by F-16's using even medium-range munitions.
If you do not see a Russian base materializing in Libya in the next few weeks you do not even need to speculate on the outcome of Sirte or Jufra AFB.