France Foreign Policy and Diplomacy

GarryB wrote:I don't blame them from exiting the deal... the whole point was an agreement to stop developing nuclear weapons in return for dropping international sanctions... it makes little sense if the US is going to impose sanctions on Iran for Iran to keep sticking to a deal not to develop nuclear weapons.

MiamiMachineShop wrote:Russia does not need high oil price lol. Maybe in 2014, but no more buddy. Only thing which keeps them alive is UK, USA, France? You mean the countries which funded Osama Bin Laden and overthrew "communist" baath parties to unleash Sunni Wahhabism and kill Iran and Russia? You live on another planet.

Vladimir79 wrote:...What Russia needs most is an end to US fracking flooding the world with cheap oil in the short term, and a diversification of industry in the long term.

PapaDragon wrote:

Only way to get oil prices up (don't know why would they want to) would be to light up some petro-states like Iran, Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, etc and let the chaos do the heavy lifting.

Vladimir79 wrote:...The production of Venezuela and Iran are already depressed thanks to US sanctions and an under-investment in their production capacity. Iran has never been able to achieve the production levels they had pre-Saddam. Venezuela has completely fallen off of the map. The US has increased their capacity so much it makes OPEC irrelevant.

Vladimir79 wrote:...The good news is that fracking does incur an environmental cost and if the Green movement in that country takes off, it would end it.

Isos wrote:They have the right to leave it if EU don't do what the agreement says. Iran respects the agreement. US left and want to destroy it by sanctioning EU if they buy iranian oil and steels.

GarryB wrote:They think fracking solves all their problems, but it is actually very expensive in terms of extraction costs and does not actually make very much money at all and a lot of it is running at a loss... eventually the bubble will burst and their so call production will collapse...

Vladimir79 wrote:

GarryB wrote:They think fracking solves all their problems, but it is actually very expensive in terms of extraction costs and does not actually make very much money at all and a lot of it is running at a loss... eventually the bubble will burst and their so call production will collapse...

The Saudis tried putting them out of business when they first started by flooding the markets.  Now that the cost of extraction has decreased they have found a way to stay profitable in the current climate.  Unless Russia and OPEC collude to drive oil prices below $50 a barrel it would not drive them out.  Considering how we are all suffering from reduced revenues the only time we could have done is was right after the 2014 price crash.  It will require an environmental regulatory hardening from the government to drive them out.  

Isos wrote:

I doubt EU and Japan wants that much US oil. That would mean even more controled by them. Oil from arabs and Venezuela is the best as they only want money. Russia, USA, Iran want more than only money.

Germany is right now in conflict with US over nordstream 2. Because the alternative is US gaz ...

Macron said yesterday if Iran leaves the treaty it will be because of US actions. They will clear the situation with Iran and become less and less dependant on US sanction so that they can do whatever with anyone.

About US extraction we will see under the cop21 initiative some commun action to not buy it. Officially for environment, in reality just to destroy US hopes of beig 1st oil exporter.

Iran has been under US sanctions since the overthrow of the Sha. They are as independent as they will ever get.

Trump doesn't care about climate change, only a person from the other side would do.

Vladimir79 wrote:...Trump doesn't care about climate change, only a person from the other side would do.

PapaDragon wrote:Other side(s) want Russia dead and buried and they will not let something as trivial as climate change get in the way of accomplishing primary objective.

Fracking stays. Most certainly proliferates massively as well.

Nobody is dumb enough to let opportunity like this slip through their fingers.

Vladimir79 wrote:....
If you think the other side is rational I suggest you look up "Green New Deal"

Vladimir79 wrote:

I think you are the one living on another planet.  Russians enjoy low taxes because the Federal budget gets most of its funding from the sale of oil and gas.  When oil prices are low we are running a budget deficit and payments and orders are cut.  When under sanctions, no one will buy our bonds so we have to keep our own emergency fund.  It is good for keeping us out of debt but we get no stimulus funding to help suffering people.  France suffers unrest from high taxes, but at least it is a sustainable revenue source not at the whims of the commodities exchange and provides them with high levels of social services.  What Russia needs most is an end to US fracking flooding the world with cheap oil in the short term, and a diversification of industry in the long term.  

MiamiMachineShop wrote:

Obviously I am not, because in Russia there is no unrest like in Paris currently.

Sustainable revenue? How? France has negative interest rates, it runs a trade DEFICIT, and its public debt is 98% of GDP. Foreign reserves are at 154 Billion $ which is very low, Nominal GDP increased by 1.6% which is basically 0 for all intents and purposes. France and EU is SLOWING DOWN. USA is alarmed by this economic slowdown, France is not growing, unrest is growing daily, and the EU central bank is running -0.40 % interest rate. Europe is a sick economy, when the USA finishes them off, sick Europe will collapse. Yields for eurobonds are being cut across the board. The healthy German bonds lost 6.5 basis points last month. EU is having issues with its members, EU is collapsing dude, and they have themselves to blame, although USA accelerates the collapse by sanctioning the asphyxiated euro economy. EU is slowing our own growth, with their noncompetitive economy while we support them with many cooperatives and duopolies like Airbus. our central bank is holding still watching EU and Chinese slowdowns with uncertainty. Their high level of social services is why they are collapsing. They have an uncontrollable budget, revenues are down, and their currency is enormously overvalued. Tax rate is too high to allow for real competitive business. They must subsidize their industry by imposing austerity on the "European family". European socialism blinded them to economics, and they live in utopia. It will collapse like USSR. Once EU collapses it will be a cheap market to scoop up for American and Russian companies.

USA has run a federal budget surplus for years, it means nothing, our public debt is uncontrollable. Russians do not need social benefits in the form of payments and welfare. Russia already did welfare for many years. Russia has a healthy fundamental economy. Russia has trade SURPLUS, Current Account Surplus, 10.6% debt to GDP, GDP per Capita in PPP of $28,031 annually, 2030 tonnes of gold and increasing, and foreign reserves of nearly 500 billion USD. It shows Russia is leaving its old and sick past behind, and the government is moving in another direction and what it needs is a motivated, young population that can work. For this, Russia must develop its own companies, infrastructure, and healthcare. Infrastructural projects are transforming Russia to another level.

I know you do not understand PPP this can help:

MiamiMachineShop wrote:

Vladimir79 wrote:

I think you are the one living on another planet.  Russians enjoy low taxes because the Federal budget gets most of its funding from the sale of oil and gas.  When oil prices are low we are running a budget deficit and payments and orders are cut.  When under sanctions, no one will buy our bonds so we have to keep our own emergency fund.  It is good for keeping us out of debt but we get no stimulus funding to help suffering people.  France suffers unrest from high taxes, but at least it is a sustainable revenue source not at the whims of the commodities exchange and provides them with high levels of social services.  What Russia needs most is an end to US fracking flooding the world with cheap oil in the short term, and a diversification of industry in the long term.  

Obviously I am not, because in Russia there is no unrest like in Paris currently. Sustainable revenue? How? France has negative interest rates, it runs a trade DEFICIT, and its public debt is 98% of GDP. Foreign reserves are at 154 Billion $ which is very low, Nominal GDP increased by 1.6% which is basically 0 for all intents and purposes. France and EU is SLOWING DOWN. USA is alarmed by this economic slowdown, France is not growing, unrest is growing daily, and the EU central bank is running -0.40 % interest rate. Europe is a sick economy, when the USA finishes them off, sick Europe will collapse. Yields for eurobonds are being cut across the board. The healthy German bonds lost 6.5 basis points last month. EU is having issues with its members, EU is collapsing dude, and they have themselves to blame, although USA accelerates the collapse by sanctioning the asphyxiated euro economy. EU is slowing our own growth, with their noncompetitive economy while we support them with many cooperatives and duopolies like Airbus. our central bank is holding still watching EU and Chinese slowdowns with uncertainty. Their high level of social services is why they are collapsing. They have an uncontrollable budget, revenues are down, and their currency is enormously overvalued. Tax rate is too high to allow for real competitive business. They must subsidize their industry by imposing austerity on the "European family". European socialism blinded them to economics, and they live in utopia. It will collapse like USSR. Once EU collapses it will be a cheap market to scoop up for American and Russian companies.

USA has run a federal budget surplus for years, it means nothing, our public debt is uncontrollable. Russians do not need social benefits in the form of payments and welfare. Russia already did welfare for many years. Russia has a healthy fundamental economy. Russia has trade SURPLUS, Current Account Surplus, 10.6% debt to GDP, GDP per Capita in PPP of $28,031 annually, 2030 tonnes of gold and increasing, and foreign reserves of nearly 500 billion USD. It shows Russia is leaving its old and sick past behind, and the government is moving in another direction and what it needs is a motivated, young population that can work. For this, Russia must develop its own companies, infrastructure, and healthcare. Infrastructural projects are transforming Russia to another level.

https://www.awaragroup.com/blog/impressive-progress-of-russian-roads/

I know you do not understand PPP this can help:
https://www.awaragroup.com/blog/despite-sanctions-russias-gdp-shoots-over-4-trillion/