kvs wrote:Now we see the real prices for transport to and from space. Reality has a habit of asserting itself sooner or later.
Yep, and the extrapolation of this is clearly that the "SpaceX Miracle" is nothing of the sort. Musks success at securing billions of dollars of subsidies from the clueless US taxpayer is NOT reducing aggegate costs to orbit for the industry as a whole. Overall launch cadence hasn't increased, and costs to orbit are still astronomical (pun intended).
The private space "miracle" will end up as a counterpart to the busted "shale oil" flop. Nothing but Enron-style deception and fakery. No more efficient or cost-effective than publically funded space, but much less accountable and with zero effective transparency.
Hole wrote:Great news for Russia. Roskosmos is much cheaper. Some western companies will come back to launch their stuff with russian rockets.
Maybe, but if Russia proves too successful the West will simply sabotage their launch industry by denying permission to transport Western-origin components to Russia (or China) for launch - they will invoke some BS like "national security" concerns like they did with Hwawei, or double down on Navalny-related shitfuckery to impose sanctions. They have done it before and will do it again if it suits them. Fucking reptiles and arrogant greedy sociopathic cultural-chauvenists... they simply cannot be trusted.