Flagship Victory wrote:
I think the focus now is turning to Crimea. Expect major air and sea blockade by the US navy based in Odessa very soon. This is going to get way uglier before it gets any better.
You are watching to many Hollywood movies dude.. US NAVY using its warships to blockade Crimea will mean war.. WAR.. and Russia will have the legitimate right to sink that warship to the
button of the sea. lets see if i can explain it with an example..Legitimacy
and moral high ground. in your actions is The most important thing
in any conflict. This is what made USA retreat from Syria war with its intention to bomb Syria with its Navy.. Obama based his decisions on a faked false flag chemical weapon attack.. that later UN investigators and many other independent ones told it was a staged event and Assad did not did it..
Why is important Legitimacy and Moral high ground in wars? Because if you start a war against
another nation illegally ,without reason ,and you suffer a thousand or so casualties ie.. a warship destroyed.. for attacking another Nation that.. 1)have done nothing against you 2) have not committed any crime . Then the aggressor in this case USA face the HUGE RISK.. that
if they experience major disaster ,,ie.. like an Aegis Destroyer sent to the button of the sea.. with thousands of Americans.. Then the Horror and Scandal will be automatic in America.. everyone will be MAD as hell.. but not with RUssia but with Obama.. because he was messing with Russia at Russian Borders and got Killed americans for its blatant illegal ,illegitimate aggression. So things will be seen as US navy attacked Russia for no reason and Russia fought back in self Defense and sink their warship.. and a revolution will trigger in Washingtong DC asking Obama to Resign and move the hell away US warships from Russia coast to stop their
So you have here an interesting scenario..
1) A US warship destroyed with thousand american killed.
2) A major civil war in USA cities demanding Obame to resign.
3) And Russia happy about it.. ie.. that they could justify their attack with their Russian
citizens because it is the role of any Government to defend its people.
can you see the difference Legitimacy makes?
IF obama is stupid and do what you say ,to blockade Crimea ,and an Air Blockade.. really?
a no fly zone?
What Russia will do if they were that stupid as you think they are it will completely destroy any NATO warships participating in the Blockade of Crimea without the blind of an eye.
And the reason is again Legitimacy , Russia have the legitimate right to defend itself.. if Legitimacy was not important ..then Russia will NOT be bothering with any referemdum in
Crimea.. just take Crimea and thats it. So for Russian Government and for Europe too..
Americans doing what you claim they will do .. will be a declaration of war against Russia followed by an Attack.. it will be no different than US marines invading Russia with thousands of soldiers and tanks.. it will be war.. and it will be non sense.. suicide. Because Americans cannot fight Russia with soldiers invasion. Remember Russia is a nuclear power with thousands of nuclear weapons.
Why you think Ukraine have no bombed Crimea in 1 year of war ?
Because they have no capabilities to do it and have no airforce? of course not. they
could do it.. if really were crazy they will could do it. But they don't do it.. because
their legitimacy is question.. Crimea hold peacefully a REfemdum and kiev cannot claim
effectively Russia aggression there because no one was killed and everyone voluntarily declared
its independence from Ukraine. and asked to join Russia..
So i cannot imagine any scenario where americans will declare a naval blockade in Crimea.
As use their warships to stop any Russian commercial ship entering Crimea..That will be War..
And if Americans wants war with Russia ,and will want to start one.. it will make more sense
a preventive nuclear strike on many Russian military bases and Navy ports and Moscow.. that the non sense you suggest. Of start a war ,for no reason and allow Russia to strike back being
aware they are at war. and allow them to retaliate in full Force and with the support of their people. (while americans government having no support)
So if americans goes a declare a no fly zone in Crimea or a naval blockade with its
navy as you claim .. It will make things incredibly Easy
for Russia. All Russia needs
to do is do a press conference and explain the world the reasons they are declaring war against USA.. to defend their nation from a hostile illegal attack and sink 1-2 US warships and enjoy the American Revolution overthrowing Obama later..
So if american Government were that stupid it will be awesome. Because Russia could defeat US ,in the Crimean way.. using very little force. Just sinking a warship and provoking a civil war in America that will destroy the entire nation ,people very angry with their Government will go to the streets demanding Obama to resign.. and this is not counting ,the HUGE RISK.. that obama will face of a major coup
the Kennedy style , for placing USA in so dangerous situation of an imminent nuclear war with RUssia.
So relax.. there will be no Naval blockade from Americans on any part of Russia ,that will be war. The only thing Americans can do is a proxy war.. provide lethal weapons to Ukraine
and encourage them fight the Rebels that Russia support.. and they will claim is self defense.
So they will have some at very least a debatable level of legitimacy.
Russia was ready to use nuclear weapons against just 1 Cruiser destroyer warships.. according to Putin words..and make no mistake ,Putin will have not Blinked twice to use nukes if there was confirmed reports of a US attack on Crimea..with Russian soldiers killed. Why nukes? because
a single torpedo could do the job.. To get the maximum possible message to United States and
get the world attention to American Hostile Aggression will not be tolerated by Russia and that will defend itself with everything they have.
If you ever meditate about the word.. Public Opinion
how EXTREMELY important
it is in wars... you will understand why Americans fight by Proxy Russia ,in Syria and Ukraine..
and you will Understand why Russia retaliate in Ukraine with another proxy war. They both fully
understand it will be suicide to start a war without 80% to 90% support of its people. So the fight in Ukraine needs to be done in many fronts.. Military front, Political front ,diplomatic front ,Business front and Public Opinion front.. that is shaped by the media.
That said americans cannot start a war on Russia without Public opinion absolute majority support. and fully explaining the possible consequences of it. What American Government
could do if they were really desperate to destroy the planet.. they could start a False FLag
in US cities.. detonate nuclear bombs there.. and later blame Russia for it.
Fortunately for Putin.. he have been very friendly to Americans always
that they want good relations with Americans and will continue working with them even if
relations bad.. So Putin truly understand how important is public opinion in war.. thats why
he calls Ukraine their brotherly nation
and how he call americans friends at time..
this is not because Putin is naive or an idiot.. he very well will like to bomb poroshenko and Washington DC.. it is a message to the world opinion.. To get the entire world ,including americans on Russian side.. on the need for political dialogue..
And this is why every American Politician or NATO , whenever they talk about Russia..
the mention the word "Russia Agression" as many times as possible.. and this is to gain
Public Opinion.. to get people opinion on their side.. that way if a war start.. or a major
unintended consequence happens ,that they provoke Russia and Russia strike back.. that the
people anger and hate is driven against Russia and NOT against them. .
Civil wars are more more dangerous ,for a government than a nuclear war. Because if you get
your army divided ,and half of the nation seeking to overthrow you.. the entire country will go down and without Russia firing a single shot.. and Public Opinion is the most important thing
in the world for any war or conflict. is what makes the difference in weather you will be alone
fighting or with vast majority of the world support.
Remember when Putin told in the Syrian war.. when the US navy was withing hours to fire
cruise missiles to to Strike Syria.. Putin told he will not fight Americans , not even in defense of their allies in Syria. That Russia will only seek diplomacy to solve their difference..
Did Putin betrayed Syria? No.. It was neccessary to get World Opinion on Russia Side.. and they did it.. and that was the reason Obama retreated from his frontal direct attack on Syrian Government. Because Obama wanted war against Syria was NOT officially supported by anyone in NATO (other than France).. So the World Public Opinion ,including its NATO allies was against
Yet Putin told will never fight in defense of Syria.. but behind the scenes their warships in Syrian Coast were monitoring any single movement of US navy to warn Syria about any missile launch and help with logistics the Syrian Government. Significantly improving
the Syrian Small Navy and Airforce of all US navy movements , Russia could easily have guided
the missiles that Syria fire to its final target.. and Americans will have no way to know or proof
Having a diplomatic,friendly and humanitarian helpful stance ,shaking hands with Poroshenko ,kerry obama and nuland smiling..allows Russia to counter all the propaganda of being a monster by the west.that is worse than ISIS and not as bad as Ebola according to obama
,and also help to have the entire world opinion on Russian side ,including americans.
that will be extremely helpful not only in case Russia is forced to fight in a major world war..(helping Russia to get overwhelming support of Russian people regardless of Economy ) but also to make Russia immune to AMerican staged False flags attacks (as was the malasyan plane) or any other they planning.that could be used to justify their western aggression.
all said.. in any war that Russia is forced to fight.. they will need to have most of World Opinion on their side..but more than anything Russians opinion, otherwise it Risk ,a major civil war
in Russia demanding Putin to be overthrow for Russians killed in an unjustified war... and this is exactly the goal of Americans.. They know Ukraine stand not a chance to win against Russia..
but it doesn't matter.. as long they can damage Russia and Putin image , something that could be the caused by Russian army soldiers killed and economy destroyed etc.. then they win. Putin needs to maintain their nation unity at all cost.. no matter what
,if they want to avoid another soviet union style collapse and calls for separation in Russia.. And this can be obtained by only using their army if it can be 100% fully justified..and fully explained that
another Nation attacked them and that they need to defend itself.
Having people support is also extremely important for RUssia ,so people help the Government
defeat western sanctions and their attempts to isolate Russia.. Any government that lose
people support is a dead government. and will get civil wars and divided armies and bankrupt
economy and cease to exist.. . Russia will defeat Kiev and without any army invasion.. this is what will happen if kiev continues its illegal criminal war for another year.