It doesn't have to be 100% Chinese design
It wouldn't be a Chinese design... those aircraft you are suggesting are basically old Soviet designs with minor changes.
they could base it on An-12 & use Y-9 as a cross reference; it will have commonality with their An-12s that will soldier on for years to come
Their An-12s are at the end of their lives... once they are scrapped there will be nothing to soldier on.
The An-12 was a good aircraft for its time but technology has moved on... new avionics and new systems and new cargo systems and cargo standards.
They have already upgraded the Il-476 massively and adapted its avionics and cargo handling systems to meet the future needs of the Military... now all they need to do is take off two engines and shorten the body and wings a little bit and they have a replacement for an aircraft they don't have in production on their territory.
There r already facilities for An-12 maintenance & overhauls.
Which can be upgraded and retooled to maintain and service a newer aircraft once all the old clangers are gone.
They can use the same engines as the IL-112 or a new/upgraded type that will need to be built for it anyway.
But the aircraft they have selected to replace the An-12 is the Il-276 and it would take much longer to test the Il-276 with four turboprop engines than for two engines that are already fitted to its big brother, the ll-476..
The An-2 is even more ancient; the C-130 is likewise- from the 1950s; both r workhorses with deep modernization/upgrade potential, & that's why its being done.
The An-2 is a unique case of a design that does a very specific job very very well, so its replacement will be an all composite remake with improved aerodynamics and avionics and new engine and propeller. Hopefully the engine can be replaced with a Russian engine and it will continue to serve for a very long time.
The An-12 is just a transport plane and needs replacing by a larger aircraft with more internal space, and the Il-276 ticks all the important boxes.
But it won't be less costly: Program cost $600M Unit cost $35–40M
An-12 Price: $7.650M http://www.virtairlines.com/db/Antonov%20An-12
It would cost way more than 600 million to do a complete redesign and modernisation of the An-12... and it would take three years just to digitise the design properly without modification.
The unit price of a brand new An-12 with upgrades and of course the cost of developing new engines from scratch would be vastly more than the cost of the Il-276 programme which they can piggy back on the back of the Il-476 programme and even use its engines...
They didn't regret stretching it & it was heavily used, but as a strategic airlifter it was no longer adequate with its narrow body & thus not worth restarting production. The AF needed STOL C-17s in big #s, but it killed the MD corp.; then gov. subsidized Boeing sold many of them to AF & abroad. Poor analogy!
You give wiki too much credit... the C-141 was not a good aircraft but the C-17 was a horrendous money trap... it was the beta test to what we now call the F-35.
Ie build factories all over the US... not in places with skilled labour or where the resources are located, but where there is high unemployment with a senator on important committees that decides who gets money in the military. Hire a bunch of local retards and quadruple the cost of manufacture but they will throw money at the programme because it means jobs in their electorate... the Pentagon realised early on they didn't need to ask for C-17s because they got funding for new planes whether they asked for them or not... and they used the same model with the F-35 and it worked too... it also make the aircraft horrendously expensive too and scattered the makers all over the place too... terrible, but they will call it a success...
The YC-15 wasn't a failure, becoming a de-facto C-17 prototype.
You could probably get 8-9 Il-476s for the price of one C-17... you could probably get 4-5 Il-106s for the price of one C-17... the C-17 programme is a sterling example of how to waste money that isn't yours...
Not alone, but with the An-2/124s- both r being "deeply" modernized & may/will be produced in RF under different names:
You are not understanding... the An-12 is nothing like the An-2 or the An-124... they have nothing in common, so keeping one or other of these aircraft makes no difference as to whether you bother to try to keep the other in service.
The An-2 is a complete reconstruction of an old effective and efficient layout with modern materials and avionics and systems... it looks the same as an An-2 like a modern 32 core 4 Ghz PC with 16 Gigabytes of RAM memory and a 12 gigabyte graphics card looks like a 286 IBM clone from the early 1990s.
The An-124 will likely get new engines and continue to operate for a short while but its days are numbered too.
The An-12 doesn't do anything particularly special or amazing and an Il-276 can easily replace it with the same engines as the Il-476 and the same cargo bay profile so they can carry the same types of cargo pallet... it will just be carrying fewer...
$ don't smell: why spend more when u can save? Iran still uses & upgrades its F-4s/5s/14s, C-130s, CH-47s & P-3s even though they came "from an enemy state"
Well how many export contracts has Iran achieved with their F-5 clones or any of those other types they keep flying?
You say money is a factor... what sort of sales can Russia expect with an ancient Soviet design already produced by China for export?
Will China appreciate selling the design to Russia and then have the low value of the ruble mean Russian made copies of Chinese copies of An-12s under cut them on the international trade market?
Russia needs to build aircraft that suit its needs first and copies of copies of ancient cold war aircraft don't make sense unless nothing else can do the job... like the An-2.
And even then a total upgrade and overhaul in design means it is really nothing like the original in actual fact.
In the long run, developing the IL-276 may benefit Russia but it may take longer & cost a lot more than they expect- it's the economic side effect of events in Ukraine that the West instigated to weaken Russia. Unwillingly, Russia falls into that trap.
Any extra money spent by Russia on the Il-276 goes in to Russian pockets... Russia was needing to replace the An-12 over the next decade of so anyway, and they were always intended to design and build that replacement with India... India pulled out because they didn't want a scaled down Il-476, but Russia does so now Russia can get exactly what it needs and wants... it would be rather stupid to now buy Chinese rip offs of An-12s.
All airplanes called 'Antonov' are permanently finished
Finished in Russian military service... they will continue to live on around the place for a few years yet... even if only in Chinese knockoffs...
In ur dreams only. Read the link I posted: it'll be revived & improved.
Technically the Soviet original is going to be totally replaced by a new, modern, Russian, composite, redesigned and upgraded model.
The shape is slightly different, better aerodynamics and much reduced weight retaining good strength through new materials and new much more capable avionics...
The An-12s share Soviet/Ukrainian designed engines with the IL-20s; they r produced at PMZ (Perm) & KMPO plants in Russia:
Yeah, and are they still in actual production or are they just making spare parts. When the An-12s retire from Russian service there will not be much market for those engines so they will need to look at different engines to make.
If needed, they could be further upgraded & given more efficient props. Or just the 2 engines originally intended for An-22s/Tu-95s but with smaller diameter props could probably be used, with enough power to haul 25T or even 30T payloads.
The An-22 is gone from service and plans for the PAK DA to start production in the mid 2020s means the life of the Bear is counting down too.
And like the Neanderthal DNA that lives on in u & every1 of us, unless u/they r 100% Black Africans.
We also have plenty of redundant DNA from creatures we evolved from... including aquatic DNA from when we lived in the ocean... doesn't mean I wont drown in the water though...