Russian special military operation in Ukraine #38

Arrow wrote:Rybat claims that Ukraine still has a lot of potential to be mobilized

Good

It's important to be thorough

Pavi
Right now logistic chain is relatively short for russians even though form of the front favors ukrainians due to fact that they are able to move troops faster in the inner circle of the front. Therefore, it is better to deal ukrainian army in Donbas without extending the frontline much further.

Somehow I think, that NATO would like this kind of Big Arrow movement, which would allow to force Russia in guerrilla war as they are experienced themselves in Afganistan and Irak. Russians have not taken the bait, I guess...

That's an interesting point. But it just seems like the Kiev regime will never completely exhaust itself. It has been a year of this strategy already. They are already throwing 50 year olds into the fight now while the next batch of younger conscripts off the street are training in Germany. Are we gonna go through another year of this ? Russia can afford it. Thats not the problem.

It seems to me that attacking Kiev would be a better strategy. Just overwhelm it and remove the govt.

I asked a question of a guy on youtube that was a Leopard crewman who had served on several variants. My question was how long would it take to train crew to a proficiency where they could operate in a coordinated formation. He said at least 1 year from scratch. So minus the 5 weeks it takes to learn how to drive the thing decently, that is like another 47 weeks more then what they are planning to train these guys. Seriously why not be merciful and replace the armor with plywood.

Judging by the last big weapons shipment to Ukraine. The truth was somewhere in the middle. The weapons shipments always arrive sooner and are a bit more useful than someone like Brian Berletic says they will be. Brian is smart and does great work. And in the big picture he's right.

The Anglo axis are lying scum. They most likely have been training conscripts on these tanks for 3-6 months already. And who knows, maybe they have one Nato soldier with each piece to run them. That is clearly what they did with the M70 artillery pieces and other things.

Russia shouldn't be too dismissive of these weapons shipments. Because there's nothing true about what is going on. They are always just a nuisance but they cost time and lives for Russia which is unacceptable.

Looks familiar...

"Russian reinforcements massing in the Donbass for the new offensive (80-90% likely)
Russia is preparing an army of 200,000 soldiers for the new offensive
This new offensive will likely focus on the Donbass and pushing back the Ukrainians from there
Goal is to capture the whole of the Donetsk oblast
No Russian offensive groups in the north
Russian offensive could possibly start shortly after February 15th
No massing of forces in the south currently (Kherson or Zaporozhye)"

Nice...

Well, so that means that those unfinished fuselages of
An-72 are also gone for good.

Anyway, the plant was never properly modernised and probably the only thing of use were the hangars.

If Kharkov should return to Russia (and not being in a north Korea like status) after the war, a new plant for aircraft repair and spare part production can be built there.

P.S.concening the training of ukrianian pilots I am curious if Russia should openly declare that they are going to train military forces for the IRA (irish republican army) and for a Scottish independence army

No need. Just improve and strengthen air defense capabilities both in material and operation. The little air defense left in Ukraine is still a sufficient deterrent for Russian aircraft; that also works in the opposite way.

Make sure there is no abundance of having enough layered coverage by multiple radars, systems; long, mid and short range. Introduce remote controlled (mobile) launcher units so you can operate multiple defense sites by a single person. Allows you to have much more vehicles on the ground improving coverage and redundancy while keeping your operators safe; how troubling would it be for any opponent if a remote controlled Tor/Buk/Pantsir is regularly changing position without people on site operating the vehicles.

On the other hand, situations where an operational Tor system gets hit by an Excalibur while being surveilled by a drone should not happen. The drone should have been detected and or destroyed, and the same for incoming shells especially if you are not saturating the system.

The West relies on air dominance. Counter this, and then you remove the threat for many.

The factory in Kharkov modified the Tu-141 drones.

Countries and their national animals

Krasna Gora is on the brink of being liberated.

The factory in Kharkov modified the Tu-141 drones.

Begs the question of why it wasn't leveled earlier

ALAMO Today at 8:33 am

Kommersant cited the numbers concerning Russian tank production. They calculated at least 850 pcs a year. As Kommersant is hardly a patriotic newspaper Laughing and the data were taken from the peace time stats, do the math.

Do you have a link on this? Russians haven't produced 850 tanks per year for decades. I think 300 or so was max.

Probably that number also includes refurbishment of old tanks.

Anyway I read somewhere that Uralvagonzavod produces more tanks annually than the rest of the world combined.

A bunch of "Western experts" giving their thoughts on how things will progress next. Interesting take away for myself was

"Philip O'Brien: Russia has focused on maneuverable units

Ukraine still has nothing to resist the Russian onslaught - despite the ongoing Western military assistance. As Italian military expert Thomas Teiner said in an interview with the German edition of Welt , there are currently 80 combat brigades in Ukraine compared to 27 at the beginning of the special operation. However, all these brigades have so far failed to integrate the promised Western weapons.

“Ukraine needs a long time to integrate all the new weapons that have been promised, from artillery systems and infantry fighting vehicles to armored personnel carriers and main battle tanks,” says military expert Phillip O'Brien from the University of St. Andrews in Scotland.

O'Brien notes that the Russian command learned from the failures in the first phase of the special operation. Then the emphasis was placed on large-scale operations in which the infantry played the main role. This, in turn, required the maintenance of large military depots. Now the emphasis is on the use of small, maneuverable units.

Well-trained assault forces operate in the most difficult directions - Artemovsky (Bakhmutsky) and Ugledarsky. Although O'Brien notes that the Armed Forces of Ukraine have also changed and improved their military tactics. So the battles in the coming months after the start of the Russian offensive, according to the expert, will be extremely bloody."

NOTE: 80 brigades sounds about right with all the reserve and territorial brigades formed. However all are understrength, poorly equipped and cadre weak.



FULL ARTICLE: https://svpressa-ru.translate.goog/war21/article/361595/?utm_source=warfiles.ru&_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en