There will be no complete withdrawal, they may take away a few thousand who are there "officially". But there are more troops then whats admitted to.
The presence of US forces in the region gave the Kurds a reason to raise two fingers to both Turkey and Assad... because the presence of US forces meant neither could really attack with any serious thoughts of real victory... any attack force could easily be destroyed by US air power... I mean lets face it... they are not using it for anything useful like taking out terrorists or anything.
This is mostly a saving face move by Trump "I am doing what I promised remember to re-elect me".
But that is the problem... most of the US media is so rabidly anti Trump they will pull him up on it if it comes to election time and the troops are still there in any capacity... so he really has to either front up or not even bother.
Trump may agree to let the turks have some additional land, along their border to make them happy.
The turks don't want more land... they want the kurds dealt with...
Fact is no one knew he was going to say something like that, which shows it was a spilt second decision.
Yeah... he is a dick... we know... but considering he is your dick... congrats... your dick is enormous...
Delegations have met between Assad and kurds many many times and nothing ever happens. I have heard kurd leaders say they will hand over something to Assad it never happens.
Have heard Kurdish groups in charge of areas say they don't mind if Assads forces occupy the area as long as they get autonomy and govern themselves... I am sure Assad will agree to that.
I can't see the Turks giving them anything at all except short sharp lead injections.
Now is it possible we will pull out? Sure but in over 30 years we have never fully removed troops from anywhere. So my statement is based on years of experience and how things work.
Indeed I agree, and would not be surprised at all if the US didn't pull something sneaky and underhanded... home of the brave and all that...
Do I personally think we should leave Syria, yes. But I don't see it happening.
The US pulling out offers the best chance of a political resolution because it kicks the crutch away from the Kurds so they will be more likely to compromise with Assad... once they have an agreement, then it comes down to the terrorists in Idlib.
Actually this move by Trump is probably rather clever because I think the actual plan was for Turkey to order the terrorist groups in Idlib to attack the Kurds with Turkeys support and in the eyes of Turkey kill terrorists on both sides... a win win situation.
Now Assad and the Kurds will likely deal with IS pockets in the former US protected regions, which means Turkey will likely need to deal with the terrorists in their regions... or Assads forces will go there next.
It's only been 2 days since he said that and already it's look like nothing more than a glorified PR move., don't count your chickens before they hatch.
As I said... the PR is for the US elections... which is still some way away... but the US media will call him on this if he fails to deliver... so I suspect this might actually be a promise he might try to keep.
Which is not to say he will certainly deliver... we all know he wanted better relations with Russia too... but he misspoke...
We did lease a base from them, So no that's not a withdrawal. The lease was up and we left.
To be fair, I remember that... the US fought hard to stay there but were kicked out.
That's a much different situation than Syria. Where we have active ground forces and much more.
And are there illegally....
There an idea that keeps coming on twitter of a russian-french coalition against Turkish operation to protect kurds. Possible but winder how much possible.
Why would Russia want to protect the Kurds?
There are fears of Arab-Turkish confrontations that will be the first of their kind on Syrian soil.
I think the Turks would love to see the US forces replaced with Saudi and Qatari forces... it would make the Kurdish forces much easier to flatten like road kill, but would also add spice to the flavour of the meat for the barbecue afterwards.
we can postpone it, but that does not mean that we will abandon the operations we will initiate in the future.
If the Turks cancel their operations plans there would be no reason for the Kurds to run to assad saying they will sign any agreement... just let them have autonomy and that is all.