If Poland take over Galicia before Russia doing so, later Poland would have to assume some part of the Ukrainian debt for sure
Doing so would join the war agaisnt Russia on the side of Kiev which would lead to lots of dead Poles and no claim for Article 5 protection from HATO allies.
but given the fact Russia (supposedly) took over almost the entire country, including the capital, it would be hard (read impossible) to convince anyone (in any terms) western Ukraine was the major beneficiary of that money, what would be necessary to somehow force Poland to assume the larger part of it.
Could be argued that Ukraine has been without a real government since the 2014 coup because opposition parties were banned, so Kiev is not the legitimate government of Ukraine... any funds the west gives or donates or lends is lost and it is their risk.
Theoretically, Russia could demand some assets, but seriously?
When Ukraine stops being a country the problem will be for the debtors to find some money, or they can write it all off to a failed attempt to destroy Russia.
Either way I doubt Russia would be interested in paying money in a court case held in Europe by a court that is as politically motivated as western courts are.
Russia is turning its back to the west and it understands that a knife in the back is the expected result, which is why they wont accept the juristiction of any western controlled organisation regarding its future moving forward.
 probably decades of discussions and annoyances.
Not at all... as soon as Russia demands all trade with hostile western countries to be done in Rubles most trade is going to cease... at which point most Russian embassies in Europe will be closed when all the diplomats are kicked out in singles or groups, at which point Russia will close all western embassies in Russia except possibly the US... but maybe close them too because what is the point.
No need to discuss anything at all.
 or ever if central Ukraine is still independent, this is not on Poland hands anyway.
Poland has a history of stealing land when borders shift in the region but I am sure Russia will take advantage of this to kill some Poles with cruise missiles if they try.
 just have a look on western Ukraine level of development.
Western Ukraine is what it is and will likely remain so.
5 - the representatives of the now independent republics also sign the document to reinforce the whole thing.
Nice.... but after 8 years Kiev under two different presidents failed to do what they signed up to do with the Minsk agreements... what value is a signature from that
The countries that supplied money can get it back from the Ukrainian officials that stole it and then disappeared to the west just afterwards, or they can accept it is gone. They were creating a weapon against Russia... there is no way Russia nor the regions they rescued from that nazi soup will pay that back.
I wouldn't bother keeping that law degree you have, seems rather useless.
It is part of the weapon the west has been using against the rest of the world and is exactly what Russia is fighting against...
It is what the colonial powers used to justify their abuse of much of the known planet, and the basis of what the US is doing to them now which is nice.
I would say you are wrong and the Europeans are already siphoning the 300B in Russian reserves to Ukraine.
I hope they are for two very good reasons... first there will be a hell of a lot more than 300B worth of western assets in Russia they can seize in return, and secondly it shouts to the world that US dollars and Euros are not safe in western banks for foreign countries who might find themselves on the wrong side in any future confrontation involving the west.
The first will fix the damage of the problem... in both senses because no doubt when a western company loses billions of dollars worth of assets in Russia and seeks compensation from its own government the money they could have used to pay them has gone to Ukraine... or more precisely into the pockets of western and Kiev officials who will pretend it is helping the Ukraine.
But secondly it will seriously damage the reputation of the US dollar and the Euro and western banking system... who is that going to hurt in the long run?
International law was written in the west. Why do you think that is? Your education teaches you a vary narrow viewpoint of only thay particular law structure crayed by those institutions that benefit then. BYW, you say it's a long process. OK. Then look at the outright theft of Iran's gold and resource which still isn't fully paid back. Let's wait for that resolution before saying Russia will have to pay back. Lol.
International law that allows a British court to award two billion dollars in gold assets of the country of Venezuela to be given to Guano... who has never been elected to anything and has been appointed by the west as some figurehead... yeah... sounds like international law needs some real revision.
Now, if the Poles take over western Ukraine before Russia doing so, for starters Poland is now part of the controversy too and Russia would need to convince Poland to also accept these terms or obliterate her to an unconditional surrender too. But then it would hardly be so simple.
If the Poles cross the border into the Ukraine they become a party to the war on Kievs side and can be calibrated out of existence... for it to be a peace keeping force they would need the permission of the UNSC and what chance is there of that...
If the Poles cross the border I am sure there are lots of military targets in Poland Russia would love to suppress... they have monuments to nazis there so that would be a good target for a start...
The fact Russia is not just paying its debt but also making clear it will do everything to not default clearly indicate you have absolutely no clue of what you are talking about, and somehow living in a fantasy world of Russian exceptionalism. Please, look for a doctor.
Because Russian debts to western creditors is all about western investment into the growth and development of Russia with some people in the west getting a bit of profit out of it.
Ukrainian debt is propping up a nazi regime that has been shelling its own people for 8 years claiming they are Russian invaders... most of that money not going any where near Ukraine and likely being deposited into bank accounts around the world where ever tax laws are weak.
Actually if Russia builds Soyuz-Vostok and expands LNG export capacity in Yamal then it can switch an amount equivalent to over half of current gas exports to the EU towards China or other Far Eastern nations instead.
Very much agree. Russia needs to look to creating trade partners in the rest of the world to replace their so called western partners...
Due to geography alone it makes sense for Russia and Europe to trade. Closest market to Russia's core. But if political circumstances don't allow it then Russia has little options. And once the infrastructure to export for Russia to export to Asia is built I doubt the trade will switch back easily.
Russia needs to follow up their pipe building in Asia with sales of equipment that uses gas to help the Asian economies switch to cleaner burning gas energy sources and away from dirty coal, or unreliable green energy sources.
As cheap Russian gas arrives in Asia then more expensive gas from the middle east and US will have to migrate to europe who by then will be used to paying the prices these sources require to be profitable.
But then it is not just energy.... there are a lot of industries that rely on gas to produce products that electricity generated in other ways simply can't replace...
LNG gas is inherently more expensive i.e. less competitive than natgas delivered via pipelines.
But not when the pipelines are on hostile countries that might steal flow gas without warning. The Europeans have made themselves bad customers, and it is willfully bad on purpose... the solution is simple... the Europeans have been talking about a pivot to Asia because there is big money and growth potential there.... they have been screwing Russia who has been working with China to improve trade routes from Europe to Asia via land and sea and air... well euro sanctions already blocked air routes over Russia... why would Russia promote land or sea routes for anyone but itself now?
I can assure you that Ru government and business will be first to continue business relationship with EU. Same goes for the opposite side.
Yeah, I think the US trying to kill Russians and telling the EU to help them achieve this and then actually doing it for the last 8 years all the while blaming Russia for everything might leave a bad taste in their mouths...
I understand EU companies wanting relations... they obviously make good money there... they are not charities... but their countries pushing weapons into the hands of Ukrainian civilians to get them to kill Russian soldiers... all out in the open like...
I hope Russia realises it is an abused country and sucking up to the countries that are abusing it is not healthy... your hero worship of the west needs to stop... they are scumbags and they hate you.
EU companies wanting to stay in Russia want to stay there because their branches in Russia are making good money while their branches at home are stagnating...
To be clear there are some western companies that are ignoring sanctions... those food companies that are refusing to sanction Russia because they know people around the world will starve if they are selfish and political and sanction the Russians along with their countries governments.
Those companies should be rewarded and promoted...
The frozen central bank foreign reserves were: 71 billion in France, 58 billion in Japan, 55 billion in Germany, 38 billion in the United States, 26 billion in the UK, 17 billion in Austria, and 16 billion in Canada.
I read somewhere that part of the frozen funds were gasprom accounts where EU countries paid their gas bills, which were frozen.
This is why they demanded that european countries paid their gas bills into a Russian bank account and set up another account in the same bank in rubles to transfer their money in Euros from one account to the Rubles account to pay for gas that way the money can't be siezed before or after conversion by the west.
If that is true then some of the frozen money is actually gas money so if it is stolen then that amount of gas is not paid for and should be withheld... in fact that might be a good measure... all assets siezed in the west will be taken as gas pumped so if you sieze 300 billion in assets or currency then Gasprom will withhold 300 billion in gas until the assets are returned or money refunded.
They of course need to be smart about it too.