Arrow wrote:Russia with such low oil prices will have problems. That's 50% of their exports. Many industries are associated with the raw material industry, so it is not a total of 7% but much more. At such prices, the cuts will be huge.
You assume that Russia's exports account for 100% of its GDP. They don't:
Russia is the second biggest oil exporter in the world, making its economy vastly dependent on the global oil market. Oil and gas exports constitute 40 percent of the total federal budget revenue of Russia.
GDP does not equals real economy ,real nation economy..= net profits .
If for example a businessman only income comes from selling luxury cars.. lets says mercendes benz cars..
and they buy each one from the factory at $100,000 dollars.. each.. then they later sale at retail those
cars for $140,000 .. so how much is the businessman real profit? $140k or $ 40k ?
Real economy is net profits.. what remains left after your expenses..
and Russian economy ,its energy exports accounts for 40% of Russia budget.. ..
for comparisons American economy net profits in energy exports are about 5% of its nation economy..
So this is why americans can bring down oil prices to its knees..FOREvER!!!!!
they don't care ,they can very easily
manage the loses with a loan to their energy sector..
in fact thats what trump is going to do... they do want piece of shit this oil war.. they want to break
Russia in a milion of pieces the Russian economy..and the easiest way is driving down oil prices ,that affect
also natural gas prices.. and the alternative of not fighting an oil war with russia ,is a military war , either
use biological weapons ,as they did to china ,that is very unpredictable the consequences or bombs and missiles war . so for US is millions times better and easier an oil prices war. hands down.. because US shale industry
is merely a small profit in their pockets.. only about 5% .
If we include the domestic energy market profits.. then easily from 50% to 60% of Russian economy is affected
by oil prices..
it could be even more , because Oil and natural gas industry in Russia are among the top business in generating
jobs for Russia.. from security services ,to engineers for pipelines ,to scientist in research for new oil fields..
from miners to dig holes in new zones.. and those pipelines are also expensive.. not free.. Russia needs to pay
a big debt caused by its energy industry.
So Putin's bet on energy industry is an incredibly short sight strategy ,specially knowing how easy is for americans every 5-8 years to collapse oil prices.. it was oil prices collapse.. combined with the arms race ,combined with the afghan war .. what sink soviet union economy.. and ended on its civil unrest and failure.
So americans hits Russia economy big hard.. trump and obama had putin by the balls.. with their oil war.
And Russia response ? is putin's politeness and its call for restoring relations
Russia economic gas station model is not only Outdated for a nation with the capabilities that Russia ,that
was leading at one point in space exploration.. but is also no longer sustainable ,since US can very easily
can harm Russia economy ,by flooding oil prices... it is oil and natural gas , the reason americans are interested in invading iran ,invading Venezuela ,Lybia and Syria. is not because they need oil..for them.. but because Russia needs it.. So imagine all the irony.. that Putin failure economic model , encourage americans to target all those
nations with a lot of energy ,allied with Russia.
Putin's development of Russia (or lack of ) . is what determine in which way the country economy will
be attacked.. and now here is the catch.. Americans can harm 5G technology .. by starting an oil war to
sink oil prices..
americans can't harm china economy /huawei by hosting olympics or by selling more
oranges or rice or bananas ..
If your economy is based on high tech ,the only way to target that business is with superior business..
and Trump tried to start a war against china huawei and 5G and ban it from the world.. and Failed
even UK welcomed China high tech..
So why the moron Putin don't get a fucking clue ,that all that the idiot needs to do ,to bypass american
sanctions ,and influence in the world.. is create superior modern business than the americans ones..
in things very popular ,that takes the world into the future.. is Leadership in modern business ,the way
to defeat the American empire.. not rice and potatoes records.. or sports medals. Russia need to privatize
its energy industry ,sell it to france and germany , and live happy with extraction fees ,per oil or natural gas sent to europe an you will see in no time , russian energy become a real monopoly in all european continent. and will be sanctions proof. because it will be european business the owners of russia oil and gas and not russia
Any government in Russia who wants to end the american empire ,and force them to become a normal cooperative nation ,with Russia ,if don't want to be isolated from the world ,needs to move towards a digital modern economy and space exploration economy. space tourism.. how can you sanction that? if the super rich in US
will be fighting each other for a ticket to fly around the world in a space ship ? how about a space cruise ship
to orbit the moon and return to earth ? that can be done in just 6 days.. space travel. and even less in 1-2 days with a plasma engine. The Caveman president is what holds Russia back.. his extremely outdated vision of Russia.. and how its economy should be. it is only through modernization and success.. through Leader ship ,
how Russia can earn the respect it wants and how they can end the western hostilities against Russia.. that will be the day ,they realize ,they no longer the leader in the world and that will benefit enormously in closer relations with Russia.