And before you say it yes these drones were taken down but it gave the Russians a bit of a scare and that was 13 drones what happens if 50 are sent?
Then as you rightly guessed it will make things more complicated for Russia the interception of all of them
before they too close to the base. No matter how effective/powerful are Russia military air defenses.. any system
in the world can be saturated.. whether is a pantsir or an S-300 ,s-400 or even s-500 ,or american aegis defenses or
Israelis iron dome . This was a first try with 13 drones at same time.. by NATO backed terrorist.. the question should
be how many drones US/NATO/Israel could get in the air flying at the same time..?? for sure a lot more than that..
what if the attack is done by 100 - 300 cheap kamikazi drones? using similar tactics?
No idea of the numbers of Russia air defense hardware in Syria.. for the sake of example , lets say Russia have
deployed in Syria many S-400s defenses with a total of 100 missiles.. then if the terrorist launch an attack with US help of (100 + 1 ) drones armed with bombs... then the number 101 will hit the intended target... and while technically
speaking it will be a major success of S-400 capability, a perfect score.. Russia could lose hundreds of soldiers and all the dozens of combat planes if just one drone penetrates the airbase. fortunately Pantsirs also have gatling MACHINE gun as the last line of defense WITH ~4K range defense.. but that ammo is also limited to a few minutes of combat..
will have to be refueled something that cannot be done fast..even less in the middle of major attack..
Because the drones (Putin told ) had the fly route programmed internally ,so jamming will not be very effective
to deviate significantly the drone from its intended path ,because the core navigation in guided internally . So a mass attack wave of too many drones.. against any army in the world NATO or Russia or Israel.. will always represent a big issue and a security threat... This is why Laser weapons can save the day.. if developed well and with plenty of energy to operate non stop for many hours to defeat the drones or a missiles attack.
Russia military however apparently have claimed to have energy weapons too in service... Not using laser ..but
instead using very high electromagnetic energy fields like weapons.. that can fry the electronics of any system missiles, drones and planes... so if this is true.. then it will be an additional layer of protection.. but still such weapons lasers guns/electromagnetic guns can be overwhelmed or not work in all cases..specially against old and reliable artillery, So this is why air defenses alone will not be enough.. not even pantsirs and s-400's can do it all..it will be vulnerable without the help of an aiforce to push the enemy farther away from the zone you want to protect. But this is not the case of Syria.. Russia was unable to create a safe zone around its base.. because of Turkey invasion on idlib ,so it will need to combine effective diplomacy too with Turkey and Americans and so other players aiding terrorist in Syria ,to make it less likely for a direct military confrontation between them.
last but not least geography is very important ..even as much as technology is ,in defending a military base... Russia air defenses in Syria are in a vulnerable position.. because the entire base is very close to Turkey border.. and also
Israel airforce through lebanon airspace invasion can get close enough for a surprise first strike attack... if Netanyahu one day lose his mind and decide to pick a fight with Russia there. So Russian airdefenses can't be judged based on
Syria performance because of the vulnerability of the geography there , plays against Russia more than anyone , Since US ,Israel ,Turkey and many other Middle east nations can send operatives to Idlib close to Russia base and allow them
to try and try and try until they get it done... In Russia main land is a totally different story.. S-400s to really take advantage of their range (to prevent a first strike surprise attack,when the war have not started yet) you need a big territory ,and your most important military bases and hardware far from from your enemy positions and your airforce
need to provide help to keep the enemy away from your borders..
So Syria is very complicate ,to properly defend when already you have the enemy lines/terrorist-NATO positions withing the artillery distance.. if the fight was in Russia , the military have more than plenty of territory to move to a safer position.. but is totally the opposite.
So the entire thing is very complex , Russia best options is with diplomacy and to freeze the conflict as much
as possible. In long term , things could be better ,since is unlikely erdogan will last for long in power and US will eventually leave Syria as they did in IRAQ... Kurdistan dream is just fantasy ,that will cost a lot of money to US
to maintain a landlocked region as a prosperous country.and sooner or later ,in a few years US will stop sending
the money and Kurds will have to Return to Russia and Syria for help.