Meanwhile, China is using merchant vessels to launch rockets. They carried out such a test this week, again. These merchant vessels can also accommodate Ballistic Missiles. Given China's fleet of nearly merchant 5,000 ships & the size of container ships, covertly placing a few dozen MRBMs/ ICBMs aboard such ships & dispersing them in the ocean would give it a new, virtually undetectable first strike option
What they are saying there is that our fleet of civilian merchant vessels could be armed and dangerous so if you are feeling paranoid we have just made our merchant fleet legitimate targets for an enemy to sink for whatever reason.
A TOPOL Truck mounted ICBM could easily be driven onto any rollon rolloff vessel and have the missile launched, but making the ships you use to trade with internationally into legitimate military targets sounds a little short sighted.
Especially for Russia who has stealthy submarines with ballistic missiles that can also be sailed around the world hidden ready to strike enemy targets with little warning too.
Right now, India is completely defenseless against ICBMs.
Everybody is... that is the point.
So India will have to find a way to intercept these Chinese ICBMs, SLBMs. S-500 provides the answer.
If India thinks they can be safe from Chinese IRBMs, how would they feel about China buying S-500 too?
India buying S-500s to protect India from ICBMs might make China think India plans to attack them and to use S-500 to protect themselves from the response so naturally China will have a really good think about things and come up with some solutions... which might include making more IRBMs than India can afford S-500s. Or worse they might choose to use them before they become useless. Or they might just develop their own version of Poseidon and sail them around to sit off either side of India ready to flood your coastal areas.
If you want to get into a useless arms race... don't do it against the country that produces most of the crap for the west... it is an area of strength for them to mass produce stuff.
India did sign the MTCR, so maybe India can go ahead and purchase the S-500 complex.
India and Russia signed it and are bound by it so they can't make it.
China is also defenceless against ICBMs.
Lets not keep the gloves on... everyone is defenceless against ICBMs in the sense that they are going to get through... the ABM system around Moscow is supposed to delay its destruction so there is time to issue commands for retaliation... it was never intended to keep Moscow or Russia safe.
So what we have is Indian news outlets quoting a Russian news outlet quoting a Chinese news outlet, where the author speculated that India may be the first to order an export version of the Russian S-500
To be fair it is probably true... the Russians do tend to sell India what they want... no matter how complicated their demands for this or that added Israeli or French hardware...
Still don't think they will be exporting S-500 before 2030...
Production of Brahmos has been stepped up, but yes number of missiles is way below what China has.
India has a choice.... it can embark on an arms race with China and piss away money that could be much better spent on other things, or it can look to create ties with China and work together with its neighbour and ignore the chinese whispers in its ears coming from the US and the west.
Just saw a TV news programme on the Chinese spying on people in the Pacific.... MY GOD. They even said they were spying on people with criminal records for some nefarious purpose... I nearly fell off my chair.... in New Zealand there are US spy stations at Whenuapai that are dedicated to spying on all cell phones and computers and pagers and other electronic communications in the Pacific... the system in Australia handles Asia... all for the US to spy on everyone... but watch out for those Chinese... they are the bad guys.... they are the ones we can't trust...
And we probably can't trust them really, but they have no history of spying on us like our American and British allies...
How credible is Voennoye Obozreniye / topwar.ru? And why are they quoting a Chinese author? Is the Chinese author a well renowned expert? A Russian expert making this statement makes sense,but a Chinese expert commenting on Russian topics.
A Russian expert... a real one... would be asking why they are so set on wasting enormous amounts of money and creating lots of bad will where even if you wipe them out you don't benefit in any way from that, and if they wipe you out they don't benefit in any way from that either... they have a billion consumers... you could sell them lots of stuff... you have a billion consumers they have a lot of stuff to sell... the only countries that really benefit from China and India fighting are the US and those countries joined to them at the hip... ie Japan and Australia.
I suspect the Chinese expert was used to further US and Australian and Japanese interests because Russian experts don't like to be used like that... except the bought and paid ones...
China has been suggesting that DF-26 ballistic missiles with conventional warheads can hit target with precision across India (apart from South China Sea).
If they start launching a few DF-26 missiles in your direction will you wait for them to go boom to see what they are, or will you immediately respond with nuclear armed missiles targeting things that were pre targeted...
You might have minutes to respond... you wont have time to work out what is going to get hit by their strike and you wont know if it is a nuke or a conventional strike... you wont have time to select new targets so you have to respond targeting something your missiles were already aimed at and most likely with a nuclear warhead... do you think they will understand?
A cruise missile is less likely to trigger a nuclear response.
A carefully planned and launched cruise missile attack might result in explosions being the first indication something is wrong like in Saudi Arabia...