Eugenio Argentina wrote:The Iraqi militias don't need to engage the US Army in Iraq, all they need to do is cut the US Army logistical lines from Kuwait and all the US Army bases in Iraq and Syria will have no choice but to evacuate
If the US wants to secure those logistical lines, they will need to at least deploy 100,000 US Army personnel — Scott Ritter, former United States Marine Corps intelligence officer
The U.S might have ran in with the power-vacuum of ISIS, as it received around the clock bombing courtesy of the RF airforce.
But they have overstayed on more ways than one.
As the genocide of Israel of Gaza ramps up, not even the U.S local "allies" will be able to shield them from the countless Militia's that fought ISIS with Syrian, Iraqi and Hezbollah troops.
From a pure millitary standpoint, they should have cleared these bases out as soon Israel went full psycho and started to indiscriminately bomb Gaza.
and The U.S made the choice to give Israel the green light, but with that there come some very dark consequences.
Of course, The Yanks, Biden and his yes-men idiots already conveniently forgot how Afghanistan ended. With them trapped on Kabul airfield, Surrounded by the Taliban.
It was by the mercy the Taliban showed by stopping at the airfield borders, and letting NATO aircraft land and take-off unmolested.
They could have done so, but chose not to.
I went there on deployments, fought against them. experienced some nasty stuff.
But i respect them for doing that, they could have shot down all aircraft and killed everyone. after two decades of war, it would have been their right to do so to completely humiliate the U.S,
But they did not, they let everyone depart.
Yet, now. where all these a F.O.B's (forward operating bases) are located, things certainly will not be so ..Generous.
As the U.S has given Israel carte-blance to destroy Gaza, supplying them with weapons and money. The U.S is seen as the enabler of Israel.
And if one thing all these millitia's and people hate, it is israel.
These FOB's, are relatively light units with limited supply's.
They do not have own airfields, with helicopters. or Warehouses with spare weapons and parts.
Not to mention vehicle pools where they service,park and maintain heavier millitary vehicles like tanks or IFV's.
Their bases are not equipped with multiple defensive perimeters or advanced surveillance towers and multiple C-ram posts.
They rely on the surrounding millitia's and their fixed wing air support for defense. Without that, they are just infantry with a few Mrap's.
Relief always came in Iraq and Afghanistan from major bases, that housed long range heavy artillery, aviation and QRF.
These are not there, or the time it takes to get to them might be long enough for the battle to be already decided.
Logistics wise, It is as Ritter says. Basically it means the U.S Would need to go in, establish a main base and restart the MSR's. (main supply route)
But this is not an option, because this makes the whole logistical machine to supply these bases a more rewarding, softer target than the actual bases.
And these Militia's have thanks to U.S interventions everywhere, decades of experience in ambushing and destroying road supply convoys.
the attrition they will cause on these convoy's would be higher than trying to get the U.S troops in their bases.
And supplying trough the air?. write that off as well.
Helicopters have a relative limited payload, require their own rather complicated logistical support (western helicopters anyway)
And are themselves vulnerable to simple ground fire. And when things go wrong ,they go wrong properly.
Things are not like Afghanistan, where NATO bases where everywhere for an emergency landing.
They would be on their own out there. what are you going to do?. send in an QRF?.
Operation Eagle claw, when the U.S send in aircraft and helicopters into Iran is a good example of what probably will happen.
And this was with an enemy that was not aware of their presence.
And then there is the direct assault option by the millitia's.
It happened before, i know of one such event from Afghanistan. Taliban loaded a truck with HME (Home made explosive) and suicided it straight into the main gate.
it took out the gate and two gaurd towers, Pickup's followed onto the base and complete chaos followed.
The base was nearly lost, they could not eventually get trough to the command bunker (pneumatic doors) and left as Aircraft and their own platoon was visible nearing the base.
This knowledge and experience of these actions against NATO in Iraq, Afghanistan and etcetera are not lost.
Joe schmo that only listens to MSM might only gets to see some dirt-poor farmer holding an ancient knock-off AK.
But the guys in leadership positions in these millitia's are not stupid. they know what they are doing and are highly motivated.
And they can call on some very experienced troops or mercenary's from conflict zones that fought against NATO.
That the U.S troops are still there?.
It is only because of war-mongering yes-men and politicians.
The lives of these men out there mean absolutely nothing to these people in Washington.
as soon Biden sided with Israel unconditionally he signed their death sentence.
at best, their death's will be quick.
At worst, they get to hang from an rope off an bridge somewhere.
To be used as disgusting war propaganda back home.
These millitia's do not need to reach Israel or the U.S navy off the coast.
There is easier prey nearby.