par far wrote:For the life of me, I can't understand why the SAA and Allies did not go for the oil when they had the chance.
Lack of support Iran wasn't helping them go for it, Russia was less inclined to go that far they wanted the coastline and so the SAA wasted time there and Russia was helping them enough.
The SAA also had major setbacks thanks to it NDF etc which cost them months of progress alone.
Generally Assad did not have the support he needed to reach the oil fields fast enough, in truth the progress he made was rather admirable in a way.
We used the fact that ISIS would waste time and men fighting the SAA, so for us, it was just a matter of sweeping in and letting the SAA weaken them for us. After all why bother fighting if you can let the other guy do it for you?.
We were ready to roll once Assad reached Deir, and before someone says "US is ISIS" if we had such control over them we would have Deir under our control also.
The oil fields weren't important to Russia, so putin had no need to lend mass support for them.
It's Iran who has the most to lose here them and the Turks.
Granted Iran won't be falling anytime soon but pay attention to this words
"You give us an inch and we will take a mile".
Iranian mindset is best known by Turkey, since Iran and Turkey were in always complicated relationship for almost 500 years.
"You give us an inch and we will take a mile" best applies to Iran, even Americans cannot perform better in this.
The most important thing here to catch is that Iran is an Islamic republic following Shiite sect. Shia is not popular around the Islamic world except Iran/Lebanon and Iraq.(and some parts of Pakistan). Overall, they number from 10% to 20% in total number of Muslims.
If you look deeper to Iran, you would see a huge Azerbaijani/Turkic Oghuz population to the north, Arabic population near Iraqi border and Beluchis to the south.
All these different ethno groups are mostly Shiite. But the problem is, as a Shiite country, Iranians were always in need to expand in terms of secterian hegemony. Otherwise Sunni hegemony would surround Iran and given that Iranian geography is not well open to the world, Iran would drain its power and wealth, not in a hard way.
Thus, this secterian war between Iran and Sunni hegemony never ended for last 500 years and will not end unless Iran captures some footholds that can make itself less vulnerable, or even upper hand in an offensive. (Sound familiar, Yemen?)
Also, Turkish position here now differs from what it used to be, now MidEast Islamopolitical environment turns out trilateral.
-Saudi Gulf US puppet fake Sunni secterianism
-Turco-Islamic Sunni expansionism.
Above three will certainly have more conflicts to have. But Saudis are the most idiotic of these fractions and US plays its best cards in favor of them.