The YPG talks about creating a Turkish Vietnam and they abandoned Afrin city to avoid civilian casualties. There are still several cells operating in other districts destroying FSA and TAF vehicles in ambush. The only way they can win is to make Turkey bleed. Their economy is quickly going down the toilet with excessive spending and junk sovereign debt ratings. Their trade deficit is massive and their FX reserves are not even enough to meet the trade balance. Inflation is still double digits despite all efforts of Erdogan. Ticking time bomb in Turkey.
This is what i have been saying for a long time already . But nobody listen.
Erdogan will face a Turkish Vietnam in Syria , with guerrilla fighting ,car bombs , and constant attacks. But it will be worse ,because this time the European Union will easily arms kurds to target Turkey Soldiers.. for the European Union,
Erdogan is the biggest threat for their nation security ,with his alliance with radical extremist and for Turkey being the main gate ,that Muslim using to jump into Europe.. So Europe will be arming Kurds , and also the Syrian army too.. So Turkey army will be bleed in less than a year or two. after occupation... and Turkey economy drained ,Since cost a lot of money to finance the army ,the terrorist FSA ERdogan support and food and medicine and fuel , wars are expensive.. and on top of that you have Saudi Arabia terrorist against Erdogan terrorist.. So in 2,5 to 10 years.. all the gains of Turkey in Syria will be reversed ,when society remove ERdogan from power either by force in a coup or in elections and the new government demands all Turkey troops to return. So Erdogan actions in Syria risk provoking a civil war in Turkey itself ,if Turkey economy collapse consequence of this illegal operations in Syria.. So not only ERdogan will lose everything they gained in Syria ,since he will never be able to hold the territory he now have.. but also Erdogan risk the partition of Turkey itself ,so eventually he will go down to history like the biggest idiot in the history in politics.. By annoying all its neighbors and becoming enemy of everyone ,including its own allies. and to hold power Erdogan will need a dictatorship like government with absolute powers for him.. but in the end will not work.
You dont understand that Kurds don't need to "win" their battles.. to win.. all they need to do is to continuesly bleed
The Turkey army.. some Turkey soldiers killed here and there... Even Americans ,lost 8,000 soldiers in IRAQ after 10 years occupation of it.. but Turkey is not United States. it doesnt have its economy ...and the opposition of Erdogan is not IRAQ weak guerrilla. ,Kurds will be armed with modern weapons by EU ,US and Syria too ,and will have access to satellite intelligence of Turks positions at all times.. Not even Russia ,send a large army to Syria for those Reason ,
that wars can sink your economy...and Turkey will not be able to hold the zones it control for long.. They build a power plant.. kurds destroy it.. they build a bridge ,kurds destroy it and so and so.. So good luck with this "victory". Even soviet union had to leave afganistan after 10 years... because the Resistance you can't defeat it ever.. unless you take down also the nations helping your resistance.. So for Erdogan to effectively destroy Kurds will have to take down the European Union ,US ,Syria ,that have same interest in that turkey leave kurds zones..albeit for different reasons and Turkey attacks Syria and try to reverse all Russia and Syria gains.. then it will have to fight Russia. If Turkey go to war with Russia for its support to Syria army,and lets say attack Russia military base , is Game over for Turkey... Since Russia will be sinking Turkey warships until Erdogan agree for peace and abandon Syria.. So literary Russia can bomb day and night most important economic assets of Turkey ,economic ports , military base ,and Turkey will have no way to stop it.. NATO (who dislike Turkey) will not come to the aid of Turkey and risk being nuked , if Turkey start the fight with Russia.. (This was already told by the Secretary of NATO ,if Turkey picks a fight with Russia ,it will be on its own)
So ERdogan is doing what he know best to do . beign ERdogan.. the king of Fools ,by playing a really risky game... the turkey army will never be able to crush Kurds if there are safe zones for them..Syria army controlled zones (which Russia protect) and American military protect zones. Erdogan will face a turkey vietnam but with NATO weapons and Russian weapons falling in the hands of the Kurds for "mysterious reasons".
So again one more time.. is not military battles ,what Kurds needs to win.. Is Political and Economical battles
what they need to win. As long Kurds keep on high alert and unsafe AFRIN for any development or anyone to live there
killing a few soldiers here or there, detonating a bridge here or there ,destroying a powerplant here or there.. a tank or two every week ,then they will be bleeding Turkey army ,this will make headlines and ERdogan image will sink..
Again , Kurds don't need to defeat the Turkey army.. they only need to keep bleeding it..causing casualties with guerrilla tactics and humiliating Turkey army will be enough. And any new Government in Turkey ,that sack Erdogan will demand Turkey troops to abandon places the military invaded in Syria..
and Assad is helping kurds already ..not with weapons but with free passage of Kurds from their zones to Afrin.
This fight between Kurds and Turkey benefit Syrian army ,because their 2 enemies fighting each other.
For sure the Syrian Conflict will go to the history books of HOW BAD can be a country decisions in a international conflict ..with Erdogan as the king of the fools. ERdogan only chance is to use common sense and make an alliance
with Russia and all Turkey neighbors. Because he will be eliminated by Americans or europeans at the first security mistake .