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    The Situation in the Ukraine. #28

    auslander
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    Post  auslander Sat Mar 20, 2021 8:44 pm

    We went to food emporium this early afternoon, weather is totally grand, hardly a breeze ruffling M'lady's skirts. We took Sophia, our blue girl, with us, she loves children and in general everyone. She seems to be especially fond of sailors, something about those two ribbons hanging down the back of their service caps always brings a smile to her face and the young sailors for some reason are quite attracted to her. She was pretty sad today, no one to play with, no one to giver her treats, no one to rub her ears and tell her how beautiful she is except this one young sailor.

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    Post  franco Sat Mar 20, 2021 9:35 pm

    Forces of the parties: US intelligence counted the groupings of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the LPR

    Former Prime Minister of Ukraine Mykola Azarov, who headed the government under President Yanukovych, reproduced the American map of Donbass on his Twitter page. It lists the composition of the troops of the unrecognized republics and the Ukrainian army opposing them. "A look at the conflict from the United States," Azarov wrote.

    Judging by the exact data on the number of groups, as well as the number of weapons and equipment, shown on the map, this is the result of the work of American intelligence services. The document is dated last September. This means that the grouping of Ukrainian troops on the border with the unrecognized republics has become even larger. In February-March, eyewitnesses recorded the active movement of echelons of military equipment towards Donbass from the inner regions of Ukraine.

    The grouping of Ukrainian troops in Donbass, according to the given data, has 90 thousand servicemen. In service with 450 tanks, 230 multiple launch rocket systems (Grad), 800 anti-aircraft systems of various classes and purposes, 300 amphibious infantry fighting vehicles,

    The combined forces of the Lugansk and Donetsk republics, assembled in two army corps, number 34 thousand fighters. This is three times less than that of the enemy. At the same time, the militia at the end of last year had an advantage in technology. They are armed with 650 tanks, 500 artillery pieces, 260 launchers of multiple launch rocket systems, In addition, they have at their disposal 100 anti-aircraft complexes.

    The map also contains data on the number and armament of Russian units stationed near the border with Ukraine, including near the DPR and LPR. Obviously, it is assumed that it is these Russian troops, if necessary, ready to come to the aid of the unrecognized republics if the Ukrainians launch an offensive.

    So, in Bogucharov, Voronezh region, units with a total number of 5 thousand servicemen are deployed. It is armed with 156 tanks, 136 infantry fighting vehicles, 130 armored personnel carriers, 26 launchers of operational-tactical missiles, 33 mobile anti-tank complexes, several dozen mortars and artillery systems.

    According to the Americans, another part is located in Valuyki, not far from the border with the Luhansk region. Its number is 3500 people.

    Several more parts on the territory of the Rostov region are indicated on the map. So, in the village of Kadamovskaya, according to the Americans, there are units armed with 215 tanks, 157 infantry fighting vehicles, dozens of artillery systems, mortars, multiple launch rocket systems, anti-aircraft weapons.

    According to experts, if the data of the Americans are correct, then the republics of Donbass have sufficient forces and means to contain the offensive of the Ukrainian troops. In any case, such an offensive will be accompanied by heavy losses. Perhaps this prospect will keep Kiev from military provocations.

    https://viysq5tyczhy54va65gm2d6ogq--k-politika-ru.translate.goog/sily-storon-razvedka-ssha-podschitala-gruppirovki-vojsk-vsu-i-ldnr/?utm_source=warfiles.ru

    NOTE: the units mentioned at Boguchar and Valuyki are the Russian 3rd Motor Rifle division and the troops at Kadamovsk and Kuzminsky are the Russian 150th Motor Rifle division. On the Ukrainian side about 1/3 would be National Guard units.

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    Post  kvs Sun Mar 21, 2021 1:07 am

    More BS. Why would the NR forces have less members now than in 2014? They have no motive to be in the fight? Russia is
    not supplying them with equipment and they can't produce it themselves? Note that Banderastan lost some of its main munitions
    factories to the Donbass.

    A force of 90,000 on the Kiev regime side is actually a fail. They should easily be able to whip up 300,000 zealots to ride to the
    lynch fest.

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    medo
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    Post  medo Sun Mar 21, 2021 10:07 am

    franco wrote:Forces of the parties: US intelligence counted the groupings of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the LPR

    Former Prime Minister of Ukraine Mykola Azarov, who headed the government under President Yanukovych, reproduced the American map of Donbass on his Twitter page. It lists the composition of the troops of the unrecognized republics and the Ukrainian army opposing them. "A look at the conflict from the United States," Azarov wrote.

    Judging by the exact data on the number of groups, as well as the number of weapons and equipment, shown on the map, this is the result of the work of American intelligence services. The document is dated last September. This means that the grouping of Ukrainian troops on the border with the unrecognized republics has become even larger. In February-March, eyewitnesses recorded the active movement of echelons of military equipment towards Donbass from the inner regions of Ukraine.

    The grouping of Ukrainian troops in Donbass, according to the given data, has 90 thousand servicemen. In service with 450 tanks, 230 multiple launch rocket systems (Grad), 800 anti-aircraft systems of various classes and purposes, 300 amphibious infantry fighting vehicles,

    The combined forces of the Lugansk and Donetsk republics, assembled in two army corps, number 34 thousand fighters. This is three times less than that of the enemy. At the same time, the militia at the end of last year had an advantage in technology. They are armed with 650 tanks, 500 artillery pieces, 260 launchers of multiple launch rocket systems, In addition, they have at their disposal 100 anti-aircraft complexes.

    The map also contains data on the number and armament of Russian units stationed near the border with Ukraine, including near the DPR and LPR. Obviously, it is assumed that it is these Russian troops, if necessary, ready to come to the aid of the unrecognized republics if the Ukrainians launch an offensive.

    So, in Bogucharov, Voronezh region, units with a total number of 5 thousand servicemen are deployed. It is armed with 156 tanks, 136 infantry fighting vehicles, 130 armored personnel carriers, 26 launchers of operational-tactical missiles, 33 mobile anti-tank complexes, several dozen mortars and artillery systems.

    According to the Americans, another part is located in Valuyki, not far from the border with the Luhansk region. Its number is 3500 people.

    Several more parts on the territory of the Rostov region are indicated on the map. So, in the village of Kadamovskaya, according to the Americans, there are units armed with 215 tanks, 157 infantry fighting vehicles, dozens of artillery systems, mortars, multiple launch rocket systems, anti-aircraft weapons.

    According to experts, if the data of the Americans are correct, then the republics of Donbass have sufficient forces and means to contain the offensive of the Ukrainian troops. In any case, such an offensive will be accompanied by heavy losses. Perhaps this prospect will keep Kiev from military provocations.

    https://viysq5tyczhy54va65gm2d6ogq--k-politika-ru.translate.goog/sily-storon-razvedka-ssha-podschitala-gruppirovki-vojsk-vsu-i-ldnr/?utm_source=warfiles.ru

    NOTE: the units mentioned at Boguchar and Valuyki are the Russian 3rd Motor Rifle division and the troops at Kadamovsk and Kuzminsky are the Russian 150th Motor Rifle division. On the Ukrainian side about 1/3 would be National Guard units.

    I must say, that Zaharchenko was very smart man. He create their own military academy, where they school their own military officers. Few years ago Zaharchenko mobilize whole DNR reserve and everyone got his weapon and have it at home. Plan was simple. If Ukrainians start the war, reservists could immidiately went into battle without loosing time with mobilization and arming reservists. Now they all forget about armed reserve, which will take their weapons and fight against Ukrainian army.

    Ukrainian army with 90.000 soldiers will hardly do anything against 100.000 soldiers of LDNR army.

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    Isos
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    Post  Isos Sun Mar 21, 2021 10:17 am

    Russia had less soldiers than Georgia yet they won. Ukraine has an airforce and without Russian help those LDNR soldiers would have hard time dealing with Ukrainian army and protecting themselves against aerial bombs at the same time.
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    Post  medo Sun Mar 21, 2021 10:25 am

    Isos wrote:Russia had less soldiers than Georgia yet they won. Ukraine has an airforce and without Russian help those LDNR soldiers would have hard time dealing with Ukrainian army and protecting themselves against aerial bombs at the same time.

    LDNR soldiers shot down enough Ukrainian planes and helicopters, that they stop flying over Donbas since august 2014. LDNR themselves defeat Ukrainian air force and Ukrainian army didn't have air support in Debaltsevo.

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    Post  JohninMK Sun Mar 21, 2021 12:56 pm

    Looks like a carrying capacity boost for the Black Sea fleet is on its way. Local use or Syrian Express?

    WarshipCam
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    Russian Navy ships southbound off of Dover, England this morning - believed to be Ropucha-class landing ships RFS Minsk (127), RFS Kaliningrad (102), RFS Korolev (130) and Steregushchiy-class corvette RFS Boykiy (532) - March 20, 2021
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    Post  JohninMK Sun Mar 21, 2021 1:17 pm

    Isos wrote:
    That's just a propaganda move for domestic public after the Biden's speech about Putin.

    Disagree totally. The public is the US don't give a shit about Ukraine and almost certainly don't know where the Black Sea is let alone what a cruiser does.

    This is all about putting the cruiser as a FAC into the potential theater so that the USN (who don't like to be left out) can see what's going on and react to it. Almost as good as having a carrier there but without the risk.

    Also complicates the situation if there are Hornets buzzing around with their E-2D just outside Russia's waters rather than just the normal Global Hawks and Rivit Joints.

    Pretty good move I'd say.

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    Post  JohninMK Sun Mar 21, 2021 1:19 pm

    Getting closer to poking the bear

    Sukhoi Su-57 Felon
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    #Ukraine is getting closer & closer to #Crimea is sending UAV Bayraktar TB2. If earlier test flights were limited in area of ​​Starokonstantinov airfields & Kulbakino, as well as UAV made routes between these 2 airfields, today Bayraktar went much further south, towards Crimea.
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    Post  franco Sun Mar 21, 2021 5:00 pm

    Kiev announced a new blockade of Crimea

    The SBU began to actively suppress the activities of intermediaries who recruit and send migrant workers to the Crimean facilities. At the same time, the special services detain the Ukrainian workers themselves, who traditionally come here from Kherson and other regions of an independent state.

    Spring is the time of big Crimean construction projects. Every March crowds of men and women with characteristic oilcloth bags tumbled out of electric trains and buses near the Chongar, Kalanchak and Chaplinka border checkpoints in Kherson. On the Russian side, the master's transport was waiting for them to be transported around the republic, buzzing with concrete mixers. In Batkivshchyna, work is hard, but the "occupied" neighbors pay no worse than Poland. Plus there is no language barrier and a stone's throw to your home.

    The coronavirus has only partially suspended the flow of Ukrainian migrant workers. The rapidly developing Russian Crimea really needs working hands, and the same construction crews, by hook or by crook, literally dragged them across the cordon because of Perekop. Numerous Ukrainian hotel attendants, cooks, waiters and other workers of the resort service, without whom the South Coast clearly cannot cope with the flow of tourists, got up at the spring start.

    It seems that in Kiev they decided to hit the backhand at this painful point. Back in 2014, they filled up the North Crimean Canal. So the water blockade began. Then they blocked the movement of freight transport, organizing a commodity blockade. Autumn 2015 - the terrorist explosion of the Kherson power lines, which caused the famous energy blackout. And now a new "working" blockade has been declared de facto. Crimea will be left without Ukrainian migrant workers.

    More recently, in the border zones of the Kherson region, there were billboards like "A Ukrainian, resting or working in the Crimea occupied by the rashists, is no longer a Ukrainian." Propaganda did not help, the local people poured a shaft to earn money for the "aggressor country". Moreover, according to the current legislation, the authorities could not prohibit voyages to the peninsula, which is "tse Ukraine". However, there was no law left under Zelenskiy .

    As you know, it is in Kherson that the so-called. "Main Directorate of the Security Service of Ukraine in the Autonomous Republic of Crimea". Now this power structure is conducting a series of exposures of "illegal transportation of citizens to the Russian Federation." Arrests are reported almost every day. The day before, they took a resident of the region, who was transporting fellow countrymen in his own car through the Chaplinka checkpoint.

    The man was engaged in a similar business for seven years, but only now he was charged under Part 2 of Art. 332 of the Criminal Code (illegal transfer of persons across the state border) and Part 1 of Art. 332-1 (violation of the procedure for entering and leaving the temporarily occupied territory of Ukraine). The worst thing is that he supplied workers to the Krasnodar Territory. That is, he drove along the "illegally built Kerch bridge", which in itself is considered a great crime.

    Lawyers confirm, they say, the above articles cannot be incriminated in any way for trips to Crimea. Although lately, legal subtleties have ceased to be of interest to the "State prikordonna service". Here is a typical March detention at the Chongar checkpoint. Five citizens of Ukraine were handcuffed at once, their minibus Nissan was confiscated. The day before, a whole brigade from the Donetsk region went to jail. The men tried to shorten the path - and instead of the Kerch-Kuban-Rostov route, in their own trouble, they went home through Chongar across the Ukrainian territory. Another overturn of the special services - "they were able to expose and block the scheme of illegal transfer of sailors by an international company in Odessa to the Crimean peninsula annexed by Russia."

    Thousands of banal border detentions, searches, interrogations are hidden behind loud messages. In fact, they began to shake everyone who at least somehow resembles a migrant worker. On a holiday on March 18, it was reported that a special group of SBU counterintelligence officers had arrived at the checkpoints of the Kherson region. The source named the leaders of the group: Lieutenant Colonels Alexander Chernyavy and Dmitry Golovkin , Major Vadim Podobny . Their official task is "the fight against smuggling," in fact, Kiev officers oversee the process of forcefully blocking the passenger flow and recruiting Crimeans who had the imprudence to go to Ukraine.

    In addition to purely punitive measures, a new economic lever has appeared, which should force guest workers to abandon the "Russian route". Zarobitians were obliged to pay taxes to the Ukrainian budget. They were obliged strictly, under the threat of a substantial prison term and under the control of Bandera activists. But if a citizen earns in one of the states with which Kiev has signed a special agreement, then at home he only compensates for the difference in the tax rate. It is clear that we are talking about the countries of the European Union. But there is no agreement with Moscow. So, after returning from Crimea, you will have to completely unfasten the entire income tax, and even with the military tax.

    The results of the multi-directional pressure are already visible. For example, usually in the offseason, reserved seats of Kherson trains to Lviv and Kovel went almost empty. Passenger trains were reduced to a minimum. However, now the carriages are packed to capacity. To make a living, the inhabitants of the south of Ukraine have two ways. The men sign a contract with the Armed Forces of Ukraine and go to the trenches of Donbass. In the villages of the Kherson region, there are many who are fighting for a third term.

    The second way is to get hired by the Poles. Everyone has visa-free passports. Two days in a stinking carriage to Galicia, then a long humiliating queue, a "rut" somewhere on the Shegini-Medyka pedestrian crossing. According to the Ambassador of Warsaw to Ukraine Bartosz Cichocki , more than half of all work visas in the EU are issued specifically to Ukrainians, and precisely for work in Poland. Even if the work is seasonal, people leave for a long time, at least six months. In any case, Polish hard labor is better than Ukrainian "will".

    Meanwhile, in the borderlands of the Kherson region, widespread poverty reigns. And paradoxically, it threatens Crimea with a large-scale ecological catastrophe "There is complete horror" - residents of the Crimean border area clutch their heads, looking at their Ukrainian neighbors. Near Sivash, forest strips have been cut down completely. Until the last root. One can only imagine what is going on in the interior of Ukraine, but the situation in the border regions is visible to the Crimeans, as they say, with the naked eye.

    If Tavrida had not returned to Russia, today it would have faced a humanitarian catastrophe

    The total destruction of green spaces is confirmed by the head of the Genicheskaya united territorial community Oleg Kulchitsky . Its OTG includes the Ukrainian villages of Krasnoe, Semihatki, Yasnaya Polyana and Salkovo located on the shore of the Sivash Bay. Further south - Crimea.

    A similar problem is around the last Kherson railway station Novoaleksevka. According to Oleg Aleksandrovich, there are no “living” forest belts in the district. An empty, carved-out space stretches from the border along the railroad bed and highways to Melitopol and Kherson. Throughout this winter, the trees have been cut down by mobile brigades. Usually in such teams there are five men and 2-3 chainsaws. Previously, they had fictitious logging certificates, now they don't bother with such nonsense. It takes a quarter of an hour to turn one large trunk into firewood. The brigades are often armed. Another argument for the police not to meddle is the identity of the participants of the so-called. ATO.

    “I understand if fellow countrymen collect brushwood,” says Oleg Kulchitsky. - I know such people, people take dry branches. But we have been talking about a large-scale wood business for a long time. Our acacia is especially appreciated, although everyone is sawing. "

    So, in recent months, the unique walnut alley near the village of Krasnoe has finally died. A century-old alley stretched for many kilometers from the turn from the highway Kharkiv - Chongar - Simferopol. Now only fresh stumps and heaps of branches remind of huge walnuts. The plantings along the North Crimean Canal were considered the largest artificially planted forest in the world. Barbaric felling also reduced them to zero.

    But it’s good to go if gas heating for housing has become an unattainable luxury for the majority of Ukrainian villagers. It got to the point that many do not have the money for a banal coal car. Legal firewood is prohibitively expensive. Spring is on the calendar, but a piercing icy wind continues to blow over Sivash. And when the dog's cold in the hut, anyone will take up the saw. Last winter, wood-fired poachers began to massively supply local farmers and merchants with fuel. Wealthy citizens also save pennies.

    Not for beauty at all, in the second half of the 19th century, they began to plant forest belts on the steppes of the Tauride province. The process went especially stormy after the Great Patriotic War. The bloodless country saved every penny, but this matter was considered especially important. Otherwise, it is impossible to protect the fields of southern Ukraine from constantly advancing sands and destructive dry wind. Forest belts retain moisture, significantly increase the yield, strengthen and improve the condition of the soil, give life to numerous species of plants and animals.

    It was necessary to survive the terrible drought and famine of the late 1940s in order to develop the grandiose forest plantations. Until the mid-1950s, tens of thousands of kilometers of forest belts were planted in the south of the European part of the USSR, hundreds of forest nurseries were created. Dust storms have ceased, dry winds have become much less, their "ferocity" has decreased. Over the past decades, millions of hectares of protective forest belts have been planted by China. There are huge defensive landings in Brazil, Japan, India and many other countries.

    If this is not done, trouble is guaranteed to come. A classic example is the American Dust Bowl - "Dust Cauldron", a series of catastrophic dust storms that occurred on the prairies of the United States and Canada between 1930 and 1936. Then the prairie was plowed up, without any cover from wind erosion. As a result, powerful dry winds swept away the upper humus layer on 40 million hectares of fields. About the same amount of territory was covered with a fatal layer of dust. Hundreds of thousands of farm families have gone bankrupt. Up to 80% of the area of ​​the Great Plains has turned from fertile land to desert.

    Active felling of forest belts in the Kherson steppes began a long time ago, one and a half to two decades ago. The first alarm bell rang on March 23-24, 2007, when a massive dust storm hit the region. However, before Euromaidan, the authorities at least somehow tried to pacify illegal logging. But today a real epidemic of destruction of everything that can be cut down, sawed and burned has been provoked.

    All this can be called an internal affair of Ukraine. If not for the proximity of the Russian Crimea to the impoverished Kherson region. This summer promises to be especially hot. This means that dust storms will rise again in the areas freed from forest belts. The wind rose is such that the raised soil will surely collapse on the northern and northwestern regions of the peninsula. Experts confirm the record scale of the impending disaster, which cannot be stopped by the barriers of the FSB Border Guard Service.

    https://tglkmvqosetvf3vb3q36c5jw54--svpressa-ru.translate.goog/society/article/293178/?utm_source=politobzor.net

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    Post  kvs Sun Mar 21, 2021 5:11 pm

    What a brilliant move by the Kiev regime! They are suppressing the income of their own people.

    "We will starve to death, before we take money from Moskals".

    Go ahead and starve to death, trash.

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    Post  PapaDragon Sun Mar 21, 2021 5:21 pm


    Yeah, yeah...

    Dump this to "Not Russia's Problem" bucket alongside everything else

    At worst there's gonna be some mud rain in North Crimea, big deal, we have mud rains with African sand over here, nothing​ of relevance

    As for the Ukraine that's their problem
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    Post  JohninMK Sun Mar 21, 2021 6:42 pm

    Sounds like Ukraine's topsoil is going to make a break for freedom in Crimea.
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    Post  Backman Sun Mar 21, 2021 7:12 pm

    Clearly this was a decision made in Washington DC. It's ridiculous but also sad.

    Russia should get a program going for ppl who are under employed around Russia. Bring them in to Crimea to do this work.
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    Post  auslander Sun Mar 21, 2021 7:56 pm

    The vast majority of the heavy industrial workers down here are from the 'stans and Azerbyxian, very few, if any, are orcs. Possibly up in the north of this island there are some working at the northwest coast tourist traps, but the majority of tourists come to Sevastopol and south coast so the business is down here. We do see the occasional orc license tag but 'occasional' means just that, maybe one a month if that, and they are generally from Kiev. A few Novorossiya registered cars, but they of course come from Krasnodar Krai on the east side of the straights and take the bridge.

    The situation in this berg is marginally tense, mainly because of the sudden influx of nato ships including a CA and 2 DD's from the Eisenhower group with support hull, and the gathering of 4 'nato' ships in Odessa Harbor, 2 Turk, 1 Romanian and 1 Bulgarian, The Roman and Bulgar ships are ancient and generally of Soviet vintage.

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    Post  GarryB Mon Mar 22, 2021 4:35 am

    Very good of Kiev to stagger the blows so that Russia can deal with them separately... cutting off cheap labour from the Ukraine just creates an opportunity for others to fill the gap... there is probably a few Russians who want to go to the Crimea for a holiday... so make it appealing by getting them to work while they are there to help pay for the trip... the people who collect Orcs at the border with Ukraine could just as easily advertise in Russian newspapers and magazines... come to sunny Crimea... work a couple of weeks and then enjoy yourself for a couple of weeks after that... or any such arrangement.

    Cheap labour can come from all sorts of different places and is normally not that hard to replace... it is the highly skilled labour that is harder, but I would think higher skilled labour would take this change in situation to really consider which side of the border they want to continue living on.

    Certainly the place where they find work would be a better place for them and their family...

    The situation in this berg is marginally tense, mainly because of the sudden influx of nato ships including a CA and 2 DD's from the Eisenhower group with support hull, and the gathering of 4 'nato' ships in Odessa Harbor, 2 Turk, 1 Romanian and 1 Bulgarian, The Roman and Bulgar ships are ancient and generally of Soviet vintage

    Good chance to monitor them... Russia would have enough shore batteries of anti ship missiles to sink each boat a dozen times so the actual threat would not be huge. It would be an opportunity to test some pilots and subs etc...

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    Post  JohninMK Mon Mar 22, 2021 12:05 pm

    GarryB wrote:
    Good chance to monitor them... Russia would have enough shore batteries of anti ship missiles to sink each boat a dozen times so the actual threat would not be huge. It would be an opportunity to test some pilots and subs etc...

    Excellent training opportunity.

    It seems that the 'Ike' carrier is alongside in Crete so no carrier support for the cruiser and destroyer currently. Time perhaps for some Su-24 close in EW runs just to remind them what a real opponent feels like. Then below the surface they are already hard at work trying to find four black holes.

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    Post  Backman Mon Mar 22, 2021 5:34 pm


    Edit: old news apparently
    Just seen on Twitter that Russia has deployed every submarine in the black sea fleet for the first time ever. They are all on patrol.


    Last edited by Backman on Mon Mar 22, 2021 5:50 pm; edited 1 time in total
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    Post  JohninMK Mon Mar 22, 2021 5:40 pm

    Backman wrote:Just seen on Twitter that Russia has deployed every submarine in the black sea fleet for the first time ever. They are all on patrol.

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    The Situation in the Ukraine. #28 - Page 39 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #28

    Post  par far Mon Mar 22, 2021 9:43 pm

    LMFS and Rasisuki Nebia like this post

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    Post  GarryB Tue Mar 23, 2021 7:41 am

    Just seen on Twitter that Russia has deployed every submarine in the black sea fleet for the first time ever. They are all on patrol.

    They wont be able to practise sinking western ships if they are in port.
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    Post  JohninMK Tue Mar 23, 2021 11:11 am

    Just the cruiser left now as a Russian training aid.

    U.S. Naval Forces Europe-Africa/U.S. 6th Fleet
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    HAPPENING NOW: @TheCVN69
    ship

    #USSThomasHudner departs the #BlackSea after completing its participation in the
    Flag of Romania
    #Romanian @navy_romanian
    led exercise #SeaShield21 & conducting maritime security operations in support of @NATO
    Allies.
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    Post  franco Tue Mar 23, 2021 11:49 am

    The consequences of the deployment of the S-300V1 and S-300PS of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Kramatorsk. An unexpected alignment before the upcoming escalation

    In light of the observed intensification of the preparation of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine for offensive "attacks" in several operational areas of the Donbass theater of military operations, as well as for the planned implementation of provocative actions on the Russian-Ukrainian border between the Republic of Crimea and the Kherson region, skillfully motivated by impressive military-technical support from the Pentagon and Turkey and the aggressive anti-Russian rhetoric of the current 46th head of the White House Joe Biden, the information of the Dat Viet publication about the urgent deployment of 5 self-propelled launchers of the military anti-aircraft missile system S-300V1 near the line of contact, attracted extremely close attention of Donetsk and Russian military experts ...

    "Breakthrough" and suppression of the anti-missile "barrier" of the Armed Forces of Ukraine over the Donbass theater of operations will become a key task of the LPNR army corps to undermine the combat stability of the enemy's offensive "backbone"

    According to the aforementioned Vietnamese portal, citing a knowledgeable source in the defense department of "Nezalezhnaya", the S-300V1 anti-aircraft missile battery deployed to the Donbass theater of operations will be involved in the formation of a zone-object layered anti-aircraft / anti-missile "umbrella" covering the command and staff infrastructure, and also one of the separate mechanized and / or airborne assault brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine participating in the offensive "throw" in one of the three key operational directions from strikes by operational tactical ballistic missiles, as well as tactical air-to-surface missiles used from the the Su-25 attack aircraft, which is in service with the 2nd Army Corps of the NM LPR.

    Meanwhile, given the fact that the deployed S-300V1 battery will be integrated into a single layered air defense-missile defense system with the Buk-M1 self-propelled medium-range air defense systems in service with the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the S-300PS medium / long-range air defense systems, it is not difficult to assume that the "hotheads" in the General Staff of the Armed Forces are preparing not only for the retaliatory missile and missile-artillery strikes of the 1st and 2nd AK of the People's Militia of the LDNR with the use of the Tochka-U OTRK and the Smerch MLRS, but also for the probable " power dive "with the Aerospace Forces and units of the Missile Forces and Artillery of Russia.

    After all, the estimated total ammunition load of the S-300V1, S-300PS and Buk-M1 complexes transferred to the Donbass theater of operations, even according to the most conservative estimates, can be about 150-200 anti-aircraft guided missiles 9М83, 5В55Р and 9М38М1, several times exceeding the number of armament of the republican army corps of operational-tactical BR 9M79-1 "Tochka-U", and, possibly, 300-mm corrected missiles of the 55th "line" (with indices 9M55S / F / K1-7) for MLRS of the Smerch family ".

    Moreover, it is quite obvious that the positions of the aforementioned anti-aircraft missile divisions, covering the command and staff infrastructure of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the joint base / jump airfield near Kramatorsk (during the escalation, it can be used as the main base point for Su-25 attack aircraft, Mi-8MTPB electronic warfare helicopters / PPA), are located at a distance of about 75-80 km north of the line of contact, outside the reach of 300-mm rockets 9M55F / K1-7.

    As a result, "break through" and suppress the anti-missile umbrella of the Air Force "Square" by means of standard ammunition sets of multiple launch rocket systems "Hurricane" and "Smerch" (not to mention the cannon artillery), which are in service with the rocket artillery divisions of the 1st AK NM DNR , is unlikely to succeed.

    To successfully complete this task, it will be necessary to provide the LDNR army corps with an appropriate "package" of military-technical assistance, within which the ammunition sets of the 9K58 Smerch MLRS should be retrofitted with 9M528 / 542 type adjustable / guided missiles with a range of 90 and 120 km, respectively. Such a step may become the most adequate asymmetric response to the provision of the Armed Forces with FGM-148 Javelin anti-tank systems and Bayraktar TB2 strike-reconnaissance UAVs.

    Equally important, in order to achieve maximum efficiency during the breakthrough of the anti-missile "barrier" of the APU, the "outfit" of corrected / guided missiles of this modification (9M528 / 542) in one salvo should be 2-3 times higher than the target channel of the above-described Ukrainian mixed anti-aircraft missile brigades.

    After all, it is well known that even a pair of S-300PS anti-aircraft missile regiments and one S-300V1 battery have a total target channel of about 30 simultaneously intercepted aerospace attack vehicles of the enemy, implemented by means of 6-channel radars for illumination and guidance 30N6E and multifunctional radar 9S32.

    Moreover, the effective reflecting surface (EOC / EPR) of 300-mm rockets 9M528 / 542 is about 0.08-0.1 square meters. m, falling into the lower EPR limits (0.02 and 0.05 sq. m) of air objects detected and accompanied by the above radars.

    An increase in the "squad" of URSs in one salvo can be achieved only by supplying the army corps of the republics with a couple of dozen additional combat vehicles (self-propelled launchers) 9A52 / -2 "Smerch".

    https://6b6gjclcha6ibjpa45wvvqdamu--topwar-ru.translate.goog/181103-posledstvija-razvertyvanija-s-300v1-i-s-300ps-vsu-bliz-kramatorska-neozhidannyj-rasklad-pered-grjaduschej-jeskalaciej.html

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    The Situation in the Ukraine. #28 - Page 39 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #28

    Post  JohninMK Tue Mar 23, 2021 12:31 pm

    Here comes the goodies fairy

    Yörük Işık
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    Intermarine’s U.S. flag general cargo vessel Ocean Glory, under contract US Military Sealift Command @MSCSealift
    , transited Bosphorus en route from Charleston to Odesa.


    The Situation in the Ukraine. #28 - Page 39 ExG9YJFW8AcTBC6?format=jpg&name=360x360

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    Post  littlerabbit Tue Mar 23, 2021 7:21 pm

    franco wrote:The consequences of the deployment of the S-300V1 and S-300PS of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Kramatorsk. An unexpected alignment before the upcoming escalation

    In light of the observed intensification of the preparation of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine for offensive "attacks" in several operational areas of the Donbass theater of military operations, as well as for the planned implementation of provocative actions on the Russian-Ukrainian border between the Republic of Crimea and the Kherson region, skillfully motivated by impressive military-technical support from the Pentagon and Turkey and the aggressive anti-Russian rhetoric of the current 46th head of the White House Joe Biden, the information of the Dat Viet publication about the urgent deployment of 5 self-propelled launchers of the military anti-aircraft missile system S-300V1 near the line of contact, attracted extremely close attention of Donetsk and Russian military experts ...

    "Breakthrough" and suppression of the anti-missile "barrier" of the Armed Forces of Ukraine over the Donbass theater of operations will become a key task of the LPNR army corps to undermine the combat stability of the enemy's offensive "backbone"

    According to the aforementioned Vietnamese portal, citing a knowledgeable source in the defense department of "Nezalezhnaya", the S-300V1 anti-aircraft missile battery deployed to the Donbass theater of operations will be involved in the formation of a zone-object layered anti-aircraft / anti-missile "umbrella" covering the command and staff infrastructure, and also one of the separate mechanized and / or airborne assault brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine participating in the offensive "throw" in one of the three key operational directions from strikes by operational tactical ballistic missiles, as well as tactical air-to-surface missiles used from the the Su-25 attack aircraft, which is in service with the 2nd Army Corps of the NM LPR.

    Meanwhile, given the fact that the deployed S-300V1 battery will be integrated into a single layered air defense-missile defense system with the Buk-M1 self-propelled medium-range air defense systems in service with the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the S-300PS medium / long-range air defense systems, it is not difficult to assume that the "hotheads" in the General Staff of the Armed Forces are preparing not only for the retaliatory missile and missile-artillery strikes of the 1st and 2nd AK of the People's Militia of the LDNR with the use of the Tochka-U OTRK and the Smerch MLRS, but also for the probable " power dive "with the Aerospace Forces and units of the Missile Forces and Artillery of Russia.

    After all, the estimated total ammunition load of the S-300V1, S-300PS and Buk-M1 complexes transferred to the Donbass theater of operations, even according to the most conservative estimates, can be about 150-200 anti-aircraft guided missiles 9М83, 5В55Р and 9М38М1, several times exceeding the number of armament of the republican army corps of operational-tactical BR 9M79-1 "Tochka-U", and, possibly, 300-mm corrected missiles of the 55th "line" (with indices 9M55S / F / K1-7) for MLRS of the Smerch family ".

    Moreover, it is quite obvious that the positions of the aforementioned anti-aircraft missile divisions, covering the command and staff infrastructure of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the joint base / jump airfield near Kramatorsk (during the escalation, it can be used as the main base point for Su-25 attack aircraft, Mi-8MTPB electronic warfare helicopters / PPA), are located at a distance of about 75-80 km north of the line of contact, outside the reach of 300-mm rockets 9M55F / K1-7.

    As a result, "break through" and suppress the anti-missile umbrella of the Air Force "Square" by means of standard ammunition sets of multiple launch rocket systems "Hurricane" and "Smerch" (not to mention the cannon artillery), which are in service with the rocket artillery divisions of the 1st AK NM DNR , is unlikely to succeed.

    To successfully complete this task, it will be necessary to provide the LDNR army corps with an appropriate "package" of military-technical assistance, within which the ammunition sets of the 9K58 Smerch MLRS should be retrofitted with 9M528 / 542 type adjustable / guided missiles with a range of 90 and 120 km, respectively. Such a step may become the most adequate asymmetric response to the provision of the Armed Forces with FGM-148 Javelin anti-tank systems and Bayraktar TB2 strike-reconnaissance UAVs.

    Equally important, in order to achieve maximum efficiency during the breakthrough of the anti-missile "barrier" of the APU, the "outfit" of corrected / guided missiles of this modification (9M528 / 542) in one salvo should be 2-3 times higher than the target channel of the above-described Ukrainian mixed anti-aircraft missile brigades.

    After all, it is well known that even a pair of S-300PS anti-aircraft missile regiments and one S-300V1 battery have a total target channel of about 30 simultaneously intercepted aerospace attack vehicles of the enemy, implemented by means of 6-channel radars for illumination and guidance 30N6E and multifunctional radar 9S32.

    Moreover, the effective reflecting surface (EOC / EPR) of 300-mm rockets 9M528 / 542 is about 0.08-0.1 square meters. m, falling into the lower EPR limits (0.02 and 0.05 sq. m) of air objects detected and accompanied by the above radars.

    An increase in the "squad" of URSs in one salvo can be achieved only by supplying the army corps of the republics with a couple of dozen additional combat vehicles (self-propelled launchers) 9A52 / -2 "Smerch".

    https://6b6gjclcha6ibjpa45wvvqdamu--topwar-ru.translate.goog/181103-posledstvija-razvertyvanija-s-300v1-i-s-300ps-vsu-bliz-kramatorska-neozhidannyj-rasklad-pered-grjaduschej-jeskalaciej.html

    It looks to me new war is inevitable in the mind of Kiev/Washington. I believe it will start as soon as mud disappears. They are spending a lot of money for troops maneuvering and concentration, too costly to stop the war machine. That is my humble opinion. scratch

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    The Situation in the Ukraine. #28 - Page 39 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #28

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