Nemrod wrote: As US'economic situation is going worse and worse, if not gloomy, it is nowadays dubious
if USA undergoes such riskies adventures. USA is in bankrupty situation, and the dollar with their QE...,
has less and less value. Many countries in world, including Russia, is trading with other money than dollar.
That is true but U.S is withdrawing from Afghan and Iraq and both of them as controvesial as it can be.Even now U.S soldiers and their domestic informers(police persons) are killed daily in Iraq and Afghan.
The use IED's in Iraq and Afghan is stil the most destructive weapon in insurgents hands.
After the U.S withdraws(during withdrawal the U.S ) will have lot of reserves to go to war with Syria.
But U.S does not understand what is going on in Syria.Infact for any analyst it is difficult to predict the outcome of the
prolonged civil war in Syria.This is the reason U.S is still waiting in Syria.
The U.S economic situation was bad from July 2008 onwards.From that point it has relatively stabilized at extreme
lower points of GDP Growth.The growth of salaries and incomes for majority of middle class in U.S is close to zero
but it has not decreased.
Yes initially there were lot of layoffs but last 4 years there has been relative staibillity with no job growth.
The result is that almost 50million Americans are below poverty line.
In the same way there has been no decrease of U.S arms industry.On the whole it is filled with workers(white) and (immigrants) alike.
That insdutry also keeps on working as usual.
But on the whole ..
We can conclude from the above points that the U.S economy and mil Industry are in relative stable but overall Chaotic
conditions.The result is that U.S thirst for war to stabilize it's economy is increasing day by day.
Infact France, U.K also want that their aircraft, armoured carriers, ships keep floating in times of economic stress
Recently U.K offered Amorured personal carriers to Syrian rebels . The conditions of transfer are not easy.
Nemrod wrote:Nevertheless, if USA does not undergoe to attack Iran now, in few years, it would be impossible, as iranian'economy should become power. They are in the verge of nuclear power, and their economy is very well
prepare to fight a new era. It now exports refined oils, and not only crude oil,
electricity, steel, and many many goods.
Exactly U.S is in no position to take on Iran.By the way one of reasons U.S does not want to take on Iran is that Iran is
filled with China suppllied missles.
Both in navy and in air defense.Fori.e c-602,c-702,c802 and their modifications.Iran also has strong and stable army
with lots of old weapons but effective in fighting ground war.
Beside 39 Tor-m2 systems were supplied to Iran in 2008 ..!that time..
Regarding Iran we know now that U.S does not have the guts totake on 80 million strong country.
Regardng the scenario in Syria it is really complex to tell what situation will unfold.
Nemrod wrote:On contrary, there were lebanese students in University, in 30 lebanese, just one have failed to obtain a diploma.
If we back to the subject, to handle S-300, Pantsir-C1, it required many compentencies, that syrian staff has not, or far to have.
What I see is..
This conflict is unique in the world and the Army has dug in its heels.Th is after almost 66percent of complte Syrian army
has either left or joind rebel ranks.
Thi is a three year old high intensity war.The Syrian army is fghting an insurgency, a full scale terror attack
(from zihadists, wahabhis ,syrian rebels)and a civil war combined into one.
The terrorists have come to Syria from any countries t is difficult to list all countries citizens fighting in Syria.
The present Syrian army is the worlds only independent organization(without NATO support)who isnow capable to fight a full blown highintensity war(insurgency) on its own means.
Iraq and Afghan insurgency was handled by the U.S special operation forces from day 1 almost (decade ago)
to last day which still has not come.
One can laugh at the though if Syrian army is replaced with Iraq or Afghan "domestic" witout a cent been payed by U.S.
By no means it can be said that syrians are less experienced or their capacity to be effective in war is lower than others.
What thse present data suggest.
Now why the U.S is reluctant to go to war in Syria after 3 years of high intensity conflict there.Syrian army is
Their personnel are tired , they have become inefficient , special operation forces are also depleted .
Comman structure everything is hardly working
Barring media hype .. Not one single U.S favourite " air based reconasaance mission has gone close to syrian airspace
from any direction. No reconnaissance from all beloved Turkey(loved by all..? why not..).
One of the major source of armed insurgents in Syria is Turkey.
Now the U.S media will say
The reason U.S satellite technology writing number plates of all cars in Damascus..he he .. cut the crap..
that is not the reason..
One direct answere is "Russian arms supply to Syria" Thsis an unending report seen in CNN, Fox news from past 3 years.
But Russian arma are very limited whch are given to Syria.
Well I also guess the real reason is close to above one.
The reason fro U.S to NOT to go to war with Syria are..
a.Complex situation on the ground not understood till now.
b. Russian arms suppy to syria.
C. May be reent arms supply from Russia to compensate losses of Syria army. Recently 2-3 ships(no need to say huge capacity ships) frm Pacific fleet (I think delivered ..?or not) they are still on the way..are delivering "combat cargo" to Syria beach.
In january also 2 Russian ships delivered their cargo , dont know what they were.
what I can say is that Syrian air defense are manned by quality personnel (not replaced by Russian crews).
Of course to add that there are no Russian crews manning Syrian air defense or anything of that sort.
They are able to do their job on their own atleast till now.
This is a thank less job because the results are not seen..
from all the richest countries (of this world) not a single jet fighter close to Syrian rispace for atleast 3-4 years.
Israel planned a utter desperate , air attack for 20 minutes and then ran away.
They gave their reason.. air defense of Syria.
No Reconnaissance from -> EF-200, F-16, Israeli jets..
well real mystery .. Not if the time is almost 3-4 years of real hot confict and still no NATO aircraft in Syrian vicinity.
I would conclude that Syrian air defese is still aive and is maintaining its deterrence factor inspite of "ZILLION ODDDS STACKED AGANST THEM"
We hope that keep this maintanence for some more time.