Russian special military operation in Ukraine #37

Drone factory in Latvia burned down. Had this happened in Russia ot would be blamed on mighty Ukro agents.
Following that logic... God job, SVR/GRU.

Rybar analysis are usually full of proper reasoning and valid criticism, but they shouldn't be taken as the holy godspell. Often some of their comments often sound like those that any Redit armchair general might utter.

The grinding solution isn't ideal, the enemy still has tremendous potential but despite losses, it is preserving the lives of Russian forces personnel that a powerful push wouldn't for the time being at least. NATO forces in Ukr. should die by a thousand cuts rather than by some powerful fists.

Rybat claims that Ukraine still has a lot of potential to be mobilized

Nazi Germany had a lot of potential to be mobilized too, they had millions of old men, women and teenage boys left to conscript into the war effort, but the war was effectively over by then because women, children and the elderly aren't built for war like men are.

Rybar is basically complaining that Russia isn't sacrificing soldiers to take and hold as much territory as possible and as quickly as possible, which is what the Ukraine did, which is why the Ukraine is on its 10th mobilization and is literally grabbing anyone they can catch off the street. He's just another chickenshit that needs to shut up and let the professionals do their job so Rybar doesn't have to.

Col. McGregor changed his mind regarding "big arrow" offensives. A few weeks ago he thought that some big push
from the North, North-East and maybe the South would happen, instead he thinks now that Russia will open up some
new fronts but not for big pushes but more meat grinders. 5 Bakhmuts will cripple the whole Ukro forces (and NATO
stocks) in a matter of months.

TO UCMVULCAN...

Listen to what Douglas McGregor had to say the other day in the video from 32:30 to 34:00...

February 7, 19:05
Military operation in Ukraine

Danish Defense Ministry confirms delivery of 100 tanks to Ukraine
As noted in the department, "the first intermediate goal of the project" is to deliver approximately 80 tanks

STOCKHOLM, 7 February. /TASS/. Denmark, in cooperation with the Netherlands and Germany, will supply Ukraine with Leopard 1A5 tanks. This was reported in a press release from the Danish Ministry of Defense on Tuesday.

“With the broad support of the Danish parliament, the government has explored the possibility of cooperation in the repair and transfer of at least 100 tanks to Ukraine,” the report says. “Together with the Netherlands and Germany, Denmark is now launching a project to upgrade the Leopard 1A5 tanks. The first intermediate goal of the project is to deliver as quickly as possible tanks to two battalions, which corresponds to about 80 tanks. It is expected that the first tanks will be ready within a few months and will be used to train the Ukrainian forces," the report says.

As part of the project, Ukraine will be offered training in the operation of tanks, as well as spare parts and ammunition, the press release explains.

Earlier, Danish Radio reported that we are talking about decommissioned tanks that are no longer part of the Danish Armed Forces. They were used in the Balkan war in 1994.

https://tass.ru/mezhdunarodnaya-panorama/16987989

A month or one and half ago I came into conclusion that big offensive is high risk low benefit operation. It will not end the war until the whole territory of Ukraine is qonquered and subjugated. Until then weapon flow and men flow will continue through western border of Ukraine.

If you are doing that kind of decision, it would require huge logistics, which is very vulnerable to disruptions as Iraq war 2003 proved us. Also required manpower would be enormous.

Right now logistic chain is relatively short for russians even though form of the front favors ukrainians due to fact that they are able to move troops faster in the inner circle of the front. Therefore, it is better to deal ukrainian army in Donbas without extending the frontline much further.

Somehow I think, that NATO would like this kind of Big Arrow movement, which would allow to force Russia in guerrilla war as they are experienced themselves in Afganistan and Irak. Russians have not taken the bait, I guess...

I post this here, too, because it´s a SMO with NATO:

NATO claims to be the Yosemite Sam of alliances but the war in Ukraine is showing what it really is.

1. A bunch of small countries. Their armies number 2,000 but, taking wokeness, diversity, recruiting shortfalls, pregnancy leave and physical fitness into account, they can field 600. They possess 100 major weapons but, taking incompetent storage, broken parts and maintenance problems into account, they can field 40 of them
2. A bunch of medium-size countries. Their armies number 20,000 but, taking wokeness, diversity, recruiting shortfalls, pregnancy leave and physical fitness into account, they can field 6,000. They possess 500 major weapons but, taking incompetent storage, broken parts and maintenance problems into account, they can field 200 of them.
3. One big country. Its army numbers 200,000 but, taking wokeness, diversity, recruiting shortfalls, pregnancy leave and physical fitness into account, it can field 60,000. (Given the enormous number of bases that have to be manned, probably not). It possesses 5,000 major weapons but, taking incompetent storage, broken parts and maintenance problems into account, it can field 2,000 of them. (And this stuff is scattered all over the place). Some of its rulers want to fight Russia, some want to fight Germany and some want to fight China – but they’re sure they can do all three at once.
4. Nobody has more than a month or two of ammunition and, actually, a lot less than that because they’ve give so much to Ukraine and it’s all gone. Somewhere.
5. All this costs more than you can imagine.
6. These countries’ GDPs are the sum of lawyers’ fees, financial flim-flam, fake numbers, real estate commissions, payoffs to politicians and non-stop printing presses. The only one of them that actually makes anything is going bust.
7. “Look on my works, ye Mighty, and despair!”

By Helmholtz Smith

I've been wondering, since shooting down this drone is considered an act of aggression, perhaps Russia can use more indirect ways to take it down. I'm thinking of sending cheaper drones to patrol the same area at the same attitude and same flight path, in the event of an "accidental collision" then its definitely not intentional on Russia's part

I asked a question of a guy on youtube that was a Leopard crewman who had served on several variants. My question was how long would it take to train crew to a proficiency where they could operate in a coordinated formation. He said at least 1 year from scratch. So minus the 5 weeks it takes to learn how to drive the thing decently, that is like another 47 weeks more then what they are planning to train these guys. Seriously why not be merciful and replace the armor with plywood.

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1622995756473896963

The "Edge Autonomy" drone manufacturing plant caught fire in #Latvia

The "Edge Autonomy" facility produces drone technology that is supplied to government and commercial customers in nearly 70 countries. The "Edge Autonomy" drones are also supplied to the Ukrainian Army.