US-Iran standoff 2019- #2

By saying they will respond at any kind of attacks against Iran soil, iranian people or iranian interest made all their plans useless unless they want a war.

War seems to be the only thing the US is interested in and if Iran does have to go to war with the US... now would actually be a rather good time for them to fight because the US is distracted and Russia doesn't have any peace negotiations going with Europe or the US or Kiev so they would be more likely to actually help Iran out if asked.

Obviously the Russians wont start WWIII for Iran and will do everything they can to avoid direct conflict with the US and the west, but how about supplying Iran with a few systems to improve their air defence and their ability to strike warships at sea...

Russia benefited from Iranian drones which they now licence produce but they improved the electronics and navigation systems which might benefit Iran to get similar upgrades.

Their economy will shrink as soon as Iran starts firing its missiles.

The US wants to be bold and decisive and send a clear message, but any increase in costs for oil or even just trade for the west is going to damage them more than many people think.

The difference between a nuisance and something dangerous is numbers... what Russia can probably offer Iran is a coordination management system that allows a few controllers to direct a huge number of drones at one time to overwhelm the defences of a target and also cheap simple countermeasures to mount on their drones so each one isn't an easy kill. If the US needs to fire two missiles or more to deal with each drone then their ability to fight is greatly diminished.

The problem for the US is that the reciprocal response to the US attacking and killing Iranians in Syria and Iraq is for Iran to attack and kill Americans in Syria and Iraq.

Something they would be capable of.

Americas problem is that despite being a super power and with soldiers and troops and assets in many many countries around the world and of course mostly located in hotspots everywhere (their main role is to create and maintain those hotspots keeping the temperature up to justify their presence), it also means they have to over react to everything because the reality is if they got attacked in dozens or even hundreds of places at one time there is not a lot they could do to stop those attacks... they would be spread too thin to protect everything and everyone.

lancelot wrote:The video is totally idiotic. Iran can hit targets anywhere in the Middle East with its IRBMs like the Sejjil with a 1500 kg payload.
A lot of these missiles are stored underground in tunnels carved in the mountains. Air strikes would be of no use a
Iran also has pretty advanced air defenses. They have the Rezonans long wave radar. They have imported S-300, Tor systems. And they have their own air defense systems which are not inferior to either of those.
Their air force is old. Like late Cold War era. But it is a lie that they don't have modern weapons for it. They can launch smart bombs and precision guided weapons from their Su-22 aircraft for example. They can make their own modern clones of the AIM-54 Phoenix missiles for the F-14 aircraft.
If the US bombed Iran, then US bases in the Middle East could be bombarded with massive missile salvos.

Iran has something even more than that.
It is their electronics.
Because of the embargo, they were forced to construct a whole industry from scratch. It means, that they have their indigenous solutions.
Processors, chips, everything.
It makes the Iranian weapon much more potent because of being highly immune. It is simply different.
For the last 50 years, they have adopted and studied US, UK, France and Germany-made weapons. They have studied Soviet weapons. And the Chinese ones.
And at the end - they came out with their own pieces being just amazing.
LAcking AIM-54, they have adopted both SM1 and Hawk missiles for being carried by F-14.
The sole fact that those F-14S are airborne, after those 50 years, is mindblowing.
Just take a look at how they have managed to keep their Boeings in flyable conditions, using every means possible.