no idea if true.. but iranian generals are saying
in iran tv.. that americans as asking iran that if they will retaliate to do it
proportionally..
no idea if that is true or not...
but .. im 100% sure.. that the number#1 concern american military have,,
is that iran manage to sink an american warship (which they can do, since the
hormus strait at times is only about 20km wide.. a distance that it will be very easy to hit
a very large aircraft carrier...with small room for maneuver .. to evade a massive wave of
underwater torpedos attack..
so this is a big problem , because if iran sinks an american destroyer . it will be fatal a death sentence
for trump re-election and presidency ,and on top of that he will have to retaliate with a full scale strike on iran and still ,that will not bring back the lost warship.. iranian military could will want to do a devastating response to send a powerful signal to any other american president ,or even targeting iran.. remember that iranian are under full scale economic sanctions war too.. so there is very little reasons for iran to not retaliate.. and
any warship commander from iran ,can also attack on their own an american warship to avenge their general death.. so with muslims is more normal to be guided by emotions ,than by logic or common sense.. . they can commit a suicide attack on an aircraft carrier or warship. to get their revenge regardless of consequences..
and a full scale war means hormus strait will be closed and oil prices sky rocket to heaven and us economy
dollar value devalue... and face recession... since a war with iran ,over opening the hormus strait if they close it will be very long..
here is the article..
Israel: US Asks Iran to Not Sink an American Carrier, “Just Kill Some Troops Instead” (You just can’t make this stuff up)https://www.veteranstoday.com/2020/01/04/israel-us-asks-iran-to-not-sink-an-american-carrier-just-kill-some-troops-instead-you-just-cant-make-this-stuff-up/
so my bet is iran will hit some americans ,they have plenty of ways to do it.. a simple anti air manpand in bagdad can take down a low flying apache.. it will be easy for iran to smuggle lethal weapons to the heart of badgad.. like kornets against us military will be letal .. and iran will even receive help from iraq , so is not only
iran but iraq military , could join forces to strike back. at us troops.
i predict a response in the next 2 weeks.. but if they don't do it in that time . it could be they waiting to pick a very big target..like a warship.. time will tell.. but those that says iran "will do nothing" , just don't hide later
when they do something.. i really think trump presidency is bust.. it will be impossible for trump to avoid a war
with iran... now.. iran will target them..and they will want to safe face and respond and iran respond back and so and so... it will be ugly.. i do see us troops abandoning iraq.. since it will be unsafe to be in iraq with iraquis and iranians starting a guerrilla war against them.. even israel had problems to protect their military ,when invaded lebanon..and was forced to leave.. by their soldiers losses.