It would've replaced the IL-76s; the IL-476 is a necessary measure to plug that gap.
They likely would have made the An-70, but it was a specialised aircraft especially for the VDV... for other users it is a bit slow, but they probably would have built the Il-476 anyway because for the majority of users it was the better aircraft.
They probably would have been looking at a new upgrade for the An-12 as well which would probably have led to a competition between the Il-276 and the Tu-330 and something comparable from Antonov.
It would have been a bit of a mess because there would be no incentive for new engines and new engine families... Motorsich would still dominate their engine production for An-124s, and Mi-26s, and other helos and jet aircraft engines... of course they would have engines for their new ships too... but likely soviet technology level and stagnating production technology.
they ordered those C-17s before the 1st IL-476 wasn't even built & tested; that still would take a long time & Indians didn't want to wait.
They could have bought the design in a joint venture with Ilyusion and produced them in India... their might have been a delay but for a fraction of the money they spent on C17s they could have built several factories and made huge numbers of aircraft for themselves and to sell internationally.
India would also not have gotten any strings they got when they spent big money on American products... but the problem with US politics is that those strings are strings... they are not ropes... you might think you can change direction but the instant you pull the string breaks... as Venezuela found with its F-16s which quickly become useless without spares and support...
Did buying Skyhawks get Argentina any favours regarding the Falklands dispute against the UK?
Not at all, so the money spent can often mean nothing at all... worse than nothing because if they had bought MiG-23s instead of Skyhawks they might have been more successful...
then, the IL-106 also isn't needed for another decade or more, esp. since more IL-476/8s r inducted.
You can carry an 80 payload in a 120 ton capacity aircraft like teh An-124, but it might not fit into a smaller aircraft with a 60 ton payload capacity... not all payloads can be split.
they would be used a lot longer- if only to preserve better planes by reducing their wear & tear.
Once the new PD-35 engine is ready then there is no need to preserve the An-124 for anything... its main value is that it is made in Russia, its main vice is that its engine is now rather old and was never super reliable, and that new more powerful and more reliable engines should make it a much better aircraft till a better aircraft called Slon is ready.
I saw their pics being parked in the open-most of them r probably not worthy to return to flight status & r being used for parts to keep the other An-124s flying.
They already make all the parts except the engines, so they don't need to keep them in great condition... in 5 years time they will be withdrawing them completely and likely either selling them or scrapping them.
the ethnic Russian population ID themselves as Russian, & many have close relatives & graves in the RF. 1991 is only 1-2 generations away in the past.
Not enough to reject their own governments russophobic policies. There don't seem to be any movements to stand together and reject this western propaganda... they are like our Serbian friend... they have embraced their American future and have accepted the Borg, sorry the American culture as their new overlords.
no, Ukraine is the problem- w/o it, all the problems it created will disappear. On their own, they won't fix them.
The Ukraine is a chain smoking gambling drunk who can handle his addiction to P... he just needs to steal a car so he can sell it and pay for his next fix to get him by until the IMF gives him some more money he can transfer to overseas private accounts... if the people of the Ukraine don't give a shit why should anyone in Russia?
Probably it would be however better to produce a modernised An-124 under the IL brand, maybe under the IL-106 designation.
Why? The Slon programme is to replace the An-124 and they can name that anything they want. They might be adapting the design of the Il-106... they certainly have time until the engines are ready, so given the chance to make it slightly bigger then why not make the changes now.... the An-124 was in service for years before they introduced the An-124-100 that had a 150 ton payload capacity and larger structure/design.
Doing it at the design stage is much cheaper and much simpler.
The D18T was a good engine when it came out more than 30 years ago, but now it is quite outdated.
Wasn't the most reliable engine... I remember one of the six engines of the An-225 failing at Farnborough in the 1980s during an engine run up prior to a take off run...
The good question now if Russia has got spare parts to refurbish the engines of the airplanes in service and in reserve, to allow new an-124 (even if under another name) to be built or reconstructed until the new generation of Russian engines (PD-24, PD-26, PD-35,etc) is certified and serially produced.
Well they make An-124s themselves, they only need the engines... the better question would be do you have enough transport capacity for the moment where they can just continue to quietly develop replacements for the An-22 and the An-124 and wait until the new engines are ready before putting them into production and service.
Btw, for the new large Russian engine it is not clear if they are going only with the design of an upscaled PD-14 from Aviadgavitel, for the PD-35 and derivatives,
Or if they are also developing at the same time an "easier design" reusing the core from the NK-32 (the engine of the Tu-160),' as it was announced 7 years ago.
My understanding is that they want to develop a new generation engine from the current NK-32, and then base an entire scalable family of engines based on the core to standardise their engines into a range of sizes and power outputs to quickly produce a wide range of engines for a range of suitable purposes from aircraft to land based generators and marineised ship based versions as well.
As civilians, the Volga-Dnepr can import new/refurbished engines from Ukraine for their An-124s, officially state "we installed them", & then give the older 1s to the VTA. There r always ways to circumvent restrictions & sanctions.
They could say that but the Ukraine government might say that engine parts could be smuggled or just handed over to the Russian military so no deal.
Smart move, by getting these old ones out of the boneyard and back into service they could double the number of Condors available
Should greatly help with weathering the shortage until new transport is sent to production
Exactly... the position is that the Ukraine probably couldn't produce any new An-124s even if they had export orders for them because they make the engines but less than 50% of the rest of the aircraft and even then you might be pushing it these days.
For the Russians if they had different engines they could put them in to mass production... they could fit rolls royce or american engines and they would be fine because they pretty much make everything except the engines.
In five years time when the new engines are ready they could make an interrum upgraded An-124 but lets face it... in that time they should be seriously ready to test fly the Il-106 and the Slon by then so why piss around... they could take a couple of airframes out of storage and put new engines on them as their stopgap... if their bone yard burns down they could build some from scratch if needed, but why bother with Chinese or modified versions of planes you plan to replace anyway... especially at a time when the engines will be almost ready anyway.
I remember reading about a year ago, they had something like 20 left in storage....so plenty left
They also have the capacity to make them if they really need them... worst case scenario fit them with six engines from the Bear and make it a turboprop with D-27 propeller blades...