To Arkangels
Russia won’t sign a deal because it has no need to, it is winning, Syrsky went on Le Monde and let the cat out of the bag
Agree, but there is carrot and a stick game and testing the waters, that many here seem to fall for it
Russia has 100k extra soldiers for 2024 , completely blowing the lid off that dumbass Meduza rag claiming Russia has 14k volunteers a month with 35k casualties a month
I believe Meduza is mostly right about volunteers/contracts per month, it's big number. For casualties - look at Mediazona. It records roughly 3000 confirmed KIAs per month. With MIA/WIA, that would be around +7/8K. There is percentage of WIAs that come back to service. Keeping in mind that Russia is advancing and don't really worry much about casualties, they can regenerate even during offensive operations.
The whole narrative about huge losses, more losses than Ukraine , and the bad faith statements being made about it are disproven by the commander in chief of the VSU
I wouldn't trust Ukrainian if he said that water is wet.
Now, your definition of losses might warry, is it WW2 level of losses? No. Is it Afgan/Chechen war of losses? No. It's something in between. Soviet losses where roughly 185k KIA per month during WW2, both Russian and Ukrainian propaganda uses even bigger numbers. But let's not be their target audience
Not only is the Russian army growing, it does so while the Ukrainian army shrinks at a rapid rate
That's absolutely true, not to mention quality of Ukrainian army is decreasing rapidly, both soldiers and officers are already third rate.
Trump has nothing to hold over Putin, Biden already drip feeds 500 million of aid , because guess what? There’s nothing left to fucking give
USA already touched their active service equipment and even reserves, giving stuff free is bad for business also, sprinkle some refurb contracts and you might have something collecting scraps from desert, now there is no financial incentive. And this is even with Biden.
He’s exiting Ukraine, whether he does that with something beneficial for him or not doesn’t really matter, at best he thinks he can get a deal because the Russians have lost 600k men and they really want one
At least that’s what him and his advisors think, because they get their info from the SBU
Trump was advised again about the real casualties, 600k number was a tweet written by someone from his team while he was in France. Check again yourself.
But he will be told in detail, what the score is - when he realizes there’s nothing at all he can salvage from the conflict , Trump is going to say - peace out , and leave EU holding the bag
Would be good, but knowing him, he will ESCALATE to DE-ESCALATE. And it could be very dangerous game. Don't forget, he surrounded himself with anti-Russian warhawks and if let loose, they might cause headaches.