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    Oreshnik missile system (IRBM)

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    Post  Hole Sat Nov 23, 2024 10:29 am

    Some reports mentioned the RS-26 missile. Even if we believe them, RS-26 is not really an intercontinental missile.
    The only people talking about an ICBM are Kijüf and the west.

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    Post  ALAMO Sat Nov 23, 2024 10:56 am

    Anyway, the things on the ground correspond perfectly well with the prophecy I have made a while ago.
    Pretty soon, we will see a doubling of Russian conventional missiles force, with multiple newly developed systems.
    Those will form two new tiers of weapon, one with +/-2500 km range and the other with a continental range of 5-8kkm.
    The first one will be based on Iskander development Volga style, while the other will be scaled-down strategic missiles.
    On the films that were revealed that showed the launch of Oreshnik, we can clearly see the stage separation.
    As there is still an active powered flight phase after that - we can see that either - we are talking about at least a two-stage missile.

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    Post  Arrow Sat Nov 23, 2024 11:02 am

    Where is the Oreshnik launch video?
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    Post  Eugenio Argentina Sat Nov 23, 2024 11:06 am

    At the moment there is no real video of the missile being launched or in flight.
    Only those that show the arrival of the warheads to the target.
    The networks are full of fantasists and delirious people, who publish anything, which the naive then spread.


    Cool

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    Post  GarryB Sat Nov 23, 2024 11:35 am

    Nutella will be nuclear only. Same as how the SS-20 Sabers were all nukes.

    SO there is no such thing as Kh-101 or Kh-555 because in the 1980s all their cruise missiles had CEPs of 250-300m so nuke warheads were necessary.

    Modern missile have terminal homing and much more accurate navigation systems making conventional warheads not only possible but actually rather useful.

    Having a conventional warhead option makes the system vastly more flexible and useful... without kinetic warheads this attack was useless... the damage would be superficial... and pointless.

    With kinetic warheads a range of real world important targets become horribly vulnerable... like bunkers under important buildings the Orcs thought were safe before Kh-32 and Iskander and Kinzhal started reaching them. This system will be even better equipped to reach deep bunkers... as well as defeat very large ships, and render large airfields useless for launching AWACS or JSTARS or inflight refuelling aircraft or B-1B bombers in Norway... a Naval launched model could be used against runways on Guam or other critical islands they think are safe... this missile will most likely be mounted on a truck and could be driven or flown anywhere... including Cuba or Mexico or Venezuela, where its 5,000km flight range would be rather useful...

    Besides, what do the American police do in a similar situation? Oh that's right they shoot the dog dead, they don`t give it the benefit of a warning shot.

    If you think Russia should start acting like America has been acting then why am I supporting a Russian win?

    They used to shoot in the head and then fire the warning shot into the wall, but now there is police cam they have to deal with, which creates suspicion...

    So after the US got out of the treaty not to develop intermediate ranged ballistic missiles, Russia draw the conclusion it was necessary to develop one, since the intentions of the US is already known for decades.

    Essentially the Americans wanted to base missiles in South Korea and Japan and other places all pointing at China and the INF treaty prevented them from doing that.

    Also the AEGIS AShore system is a naval system that is fully compatible with Tomahawk cruise missiles which makes basing it anywhere a violation of the INF treaty anyway. So they accused the Russians of cheating with Iskander and ripped up the deal.

    Ironically for Russia it is great... it means they can target Europe and their enemies in Asia and the Middle East with smaller cheaper missiles that frees all their SLBMs and ICBMs for pointing at the US.

    It also complicates the Start Treaty because the Russians can claim IRBM and MRBM as well as the cruise missile equivalents of IRCM and MRCM (intermediate and medium range ballistic and cruise missiles respectively) that are US weapons based in Europe... like the Jupiter missiles they had in Turkey, constitute strategic weapons able to reach Russian territory and should be counted under START.

    I would think with Kinzhal and Tsirkon Russia already had more than enough to finish off a CVN basically anywhere in the globe, though this is one additional tool. You don't need to punch 20 holes through the hull, one is enough...

    If this missile can reach 5,000km and hit 6 separate targets with each MIRV carrying 6 penetrators then that is 6 ships each hit 6 times, or combinations like 18 ships hit twice each, or any combination depending on the target information from the satellites tracking the surface group. Hell, if the SSN is close enough to the surface to be detected they could even have a swing at that using super cavitating penetrators...

    The combination of range, payload, precision and speed is unprecedented for a conventional weapon.

    Hitting targets thousands of kms away in minutes... it will likely be a truck based missile too which means air and road and sea mobile...

    I wonder if Iran wants to buy the model without the nuclear warheads....

    If it is kinetic then it would make the most sense if the penetrators had a small bursting charge to distribute the energy over a wider area.

    I am sure they will have thought through the design. A small bursting charge to shatter the penetrator into fragments would be interesting if the target is something big and fragile like a building or factory where 800m above the target the charge goes off and the penetrator shatters and spreads out like a shotgun blast of fragments... only do it 800m away so they have less time to slow down but enough time to spread out to do damage over a wide area. If the fragments are shaped like flechettes to retain speed they might not slow down too much at all and still to serious penetration damage.

    Equally hitting a ship like target retaining its shape means it should penetrate through the ship to the water... which wont compress and the penetrator would rapidly decelerate... the fuse could sense that and detonate creating a huge air bubble under the ship which would rise up and break the back of the ship like torpedoes do.

    Of course HE is relatively light and makes the penetrator bigger but not a lot heavier so you really don't want a big HE charge inside or it will slow down much faster travelling through the atmosphere... most of the time a solid penetrator makes the most sense, but a solid penetrator made up of cubes or balls that can shatter on impact and spread damage around the place might be a good alternative.

    Depending on the target you could have different penetrators used together to increase the effect on target.

    The Russian leader's words were perceived in the West as a direct threat to the US and Great Britain.

    But Biden and Starmer giving Kiev to attack targets deep inside Russia were just play games and having fun.... yeah right. Razz

    R-30 "Bulava-30" intercontinental missile in 2013, noted Radio Liberty journalist Mark Krutov. At that time, part number 306577.095 was produced on a Swiss milling machine Fehlmann Picomax 54.-Astra

    Hahaha.... radio liberty... how the **** would they know what type of milling machine was used to make this part?

    What a load of horse shit.

    Comparison to ICBMs: While an Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (#ICBM) from Russia could take approximately 40 minutes to reach a #US target, this #HypersonicMissile significantly reduces flight time, underscoring its enhanced threat

    To be fair an ICBM is much faster, but has much further to travel... potentially twice as far in some cases...

    "However, this system is indeed the prime result of your work, the work that was done in Russian times, under the conditions of the new Russia, it was waged on the basis of modern, latest developments," Putin said

    Which makes sense... if it is based on Bulava or Liner or two stages of a current ICBM then it is essentially already in mass serial production... which is a huge saving in terms of money and deployment potential.

    Oreshnik has an advantage in range.

    And if it is truck based you could fly it anywhere... say Cuba.... and then engage ships within a 5,000km radius.... that is a circle 10,000km across where it could engage targets... and you wont know until impact whether it goes off with a thud or a flash.

    On DouXing, the Chinese parent version of Tiktok, is a Russian video claimed to be the launch of the missile. This is it on Youtube.

    Pretty sure that is TOPOL isn't it? Or TOPOL-M.

    As there is still an active powered flight phase after that - we can see that either - we are talking about at least a two-stage missile.

    Actually would love to see them replace the second stage with scramjet propulsion to extend range while maintaining speed.

    The use of scramjets instead of rocket motors should reduce weight significantly without reducing flight speed... in fact it would make manouvering easier and more efficient.

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    Post  ALAMO Sat Nov 23, 2024 11:37 am

    Arrow wrote:Where is the Oreshnik launch video?



    It is claimed to be the one.
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    Post  Arrow Sat Nov 23, 2024 11:50 am

    Ok this film is circulating on the net. However, there are heads that it was Soyuz and not Oreshbik, although the effects are very similar in the case of ICBM/IRBM flights. Opinions are divided on what was flying Very Happy
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    Post  Arrow Sat Nov 23, 2024 12:10 pm

    Pretty soon, we will see a doubling of Russian conventional missiles force, with multiple newly developed systems. Those will form two new tiers of weapon, one with +/-2500 km range and the other with a continental range of 5-8kkm. wrote:

    Oreshnik is to be subordinate to the strategic nuclear forces. However, for the first time in history, the strategic nuclear missile forces have been given the ability to make precise conventional strikes at very large distances. Similarly to the strategic air force, which can make both nuclear and conventional strikes. The strategic nuclear forces will be able to do this much faster and very precisely.
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    Post  kvs Sat Nov 23, 2024 1:06 pm

    Big_Gazza wrote:
    Satellites could detect the passage of the missile for early warning purposes but AFAIK a satellite can optically track a missile but can't accurately measure altitude and can't therefore determine trajectory.

    These platforms use nadir viewing instruments so can only measure the emissions in the atmospheric column. To get a height distributed observation you
    need occultation instruments that measure from the limb.

    People dismissing the "stealth" aspect of this missile are coping prats.

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    Post  ALAMO Sat Nov 23, 2024 1:47 pm

    Arrow wrote:
    Oreshnik  is to be subordinate to the strategic nuclear forces. However, for the first time in history, the strategic nuclear missile forces have been given the ability to make precise conventional strikes at very large distances. Similarly to the strategic air force, which can make both nuclear and conventional strikes. The strategic nuclear forces will be able to do this much faster and very precisely.

    Yeah, and there is one more interesting aspect.
    Muricans have been yapping about global range conventional strike systems like 20+ years ago.
    Russia back then used to advocate that it is not the most brilliant idea, as there is a threat that because it would be impossible to determine what sort of warhead such a missile carries - every strike would have to be considered as strategic and nuclear.
    20+ years have passed, and - as usual - Muricans presented no working weapon system, after burning hell of a money for it.

    Now, Russkie presented such a system being ready for duty, effective, and probably already operational in small numbers.

    And what we can hear now from the west, is how irresponsible it is, and how dangerous will be the situation now Laughing Laughing Laughing

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    Post  George1 Sat Nov 23, 2024 2:03 pm

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    Post  Arrow Sat Nov 23, 2024 2:15 pm

    What nonsense. How was the dispersion big for this clown? That was great precision. Of course the RVs were aiming at several different places. How can this moron know the dispersion if he hasn't even seen a photo of the damage. Laughing

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    Post  franco Sat Nov 23, 2024 2:58 pm

    The Main Intelligence Directorate of Ukraine has finally been able to count the number of combat units involved in testing the latest Russian missile system "Oreshnik". This is reported by the Telegram channel "Military Informant".

    According to the Ukrainian side, six blocks flew towards the Yuzhmash military plant, each of which carried six submunitions, which successfully hit the underground structures of this large-scale enterprise.

    As you know, it is engaged in the production of long-range unmanned aerial vehicles, Neptune cruise missiles, and is also involved in the program to create operational-tactical ballistic missiles Grom and Grom-2. It was also planned to produce air defense systems here.

    This use of "Hazel", according to foreign experts, will provide the Russian military with a large amount of valuable information.

    Currently, social networks are discussing the alleged characteristics of the strike system, which is a novelty in the family of medium-range missiles, which in the 80s in the USSR were represented by mobile ground-based "Pioneers".

    https://translated.turbopages.org/proxy_u/ru-en.en.2e587aa5-6741debe-fcd283ee-74722d776562/https/rg.ru/2024/11/22/na-ukraine-podschitali-boegolovki-i-subboepripasy-primenennogo-oreshnika.html

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    Post  kvs Sat Nov 23, 2024 3:54 pm

    Note the broken record discussion about how this is supposedly a Soviet system as if Russia cannot produce anything new. Kinzhal and
    Zircon are totally new and not Soviet detritus. The west has sucked up into its arrogant collective mind and detached itself from reality.
    Absolute power corrupts absolutely.

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    Post  lyle6 Sat Nov 23, 2024 4:47 pm

    >Having a conventional warhead option makes the system vastly more flexible and useful... without kinetic warheads this attack was useless... the damage would be superficial... and pointless.
    It doesn`t matter. NATO has no means to discriminate between nuclear and conventional Nutellas. They will always respond with nukes.

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    Post  kvs Sat Nov 23, 2024 4:59 pm

    The value is from the accuracy. Russia has surpassed what it had before Gorbie gave the store away. Sad days for NATzO and their
    "soft power" dirty wars.

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    Post  Big_Gazza Sat Nov 23, 2024 5:24 pm

    ALAMO wrote:



    It is claimed to be the one.

    Looks like a Soyuz launch to me...

    Ostensibly this video was taken in Satbayev in central Kazahkstan, but the Oreshnik was allegedly launched from the Kapustin Yar test site which is a little east of Volvograd in Astrakhan Oblast.  That makes no sense as that would mean the missile would be travelling eastwards?  Instead I think this video shows Progress MS-29 launched at approx the same time from Baikonour cosmodrome, which would be expected to flyover Satbayev as the launcher flys east and north on its orbital insertion track.

    I'm calling it BS, an example of stupid social media hacks and ignorant journalists of pumping out junk to take adavantage of the news cycle and gain some clicks.

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    Post  kvs Sat Nov 23, 2024 7:13 pm

    Social media is yapping about the missile being launched from Baikanur. LOLWUT. No way Russia launched this from Kazakhstan, especially given its
    two faced regime.

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    Post  Sujoy Sat Nov 23, 2024 8:15 pm

    Has Russia designed conventional warheads for its IRBMs/ICBMs?

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    Post  lancelot Sat Nov 23, 2024 8:47 pm

    Sujoy wrote:Has Russia designed conventional warheads for its IRBMs/ICBMs?
    Sarmat is going to have them.

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    Post  kvs Sat Nov 23, 2024 11:25 pm



    Postol thinks that the video near Kazakhstan is the Oreshnik missile. I think he is mistaken. I have seen images of rocket launches in the high atmosphere
    and they also look like they are going parallel to the ground. Rockets curve away from the vertical progressively as they aim for LEO. The plume exhaust
    in the video shows that its altitude is above 70 km (not enough density to produce billowing). This is too high for hypersonic gliders since they cannot get
    enough lift from the low density air.

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    Post  JohninMK Sun Nov 24, 2024 1:09 am

    I thought it would be worthwhile to quote something about the actual effect of the impacts. It looks like few if any bunkers would survive, really deep ones losing any access to the surface. Whilst the damage assessment 'nerds' in NATO will be all too aware it probably needs a demo closer to home to wake Western leaders up that their world has just changed.

    This is from my post in the Ukraine thread. Clearly the SBU are keeping as much of a lid on it as they can but hard to stop all the comments.

    " Yuzhmash is gone. It hit so hard that everyone just threw up their hands. It was like God sent us his arrows. People went to the plant to find out what happened - but it was simply gone. There are no workshops, only dust remains," eyewitnesses say. The Yuzhmash workshops had been hit before; usually, this was accompanied by local fires. After the Oreshnik's arrival, there were no usual lights, and many even thought it was an earthquake.

    Eyewitnesses claim that the workshops that were hit by kinetic plasma strikes were turned into complete ruins, and not only their above-ground parts, but also the underground structures. The strikes were so high-energy that the concrete and brick used in their construction were simply crushed into small fractions. The depth of the damage was tens of meters.

    A source close to Klitschko (the mayor of Kyiv) said they quickly realized that the use of such weapons against underground shelters, which had seemed to them reliable shelters all this time, would turn them into collective graves.

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    Post  Big_Gazza Sun Nov 24, 2024 1:58 am

    kvs wrote:Postol thinks that the video near Kazakhstan is the Oreshnik missile.   I think he is mistaken.   I have seen images of rocket launches in the high atmosphere
    and they also look like they are going parallel to the ground.    Rockets curve away from the vertical progressively as they aim for LEO.   The plume exhaust
    in the video shows that its altitude is above 70 km (not enough density to produce billowing).   This is too high for hypersonic gliders since they cannot get
    enough lift from the low density air.  

    Fully agree, and I thought the same when watching Postol talk with Nima (and others). I think he wasn't aware that Progress MS-29 was launched at the same time.

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    Post  lyle6 Sun Nov 24, 2024 3:15 am

    kvs wrote:The value is from the accuracy.   Russia has surpassed what it had before Gorbie gave the store away.   Sad days for NATzO and their
    "soft power" dirty wars.

    No. Accuracy was the lesson taught by Russia 10 years ago in Syria. Now its mass.

    Nutella will introduce the massive arsenal of Russian battlefield range tactical nukes to European doorsteps.

    Almost overnight 3000 warheads will be coming into play to threaten the whole of Eurasia from Portugal to Manila.

    Then the strategic nukes will all be redesignated to target the great satan himself.

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    Post  Arkanghelsk Sun Nov 24, 2024 3:45 am

    kvs wrote:

    Postol thinks that the video near Kazakhstan is the Oreshnik missile.   I think he is mistaken.   I have seen images of rocket launches in the high atmosphere
    and they also look like they are going parallel to the ground.    Rockets curve away from the vertical progressively as they aim for LEO.   The plume exhaust
    in the video shows that its altitude is above 70 km (not enough density to produce billowing).   This is too high for hypersonic gliders since they cannot get
    enough lift from the low density air.

     

    Postol is old and out of touch , lot of the things he says are not true

    Like US hypersonic weapons development and Russian or Iranian CEP numbers

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