If anyone thinks that there will be another Russian offensive in Ukraine, they are wrong.
This conflict will most likely end when moderate Ukrainians on Kievs side eliminate Zelensky and all the pro western thugs that bully him into his anti Russian policies, and can then talk to Russia without Europe or the US even being a party to the talks, because we saw what impartial European mediation and influence did to the Minsk agreements.
I don't think they will bother with an offensive right now... they have minimal losses and are killing enemy forces at a steady and steep rate that Kiev actually cannot cope with... they are essentially destroying their own future with no hopes of that even gaining them anything... they think strength comes from a minor advance or occupying territory the Russians just pulled back from, and that they can trade that strength in negotiations to get the Russians to leave... and it doesn't work like that.
The people in these four regions have said they want to be Russians... Kiev have made being Ukrainian a dirty word for them...
Russia needs to end this quickly , within months or a year .
It is the west that is suffering... it is the west struggling to work out who or what to sanction that they have not already sanctioned... there are actually lots of things, but many are off limits because those things benefit the west way more than Russia... but then that didn't stop them sanctioning cheap energy but they have been ruining that for some time.
The Ukrainian people need to end this by cutting their strings to the west and getting rid of the nutters in power... not easy... if it was the UK and France and Germany and the US and New Zealand and Australia and all the countries of the west would have done it and had governments that actually care about their interests instead of paying back favours to the very rich people who got them into power.
They cannot return home as they would likely be killed and seek asylum. They were offering themselves as volunteers to fight in exchange for a decent living condition in exchange for their services. Apparently they reached an agreement with Russia.
What a gift NATO has given Russia!
I don't doubt their ability to fight, but I would wonder about their behaviour on the battlefield and treatment of enemy prisoners... I mean they have US training... like the Orcs... so the Russians would have to untrain them in their barbarism and then teach them to be human.
I am also quite certain that Poland will intervene in the conflict in April or May if there are signs of major territorial losses for Ukraine.
Then they can justify an operation to "protect" Ukrainian civilians in western Ukraine.
Russia should make it clear that if Poland wants to cross into Ukrainian territory then they become legitimate targets because they wont have UN resolutions or UNSC resolutions to allow such actions... Ironically their claims would likely be to go in to save the Polish population from Russian oppression... which is exactly what Russia is doing and what the Poles armed the Orcs to fight against.
If the Poles go in they are fair targets... all of Poland the way all of Russia seems to be fair targets and Article 5 of HATO does not cover protecting allies that invade other countries and get massacred because of that.
Not sure why they are doing this now.
They are no longer working as meat shields where they are, so withdraw them for use as cannon fodder and hostages later as they get inevitably pushed back even further.
Like a scorched earth policy but with people.
By the way, NATO doesn't do it any better! And Russia is learning from its mistakes. Better to learn now in the conflict than when you are really in direct conflict with the whole of NATO.
They are learning lots of invaluable lessons, but then they were always quite smart... those Iranian drone designs were not shipped to Russia, they decided to produce them some time ago and they modified the design to incorporate their own components... essentially they did with the Iranian drone what they did with the Israeli Forepost drone...
Typical Western view of the current state of the conflict.
A UK defence journal interested in funding and not interested in reality is why western military forces are so disfunctional... they are more interested in propaganda than the reality in the field so of course they are going to get kicked out of Afghanistan and Iraq and soon Syria and Yemen and all the other places they send "advisors" and troops where they are no longer welcome.
Just really sad.
The inevidable result of yes man syndrome. Yes man syndrome happened in companies where the CEO was narcissistic and didn't like to hear the truth... just to hear how wonderful they were and how amazing their ideas were, so they fired anyone who questioned the CEO and just filled the company board with yes men, so to stay on the board you said yes to whatever the CEO wanted to do no matter how stupid and bizarre, and so instead of reason and thought and knowledge of the company and customer, the board members just said yes to any hair brained idea the CEO came up with... or their therapist came up with...
The result was of course stupid investments or directions for the company that made the company go bankrupt and everyone loses their job.
It seems the western culture is non confrontational... you are either with me or you are wrong... there can be no discussion, no debate, you wont argue, you will just get fired and someone else will take your job so agree on alphabet people or you will never rise in the ranks to any position... people learn very quickly what to say and what to think in public... the US government trained the US media very quickly too... you follow our line and don't question it or you don't get the brief and all your competitors will beat you to the stories... print what we tell you and don't think about it... no critical thinking is allowed or you are no longer part of the gang... you are on your own...
What I am saying, is that most of these incidents are due to some kind of negligence
Really, is that your expert opinion?
In your world there are no accidents and no mistakes... someone has to be fired if something bad happens because you are a child and can't accept bad things happening... we have to blame someone because accidents don't happen any more if you blame people for things they can't control...
And leaving aside the engels base attack, there are plenty of other examples, of high profile accidents at strategic enterprises, or with advanced equipment
Hahahaha... high profile accidents... like 11/9... these things are not fucking accidents... someone is actively planning for these things to happen, but you think they can all be stopped just by people doing their jobs properly... right.
Which does occur in every other country, but also occurs in Russia at a higher occurrence and which seems like could have been avoided if lessons from the first time it happened were applied to other bases, submarines, ships, docks, piers, carriers, and so on
Well the west has been openly and covertly trying to destroy Russia the last 300 odd years, so accidents and problems might happen a little more often for them, but I don't agree with that... the west tends to cover up or ignore their own problems and accidents, yet shine a spotlight and highlight and repeat any little problem Russia might have.
You would think after trillions of dollars and 20 years that the withdrawal from Afghanistan by the US and HATO would rate higher as a humiliation than the ordered withdrawal from Kiev by Russian forces ordered to do so because they were in range of enemy artillery and the enemy forces had been damaged enough to reduce their mobility so the Orc force no longer needed to be held there... but reading western reports all Russians should hang their heads in shame that they didn't remain around Kiev and continue to take casualties to artillery to no real benefit. Equally Snake Island is a funny one... the constantly were wiped out there by Orc forces, which later turned out attempts to take the island were wiped out at great cost to the Orc forces, which made it useful to hold because those were mostly Orc Naval Infantry forces they were killing in large numbers... easier to kill in groups in landing boats and helicopters than in bunkers and trenches in the Donbass... but then Snake Island came under artillery fire range and so holding it lost its value so they left... another humiliation... what a joke.
It seems words mean anything the west want them to mean.