Ispan wrote:Today's morning report, things look grim in the Oskol but at least it's not a breakthrough yet
https://guerraenucrania.wordpress.com/2022/09/26/parte-de-guerra-26-09-2022-frente-norte-la-brecha-se-ensancha/
Part of war 09/26/2022 northern front: the gap widens
26 September, 2022 Zhukov
General situation:
Bad: The enemy has opened a breach on the front of the Oskol
Well: the front rupture has not occurred. The battle continues
Maps, situation in Liman at 13:00 hours (the Spanish map has the wrong time 1 AM and not 1PM)
Situation of the front at 14:00 hours
Official statement Russian army 10:00 hours
Comment:
Report of the results of the previous day, relevant fragments are cited to give an orientation of the intensity of the fighting and the effects of shelling and airstrikes. To underline that Ukrainian sources have repeatedly confirmed that the account of casualties inflicted by the Russians is very close to reality, with the natural inaccuracy due to the "fog of war.
On the figures of material destroyed by the Russians, obviously the figures are presented in such a way that the number seems higher, in artillery they add cannons and mortars, and they do the same with tanks and armored vehicles. That is, there is no precise breakdown by categories. Even if the figures are exaggerated when there are multiple claims, or material that seems destroyed but is later repaired, even halved Ukrainian material losses are tremendous and are only partially compensated by deliveries of all kinds of war material by NATO.
On this page there is an analysis of NATO arms deliveries compared to available stocks
https://lostarmour.info/articles/s-miru-po-nitke/
As a sample, Ukraine had several hundred operational T-64 tanks. Maybe 500 counting for the low. After six months of war, the Ukrainians hardly use tanks except in small company-sized groups (a dozen at most) scattered to support the infantry. The T-72s sent by Poland, a model that Ukraine lacked, have often been seen in the reports. Poland delivered more than 200 tanks and almost all of them have already been lost.
It is suggestive that it is considering sending to Ukraine the old modernized Yugoslav T-55s, as well as American Stryker wheeled armored vehicles armed with 105mm cannon withdrawn from service.
Results of the day 25 September (fragments)
Artillery shelling against 14th Airborne Brigade and 95th Brigade in the Senkovo and Chervony Oskol areas in the Kharkov region, the enemy's losses amounted to more than 120 military killed and wounded, 15 units of military equipment.
High-precision strikes of the Russian Aerospace Forces on the temporary locations of the "Foreign Legion" and units of nationalist formations in the Svyatogorsk area of the Donetsk People's Republic eliminated up to 100 militants.
A missile strike on the forward command post of the 10th Mountain Assault Brigade in the area of the village of CHAS YAR in the Donetsk People's Republic during a meeting of the brigade command killed up to 25 Ukrainian servicemen and wounded more than 40. Eight units of special military equipment were deactivated.
Comment: Something that is overlooked and that is probably the reason for the lack of coordination of Ukrainian attacks and that they are always in small groups, assaults no larger than company and sometimes battalion is the loss of officers. It is not only the casualties of junior officers and non-commissioned officers, it is that the losses of middle and senior commanders, confirmed by obituaries published in Ukrainian media are constant as a result of attacks on command posts and headquarters.
A high-precision strike at the temporary deployment point of the 406th artillery brigade in the Ochakov area, Nikolayev region, destroyed up to 50 militants, 10 units of military equipment and more than two thousand artillery shells.
(there is video confirmation by local residents of the blasting of that ammunition depot)
The attacks of operational-tactical and army aviation, rocket troops and artillery hit five command posts in the areas of Kupyansk, Kharkiv region, Shchurovo, Kirovo, Donetsk People's Republic, Kamyshevakha, Zaporizhia region and Vysokopolye, Kherson region, as well as 56 artillery units, manpower and military equipment in 163 districts.
Three ammunition depots and rocket and artillery weapons of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were destroyed in the areas of Zaporozhye, Nikolaev and in Kramatorsk in the Donetsk People's Republic.
Russian Aerospace Forces fighter jets shot down a Sukhoi Su-24
The Russian air defense forces shot down 13 unmanned aerial vehicles during the day
The anti-aircraft defense shot down 19 HIMARS and Olkha rockets near the Antonovsky Bridge in the Kherson region and elsewhere
Reporting by Igor Strelkov
10:45 a.m.
Briefly about the situation at the front:
Fierce fighting continues in the area of Krasmy Liman. The enemy is trying to use its advantage in numbers, since the terrain in the city area is wooded and rugged, with a relatively underdeveloped road network, which, on the one hand, does not allow the use of large forces of armored vehicles off the roads, and on the other, contributes to the covert concentration and preparation for the offensive of infantry units. So far, the enemy has not been able to encircle in Liman, but he has almost daily tactical advances in its vicinity.
On the Donetsk front, local (in my opinion, completely unintelligible) attacks by units of the Russian army, Wagner volunteers and Luhansk and Donetsk militias on fortified enemy positions continue. Success is purely tactical, it is not worth the losses incurred.
Comment:
I disagree with Strelkov. The Ukrainian command has withdrawn troops and artillery from the fortified lines of the Donbass salient for its offensives, presenting an opportunity that may not be repeated again. In the case of the Donetsk sector, every kilometer gained reduces the range of enemy artillery that can still beat the city, and therefore saves civilian lives.
Moreover, in these sectors they are the only ones in which the allied forces can go on the offensive at least for now. Losses are minimal because the tactic is the spraying of Ukrainian positions with artillery and methodical cleaning by assault detachments, the bad thing about this slow and methodical method with limited troops is that the advances are also minimal.
In any case, these attacks similar to those of the British and French in the last phase of the First World War, (then graphically called "bite and hold") inflict considerable wear on Ukrainian units trying to hold positions, and even more so if they try to counterattack. It is the insoluble dilemma faced by the Germans at the Somme and the third Battle of Ypres. That is why, paradoxically, they are not trying to move forces from Seversk and Soledar to the threatened flank of Artemovsk, but they are trying to attack towards the ruins of Spornoye and Belogorovka, not so much to reach the ford over the Seversk, scene of an unsuccessful crossing by the Russians in spring, becausethat sector defended by the Lugansk militia is weakened and because the passive defense in Artemovsk is doomed. The Ukrainian forces in the Donbass salient and the siege lines around Donetsk have two options, either to be methodically and on a fixed-term basis crushed by holding out in their positions, or risk going out into the open and counterattacking, which exposes them to suffering more casualties, but at least gives them a chance, if not to gain ground, then at least to fix Russian forces.
According to historical experience, in positional warfare a static front becomes inactive by mutual consent. For opposite but similar reasons, neither side can afford to withdraw troops from this front, nor allow the adversary to do so. There is no chance of successes, but it is vital to fix the enemy while the battle is being decided on the northern and southern fronts.
Zaporozhe Front: calm and concentration of troops continue. Most respondents expect that the main offensive of Ukraine will take place in this area.
On the Kherson front, over the past 3 days, a significant weakening of enemy activity. The exchange of artillery and missile strikes is not intensive.
On the Belgorod front, artillery skirmishes and raids by Ukrainian patrols continue.
13:00 hours Rybar report
There is still a threat to the front line west of Liman. Ukrainian forces managed to bypass the Allied bridgehead at Drobyshevo from the north and expand the advance on Redkodub.
Attempts to storm the estuary from Ozernoye and Shchurovo were repelled by the Allied forces.
Units of the Ukrainian Forces established control over the villages of Karpovka, Novoe and expanded the bridgehead north of Drobyshevo. Drobyshevo is still under the control of Russian forces.
The Ukrainian Command is increasing its grouping in order to expand the bridgehead and gain access to the Svatovo-Borovoe highway. Fierce fighting is raging north of the village of Redkodub.
Further south, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are trying to storm the Allied bridgehead at Drobyshevo-Shandrigolovo.
From the direction of Karpovka, the enemy tried to break through the defense of Russian troops in the direction of Shandrigolovo with two attack groups.
After losing four tanks, five BMP infantry fighting vehicles and a large number of personnel under the blows of Russian multiple rocket launchers, artillery and armored vehicles on the outskirts of the village, the remnants of the enemy strike groups retreated in the direction of Karpovka.
East of Redkodub, Ukrainian units are trying to advance towards Zelenoi Dolina to surround the Liman group through Stavki and Kolodezi.
The command of the Russian Armed Forces launches reserves into battle in order to unite parts of the Ukrainian troops and slow down the pace of their advance, buying time to create a solid line of defense and stabilize the situation at the front.
Now the entire burden of defense falls on the units and formations of the 20 combined arms army and individual units of other associations.
Rybar 14:00 hours
The enemy has resumed its offensive against the positions of the Russian Armed Forces in the eastern Kharkiv region in order to reach the borders of the Luhansk People's Republic.
On the evening of September 25, soldiers of the 3rd battalion of the 14th Ukrainian Mechanized Brigade began to leave the Gorobyevka and Dvurechny districts in the direction of Tavolzhanka.
The assault groups of the formation are advancing on Tavolzhanka from the north-west. Ukrainian forces were able to establish themselves in the area of the railway. At the moment, enemy forces are waiting for the arrival of reserves in order to continue the attack on Russian positions.
At the same time, Ukrainian formations are preparing to storm Krasny Liman on October 1. The military was stationed on the western outskirts of the village. As part of the preparation for the settlement, as well as Kulagovka and Tavolzhanka, an artillery fire is being conducted.
Man-portable anti-aircraft missile firing groups (MANPADS) provide infantry cover against Russian aircraft at Dvurechnaya and Novomlynsk. A supply depot for the group has been established on Dvurechnaya.
Reporting by Boris Rozhin (Colonel Cassad)
Russian airstrikes are reported in the Kharkov region.
The enemy continues to try to advance to the north of Kupyansk, and also continues to try to break through the front in Oskol and, threatening to encircle Krasny Liman, force our troops to withdraw from Drobyshevo, Krasny Liman and Yampol. Our troops are fighting off attacks, but the enemy is launching reinforcements. Time is now playing against him: when the Russian army receives reinforcements, the enemy will be forced to go on the defensive, so now he will try to squeeze everything that is still possible from success in Balakleya, although it is already obvious that the offensive is running out and each subsequent advance is becoming more and more expensive. The task of our troops at the current stage is to hold key positions, fully stabilize the front, replenish/rotate units on the front line and launch a counteroffensive in November-December.
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