Backman wrote:I'd like to criticize certain aspects of the war and have an adult conversation about it. But we cant have those discussions because we have children like Van around posting the most vacuous Kiev Independent propaganda that sucks all the air out of the threads.
It would be nice if we could give it a try without Van.
But without van , what you will have is a forum ,with people , fanboy tards.. only saying the things
that are positive for Russia ,and in total denial of russian catastrophic mistakes that repeats again and again and never stop. I was attacked in the forums when i told , that russia was humiliated in the armenian conflict by turkey and azerbaijan.. that they did all they wanted with russia and armenia.
That the whole russia mighty power there , was humiliated ,their mighting air defenses proved to be inadequate versus a small country like azerbaijan armed with NATO and israeli drones ,that had their airspace infested with their drones , the azeris destroyed russia a couple of s-300s, tors , iskanders ,lots of stella modules.. it was a total disaster. and when i told in the forum that russia was ill prepared to fight wars versus heavy use of drones.. people attacked me.. censor me and the millions of excuses. "russia is not fighting there " nana nana, is armenia to blame , even a russian mi35 attack hellicopter full of russians , was shotdown inside armenia airspace ,and putin did nothing..
Guess what? when the ukranian conflcit started , it was armenia 2.0 all over again , they did major advances , in a surprise blitkreg advance ,but they could not defend their soldiers properly with the russian airforce. They were at mercy of endless attacks of drones.
So the new excuses , ,was "shit happens" or "tell me about a war that soldiers don't die" "ukraine propaganda". You can't talk about the facts freely in this forum , because the fanboys don't want to listen anything negative of russian military. labeled with names , he have to "be gay" , or you are n idiot , etc, this is a forum full of children , that can't handle facts and reality like mens , and very weak emotionally ,and don't like to receive all the facts.. but only those that are great to listen.
it all changed but only for a week ,when mosca was sinked ,by "Accidental detonation of warship munition"
Then the general in charge of ukraine operation replaced for another ,a clear sign ,that the fanboys
in this forums were all wrong , that things were not wonderful as they claimed , that not such "Tactical retreat" happened , russia was kicked the hell out of kiev and from the north of ukraine by force.. it was a disorganized retreat , and there are videos of this , and many soldies were left behind
and they captured and tortured.. and videos published online.. in kharkiv again they forced to leave.
Russian airforce ,contrary to what russia military claimed , did not had "air superiority" in ukraine .
and it was actually ukraine the one dominating the skies in the soft kills by remote controlled drones targeting russian convoys.
Ukraine airspace is heavily contested , with ukraine dominating in drones warfare. and russian dominating with cruise missiles . But even when the destructive power is on the russian side ,the efficiency ,to hit exactly in the right place and the best time , was on ukraine side.
Russia more effective in targeting fortified fixed targets , that don't move.. while ukraine more effective in targeting soft and light armed targets ,that move constantly in the battle field but very imporotants.. Russia more effective in destroying fuel depots and weapons storage , ukraine more effective in destroying large convoys..
so basically it was not a good war for russia to fight , one that russia don't dominate and is questionable to call their capture of territory a "victory" if they later forced to retreat without much of a fight. It remains to see now if the new general ,manage to kick all this mediocre soviet thinking generals ,and find a substitute for all of them , people that understand ,how important is to provide
proper air support , air cover ,to all ground troops ,and not allow a single drone , not even for a minute to fly withing visual range of russian soldiers positions..
this problems of rusia in ukraine ,in not completely dominating a much inferior army , are all related
to the limited capabilities of russian airforce with drones , they don't have that many for the ukraine conflict and the ones they have in big numbers ,like orlan-10 , is more like a toy ,in comparison to turkish baykatar 2 drones. next to useless to target tanks or armor with those toy unguided fireworks bombs.
so there is not much to discuss , russia weakness in ukraine..
- russia don't have a well developed drone program , they have good drones ,but how they used
not very good.
- russia don't have enough drones ,for use in ukraine , and can't provide proper protection to the convoys .
-russia intelligence of the ground is inferior to nato , even the optics of ukraine drones are superior than the russian ones.
- russia electronic warfare is missing in action, what happened to all those wonder electronic warfare that russian had ,that could block drones from flying?
- russia airforce is the weakest link in the entire russia military.. is very far for impressive , to not say close to mediocre ,the role of russian combat jets in the conflict.
basically what russia is doing , that allows them to "win territory" is bombing with their superior artillery everything ,flatenning entire cities to the ground ,the mariupol way , scorch earth tactics and naturally ukranians had to flee the place , but will not like to know the collateral damage of how many civilians killed with this tactics.. should be horrible.
So conclusion , yes russia is "winning" the war , but it remains to be see if they can hold territory ,
when nato supply more and more drones and super long range artillery in big numbers and emulate russian scorch earth tactics too , using himars.. if russian soldiers will not be forced to flee too. perhaps that's the reason they building trenches too.
What is clear for me , is that this russian army ,we were told , about , is not anywhere as powerful
as the russian media and youtube trainning exercises made us believe. Russia will need to do a major transformation to their airforce and imitate what nato have been doing , of replacing their old planes for stealth ones.. and combine drones with every unit force in their military . russia needs to significantly improve ,their combined arms operation and combined communications , so that many different units ,from ground , air ,and armor ,can help each other ,to minimize their casualties to very low numbers in the low hundred or better just few dozens and ,not in the many thousands casualties in just 4 months ,when dealing with a much inferior army like ukraine is.. because if russia think it can fight nato that way , they doing to ukraine , then they better not even tried.. an invasion of poland will be infinite times much worse than ukraine if for example nato airforce was bombing russian positions. it then will be a massacre of russian soldies for sure , since russia can barely protect their soldiers from drones in ukraine , it will much worse , in a fight versus israel ,or turkey or poland. in hypotetical conflict with them.
and a final warning.. for the fanboys.. that don't see any wrong , in russian army tactics in past
months..
it is that my perception is ,that the only reason ,why russian army have not been completely defeated and overrun in ukraine , is because of NATO fear ,that humiliating russia too much ,could
provoke a nuclear conflict. So nato did not send all their best weapons from the very start , including artillery before russia invaded ukraine . If for example nato was supplying from day1,, all their best weapons and was trainning all ukraine army in the use of them , for years.. the history today will have been different. Even macron of france ,was warning at european union meeting ,to not humiliate russia too much.. for the risk of a major escalation and a nuclear conflict..
so it seems to me ,that the only reason why the west is not fully arming with all they have to ukraine ,from day 1 ,is for fear of russia nuclear retaliation if ukraine start destroying russian cities with nato cruise missiles for example and rail guns.. which they can do..
and you bet ,that if today russia had no nuclear weapons , nato airforces will have been hammering russian soldiers positions , with cruise missiles and with airforce with total impunity in the ground and russia forced to flee ukraine. In the future however , (hopefully) russia generals will learn something
from ukraine conflict ,how much they suck with drones infested airspace by nato ,and force russian military ,to modernize their army and their tactics , for the 21 century and how future wars will be done. all this trench warfare only works , against russia , but will not work very well against a very strong nation with all kind of precision strike drones with tv camera guidance ,against smart missiles ,that target moving armor or soldiers in the ground without need of human operation , precision glide bombs with tv cameras , railguns and plenty of energy weapons and laser in their inventory. and with a battle tested very strong airforce armed with stealth planes.