They hope the upcoming Donbas war and the invasion of Armenia proper Putin won't do anything because Putin can't afford to fight a two front war.
Putin will soon realize he will be betrayed by his best buddy Erdogan just like Stalin was betrayed by his best buddy Hitler. S-400 will soon be transferred from Turkey to the US for analysis.
The Ukraine can invade Donbas any time they like... if they want their asses kicked hard then go ahead... any Russians in that area are there by their own choice, and that has nothing to do with Russia... just like Latvian Nazis going to Ukraine to get to kill Russian speaking Ukrainians is nothing to do with Latvia.
Why do you think Putin can't fight a war on two fronts?
Neither a conflict in Ukraine with full Russian intervention or a Russian attack on the Azeri capital and oil industry would take more than a tiny percent of Russian military resources. The Russians will know exactly what targets to hit to do the most damage and will likely do it quickly when it is clear the enemy are acting and have crossed the line.
Erdogan is not and has never been Putins best buddy... and neither has Assad... Russias position in the region would not change at all if both were removed tonight and replaced.
And Stalin was never buddies with Hitler... the cooperation and joint work on armour and other military technology between the Soviets and the Germans stopped in 1933 when Hitler took power and it never restarted.
S-400 will keep Israeli aircraft and US aircraft from their next coup in Turkey when they try to remove Erdogan from power again...
Putin will not come in. Putin is afraid of Turkey. Turkey becomes a regional power and deals the cards in the South Caucasus. Turkey is an ally of Azejberjan and will not allow Russia to touch it.
Putin has said what he sees as Russias role in this... if Turkey or the Azeris attack Armenia they will see what Putin will do, but for now Armenia has not asked for help... if the Armenians find they can't push the Azeris back like they did last time then they will start asking Russia for assistance...
So what if he has nuclear weapons. Against Turkey, Russia will not use it. Turkey is a powerful army. Putin does not want a war with Turkey and will not jump on it. For now, it is Turkey who deals the cards in the South Caucasus. In Syria, Putin is also considering Turkey.
Of course Russia does not want war with Turkey, but if Turkey attacks Armenia then that is what they will have.
Russia does not need to use nukes... they have a variety of options...
Launching a nuclear attack on a non-nuclear country would simply show how animal Russia is.
Very unlikely Russia would consider using nuclear weapons, but when attacked by animals having mercy makes little sense when local authorities will put a mad dog down anyway...
The elite in the Kremlin are powerless over Turkey. That is why Turkey is playing as it pleases in the South Caucasus.
Sounds like the squealing of a pig about to be eaten by the big bad wolf.... if the mouse trap closes before the mouse has its head inside the trap eating the bait then the trap will spring shut on thin air and the mouse will then be free to eat the bait.
Not suggesting this is something that Russia has set up to trap the Azeris or the Turks... they blundered into this minefield on their own... at least the Ukrainians were led with cookies and promises of a wealthy future by the Americans...
Their stipid drones work only against under armed military groups.
Drones are still new and armies are still learning to deal with them... and that is all armies... not just the very rich ones.
Even Israel killed the Turkish citizens on 2010 and Erdogan didn't fire a bullet there . Actually Turkey is struggling now to take any part from the EEZ with Greece and they can't face EU and US.
They do seem to burn bridges and not show loyalty to anyone for very long... I have a lot of respect for Turkey, New Zealanders went to their country in WWI and tried to kill them yet they still treat our dead with respect despite what we were doing there... where is that country?
And what's Turkey going to do if Russia did? their army is far weaker conventionally than Russia's, Turkey's only hope would be NATO and NATO isn't going to go in over Azeribijan if Turkey decides to get its men killed by sending them there.
Funny... Turkey had better be really careful if they want HATO to get involved... aren't the Kardashians Armenian?
Putin will have no choice than go in because if he doesn't then he loose credibility.
Yeah, you can tell by all the things he has done or not done in the past he really cares about what the western and international media think of him.
I would say he would have no choice because he has credibility and integrity and it would be the right thing to do...
Pashinyan & Co are still trying to low key get in on the NATO game, I don't thing this is making Armenia look any better in Russian book (I'd say effect is exactly the opposite)
Armenian president wants NATO to explain Turkish involvement in Nagorno-Karabakh
I would say this actually makes sense because if Armenia can get Turkey to back off then the Azeris would be much easier for them to deal with on their own.
The risk of also facing Turkish forces probably complicates things and makes Russia being brought in more necessary and I am sure they would prefer to deal with this themselves.
Even I am not old enough to remember but WWI started when two groups got into a conflict and called in support from larger powers because of treaties and agreements signed... pretty soon some jerk shooting some toff turned into WWI and bloody murder and death throughout europe to be followed a couple of decades later by round II because if the inept way the first one was ended.
Nice to see some politicians not wanting external interference and just wanting to deal with things themselves.