flamming_python wrote:That amounts to an annexation
If only people would bother checking the meaning the words instead of parroting Western propaganda Annexation:
possession taken of a piece of land or a country, usually by force or without permission
How can a repetition of the Crimean scenario be annexation, when the Crimeans voted to reunite with Russia under UN preconditions of self determination? In the case of Belarus, there is not even another state involved, they would ingress in the RF if that was their wish. Of course, if you allow foreign paid russophobic propaganda to set the tone in the country this is highly unlikely to happen.
of a sovereign country.
Sovereign to live off Russian subsidies and totally depend on the Russian market.
I doubt that the Belarussians would be for this scenario. They want to remain close to Russia, but as equals, not as some oblasts to be dictated to. Why would they agree to a dissolution of their country and their collective bargaining power?
They are equals, that is why they belong in Russia. Russians do not need two, three or thirty countries.
Common people will be dictated all the same, but will instead get a competent government, protection, a big labour market, economic development and a future they don't have as a miniature country, landlocked and surrounded by hostile nations everyone trying to absorb their territory. To this, add the current pre-war conditions and crucial interest of the West in using them against Russia, the country on its own is toast. The only ones losing out with the integration are the regional elites, those that communists are interestingly so eager to protect pretty much everywhere. But once they understand they are going to be liquidated unless they join forces with Russia, they may stop making so much resistance.
The only good solution would be...
That is where the commie fantasy starts and hard cold realities of state policy are thrown out the window. Russia has no need to feed anyone at the expense of their budget. They have been doing that for decades and decades, just for the "brotherly people" to think they deserve it just for the fact of existing and, emboldened by the apparent interest of Russia to keep them close, flirt with the West to squeeze something more of their "special" relationship. Enough is enough, that is the bottom line from now onwards and Belarus better plan accordingly. If they want to be yet another bunch of disorientated Russians faking they are "Europeans", they will follow the same fate of Ukraine, the West has no problem with additional cheap labour and resources. What they don't need are more competitors for their markets nor they consider Belarusians their own kind. Go ask some American to place the country in the map or to tell you the differences between Russians and Belarusians, that will be funny.
I doubt pro-Western political forces would make much headway there, on the condition that you have a system of people's democracy there and in Russia that is capable of solving growing social contradictions, allowing elections of deputies and acting on feedback from the people about various issues.
They signed the union state for a deep integration long ago and Luka was the darling of the marxist collective, where is the problem? It was not the "people" that rejected to implement the integration, but the elites that have instead performed their pro-Western push. "Real" democracy has zero to do with this, as with most other facts of state life in the real world.