SeigSoloyvov wrote:Not really, people will organize and fight back if push comes to shove, could the US have a had in it? sure.
At the sametime to suggest people will only revolt if the US sets it up is just wrong
We "the people", sure. The one thing that characterises the masses are their inherent organizational and tactical skills, experience in international media campaigning, coordination with foreign governments, fast decision making, deep knowledge of the state apparatus and acute sense of the internal and external political climate, funding, budgeting etc etc... please tell me you don't really believe what you are saying and you are only trying to BS us... the chances US is not involved are zero
. Even if they were relying on their regional puppets for the detail work. Don't you find it interesting that the embassy was reopened recently and what high profile CIA colour revolution operators were placed there?
Naturally, Putin would be fine with Luka being tossed out but he doesn't want Belarus to fall out of russian orbit either, it's far too important geographically for the Russians.
It would be bad news, but nothing terrible for Russia. They would have to substitute some trucks and reinforce the Western District, ok. For the Belarusians it would be a disaster though.
I feel this is a good chance for Putin, he could prop up a man liked by the people but who will play ball.
You don't quite get it do you? The "spontaneous" maidan will only accept a rabid russophobe as a new head of state. The pre-emptive "Russian maidan" card was already played by SBU + moles in the KGB to prevent Russia from interfering in the coming revolts. Now the Western gang knows the only way forward for Luka is turning back to Russia for help, so they will try to liquidate him asap, before he starts implementing the union state for real.
The only way for Luka (and for the country BTW) is to take care of the traitors in the government and cut foreign intervention fast and thoroughly, then forget his personal issues with Putin and start working for Belarus for real. They are under a huge risk right now.
Once things settle down, he can start the process of adding Belarus to the Federation and that is Putins ultimate goal. He wants Belarus within the Federation.
Of course he wants it, because Belarusians are
part of the Russian people. But as said for Russia this is not an existential matter, while for Belarus it is.