Most likely is a truce within the gains of SAA accepted. Erdogan will take care that militants won't break this truce. Syria can focus on rebuilding, but the regions controlled by Turkey are lost for 5-15 years.
even less.. time..
in past elections ,the major opposition to Erdogan ,that won about 30% to 40% of the votes..
His major promise if elected was full restoration of relations with Assad.
so that means turkey army leaving syria completely.. Erdogan is an old man and he will not
be forever president.. just in 3 to 5 years.. i see a major chances to complete retake of idlib and all
northen syria. the only zone that could be difficult to re-take are the zones in the border with jordan..
that is empty desert.. and there is nothing there ,is empty desert.. but the zone under occupation still
threaten the security of syria.. it could be taken with iran help encircling it.. and the next time americans bomb
syria ,iran can bomb that illegal base.. so this will pressure them to leave.
Russia could also take it easily ofcourse.. i don't think it should be Russia the one that do it..
because later US gov ,will use the attack on their soldiers ,to get the support of americans against russia.
and for russia is important to influence the public opinion in US.. Trump is an example why is important that..
people crossed party lines , to vote for trump.. because he promised to end syrian war ,to end all endless wars, and focus in creating jobs at home.. and to have good relations with Russia.. So Russia needs to influence american citizens ,so they vote for politicians that are more and more closer to their interest.. promote ending wars and restoring relations.. this doesn't mean ,that the pentagon will listen any president that promote peace but it still will make it more difficult for pentagon ,to start a world war 3. Even when trump don't control US foreign policy ,he have been able to influence a bit.. in the direction he wanted.. and this is why they wanted Trump impeached.. for his respectful way of speaking to Putin. which that no American President is supposed to do.. when the military wants the opposite ,to brainwash public opinion into wanting to fight Russia. and also wanted to impeach trump for not starting a war against Syria or Iran or Venezuela.Congress and pentagon wants to see many new wars. and trump have avoided that.. even when he had the opportunity. and so is extremely important for Russia to influence public opinion on in the west.. if people have doubts about how powerful can be public opinion... more than an invading army.. look no further than Crimea.. Russia took crimea without firing a shot.. and in Egypt mass united public opinion with people peaceful protest.. removed 2 dictators without firing a shot too.. and Russia empire was defeated by public opinion too.. albeit that was a violent revolution. So if the US military is not careful about american public opinion.. Washington dc could end being overthrow by its own people ,in a millions mass scale cities protest..and so this is what the American policy makers are concerned.. and why US media is so fake news.. is the one they use to brainwash their citizens.. about the military spreading
Last edited by Vann7 on Thu Feb 13, 2020 11:38 pm; edited 3 times in total